Do not miss my father's assessment of Putin's plans. @Halsrethink spent time with him years before he became the Russian leader. He longs "for was a return of Imperial Russia, not Soviet Russia." This war is just beginning. unherd.com/2022/06/putins…
🧵 "Peter, he told me, had set in motion the magnificent strengthening of Russia completed by Catherine the Great: the establishment of Novorossiya, or Imperial Russia, spanning all of the Baltic Sea, the Nordics and Poland, nations to the W and to the S to the Azov and Black Sea 
🧵Putin's elevation in Russian politics happened so quickly that he "felt like fate had chosen him to be a second incarnation of Peter the Great — a 21st-century Tsar, or even Emperor."
🧵 If a ceasefire is declared, the world will sigh with relief, stock markets will rebound, worries about world food shortages will diminish, and diplomats will go back to sleep. But the war will only be in hibernation; the action will resume at a later date....
🧵"After 100 days of war, the battle for Ukraine is only getting started." But, we will think there is peace, at least for a while. This means the quiet, invisible war that intel fights every day well outside of Ukraine will intensify. @MI5_Official @ChiefMI6 @CIA #FiveEyes
🧵 A different kind of war, the invisible war, is about to intensify. It will involve infiltration of the tech community, efforts to compromise business people, battles in invisible places like space, cyberspace and the oceans all involving critical comms and strategic locations.
🧵 The "anything goes" "unlimited warfare" and "Gerasimov Doctrine" approach will, as Putin keeps saying "affect civilians". Time for the intel and military community to really think about what this means. Ignoring events, as has happened in the past, is not going to work anymore
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