WH Covid Czar now tweeting misinformation & distorted statistics that exaggerate the risk to kids
Truth is 👇
Lying about COVID severity in kids is the reason school was closed for 18+ months in many places, & intermittently closed to this day, ruining the lives of children
Sad!
As you read the #ASCO22 abstracts, here are some tips I offer to separate true & useful from all the rest
PS: The Amgen ad on the banner of the abstract page is emblematic of what you have to contend with
🧵
I. Let me start with observational/ uncontrolled studies. These can be useful to describe prognosis, identify risk factors, track time trends, establish activity, etc. but there are many caveats
1. An abstract shows survival improves by decade in a cancer - author claims it is due to better drugs
Possibly yes, but also possible the definition of the cancer is different (AHEM myeloma), we look for it more often, our CT/PET scan is more sensitive (stage migration), etc.
Is often suboptimal, and our efforts to improve it work magic, and as a result of those efforts, the patient is better off. But each of those propositions may not withstand scrutiny
Other issues where people have decided what is the right answer are similar...
The evidence supporting the claims is often threadbare, just absolutely incorrect, but the conclusion is the desired one. There is very little professional incentive to point this out, and a strong disincentive.
I was just reading this superb toolkit from Urgency of Normal -- that's the group who thinks about kids & restrictions sensibly & numerically; trying to maximize kids' overall life outcomes/ health