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swyx Profile picture
@swyx
Jun 6, 2022 • 10 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
There’s a very real possibility local dev may be dead in 10 years.

- @isamlambert “Planetscale doesnt believe in localhost”
- @ericsimons40 Stackblitz runs Node fast in the browser
- @github runs entirely on Codespaces

This would be the biggest shift in dev workflow since git.
writing about “The Death of Localhost” in my next @DXTipsHQ piece, pls offer any relevant data/notable technologies. will acknowledge in writeup!

dx.tips
only 2 ways to make money in dev infra

bundling and unbundling the mainframe
Here is @benthompson writing about @satyanadella's Build keynote:

"the thin client model has won"
stratechery.com/2022/thin-plat…

Perfect for the big move from a Windows-centric to Azure-centric Microsoft.

I wonder if this was planned since the Dave Cutler era ImageImage
@isamlambert @ericsimons40 @github This is live!


big thanks to everyone that contributed opinions and datapoints (shoutouts in the article)! I ended up compiling a nice big list of all the bigco cloud dev environments, and collecting all the arguments for/against ImageImageImageImage
I've updated this post with great takes from this fantastic thread from Kelsey!



In particular like the "working around red tape" theory. So much of cloud service growth is secretly shadow IT. Image
Some survey data and interesting responses (see the Etsy one) in this poll!

"in the long run, fully utilizing the cloud will make engineers more productive. Imagine taking a large test suite and running 1000 tests in parallel on a FaaS platform"

Google launched Cloud Workstations at this week's #GoogleCloudNext 

siliconangle.com/2022/10/11/goo…

this is basically the entire End of Localhost thesis, fully supported as step 1 of GCP’s solution to the software supply chain problem

(great recap on the GCP pod with @forrestbrazeal)
$25m series a?! in this economy?!

wonderful meetup event tonight. can feel the energy building and love @jolandgraf and @svenefftinge’s incredible passion for solving this problem. super encouraged that they really get how important it is to make dev environments *ephemeral*

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More from @swyx

swyx Profile picture
Dec 14
this neurips is really going to be remembered as the "end of pretraining" neurips

notes from doctor @polynoamial's talk on scaling test time compute today

(thank you @oh_that_hat for organizing) Image
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all gains to date have been from scaling data and pretrain compute and yet LLMs cant solve simple problems like tictactoe

however inference costs have scaled much less. Image
goes back to libratus/pluribus work

poker model scaling from 2012-2015 - scaled 5x each year, but still lost dramatically (9 big bets per hundred) to poker pros in 80k hands

recalls familiar insight about humans taking longer to think for harder problems.

added 20s of search - reduced distance from nash equilibrium results reduced by a factor of 7 - roughly the equivalent of scaling up model size by 100,000xImage
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Read 22 tweets
swyx Profile picture
Oct 1
Here’s my @OpenAIDevs day thread for those following along. everyone else gotchu with videos and stuff so i will just give personal notes and aha moments thru the day

first observation: @sama MIA

GPT5 still mentioned and on the table



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after some nice screenshot of Cocounsel, time for @romainhuet’s legendary live demos. o1 one-shots an ios app and does the frotnend/backend to control a drone.

ai controlled drones, what could go wrong?


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@romainhuet Realtime API announced!

starting with speech to speech support
all 6 adv voice mode voices supported

demo next Image
Read 43 tweets
swyx Profile picture
Sep 30
just realized NotebookLM is @GoogleDeepMind's ChatGPT moment

- "low key research preview"/"experimental"
- not monetized
- GPUs/TPUs immediately on fire
- SOTA proprietary new model buried in there with upgrade that weren't previously announced
- new AI UX that cleverly embeds LLM usage natively within the product features

in this case NBLM nailed multimodal RAG and I/O in a way that @ChatGPTapp never did (or for that matter, @GeminiApp). The multiple rounds of preprocessing described by @stevenbjohnson also raise the quality of the audio conversation dramatically at the cost of extreme latency (took an efficient model that was advertised as capable of generating 30s of audio in 0.5s, and slapped on like 200s of LLM latency haha)Image
@GoogleDeepMind like, i put my podcast into it and it made a podcast of my podcast and... it was good.

do u guys know we spend 1-2 hrs writing up the show notes and now its a button press in NBLM

@GoogleDeepMind - just hired @OfficialLoganK

if i had a penny for every time this has happened i'd have two pennies
Read 5 tweets
swyx Profile picture
Sep 18
Gemini really took pride topping @lmsysorg for a hot second and then @OpenAI said "oh no u dont" and put out 4 straight bangers pounding everyone into the dust by 50 elo points

V high bar set for Gemini 2, Grok 2.5, and Claude 4 this fall.

Multiple fronts - on reasoning, multiturn chat tuning, instruction following, and coding - to compete.Image
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anyway we finally did a @latentspacepod paper club on STaR and friends, swim on by



i hastily sketched out a "paper stack" of what the "literature of reasoning" could look like, but this is amateur work - would love @teortaxesTex or @arattml to map out a full list of likely relevant papers for o1Image
holy shit @ideogram_ai thumbnails are untapped alpha Image
Read 4 tweets
swyx Profile picture
Sep 11
**Frontier AI in your Hands**

my live notes from today’s @MistralAI summit ft Jensen Huang and @arthurmensch and crew here

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first articulation of La Plateforme vision beyond just hosted mistral models

sounds alarmingly familiar tbh


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Mistral model priorities

i’ve seen a similar chart from openai i cannot share but this one is actually open :) Image
Read 22 tweets
swyx Profile picture
Sep 9
wow. Apple might just have fixed Siri.

and beat OpenAI to the first AI phone.

and commoditized OpenAI with Google.

and casually dropped a video understanding model.

incredibly well executed.

(see @smol_ai writeup below for deltas from WWDC)
notable reveals from today's iphone 16 event, especially Apple Visual Intelligence:

- Mail and Notifications will show summaries instead of str[:x]

- Siri now knows iPhone, becomes the ultimate manual on how to use the increasingly complicated iOS 18

and can read your texts (!) to suggest actions with Personal Context Understanding

(also it will try to advertise apple tv shows to you... i'm SURE it will be totally objective and aligned to your preferences amirite)

- new iphone 16 camera control button is PRIME real estate - notice how OpenAI/ChatGPT is now next to Google search, and both are secondary clicks to Apple's visual search, which comes first

- camera adds events to calendar!

"all done on device" and on cloud (though craig doesnt say that haha)

insanely good ideas on ai + phone integrations.Image
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today: visual ai on button press

tomorrow: Image
Read 6 tweets

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