Louis Klarevas Profile picture
Jun 4 8 tweets 5 min read
Could raising the purchase age for firearms from 18 to 21 reduce active shooting violence at K-12 schools? Probably. Here is a quick explanation of why I believe this change in our gun laws could save students' lives. 🧵 1/
Earlier this year, led by @PaulReeping, my colleagues @sonalirajan, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar, @JustinHeinzePhD, @AprilZeoli, @monikagoyal123, @UmMarcz, @EpiProfCharlie and I published a study on patterns in school shootings over a 20-year period from 1999-2018. 2/
As part of this study involving @ColumbiaMSPH, @CUEpidemiology, @TeachersCollege, @umichsph, @uwsph, @msu_scj, and @ChildrensNatl, I assembled a dataset of all active shooter events at K-12 schools in the U.S., documenting 49 such incidents. tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108… 3/
While the article might be behind a paywall, the active shootings dataset is not. It should be available here: tandfonline.com/doi/suppl/10.1… 4/
The data show that, while the 18-20 age demographic accounts for only 4% of the U.S. population, 18-20-year-olds perpetrated 20% of active shootings at K-12 schools. In others words, as a demographic, this group is over-represented. 5/
Arguably more disturbing, the avg. death toll for 18-20-year-old active shooters at K-12 schools is over 5 times higher than the avg. death toll associated with younger shooters and nearly 4 times higher than the avg. death toll per incident associated with older shooters. 6/
While 49 cases might not be considered to be a lot of cases, these patterns do still demonstrate that age could be an important factor in terms of the lethality of active shootings at K-12 schools in the U.S. 7/
According to @SecretService, most K-12 school active shooters either legally buy their weapons or take them from family. This suggests that aged-based purchase laws, coupled with safe-storage laws, could keep guns out of the hands of potential school shooters and save lives. 8/8

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More from @Klarevas

May 28
Did mass shootings decrease during decade of federal assault weapons ban (AWB) and then increase decade after? Despite the wording in this article by @GlennKesslerWP, the data show that—no matter the metric used for mass shootings violence—the answer is yes! 1/ 🧵
If you examine high-fatality mass shootings (HFMS)—6 or more deaths per incident—decade prior to AWB had 19 incidents. This dropped to 12 during ban then jumped to 34 decade after ban. In terms of per capita rates, AWB ushered in 43% drop followed by 156% rise in HFMS rate. 2/
If you examine mass public shootings (MPS)—4 or more deaths per public incident—decade prior to AWB had 31 incidents. This stayed at 12 during ban then jumped to 47 decade after ban. In terms of per capita rates, AWB ushered in 11% drop followed by 38% rise in HFMS rate. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Oct 21, 2019
1/ Last week, @AMJPublicHealth published our new study on whether large-capacity magazine bans are effective in reducing high-fatality mass shootings. Our key finding is that LCM bans appear to save lives.

This thread reports some of the key findings.

ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/AJ…
2/ We examined every known high-fatality mass shooting (6+ killed) between 1990-2017. There were 69 incidents in total. We chose 1990 as our starting point because that was when the first LCM ban was enacted by New Jersey.
3/ We were able to determine whether an LCM was involved in high-fatality mass shooting for 60 of the 69 incidents. Of these shootings, 44 involved LCMs – that’s 73%. In other words, most deadly mass shootings tend to involve LCMs.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 15, 2019
A new federal Assault Weapons Ban #HR1296 has been introduced in the House by @davidcicilline (with 190 co-sponsors). As a good deal of evidence in support of such a ban is drawn from my research on the 1994 #AWB, it's worthwhile to review some of my findings. 1/

THREAD FOLLOWS
The 1994 #AWB took effect on Sept. 13, 1994, and it remained in force for exactly 10 years, expiring on Sept. 13, 2004. The primary goal of the 1994 #AWB was to reduce mass shooting violence. The 1994 ban was a direct response to five mass shootings from 1989-1993. 2/
The 5 mass shootings: 1989—Cleveland Street Elem. School in Stockton (5 dead); 1989—Standard Gravure in Louisville (8 dead); 1991—Luby's Cafeteria in Killeen (23 dead); 1993—101 California St. in San Francisco (8 dead); and 1993—Long Island Rail Road near Garden City (6 dead). 3/
Read 11 tweets

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