AB76 Profile picture
Jun 9 9 tweets 5 min read
1. As @cwrioclaro writes, “It is hard work and requires a lot of thought and analysis to make changes to the fiscal terms for the energy sector.”
2. But the Finance Minister, @ImbertColm, obtained a Master’s Degree, in Oil and Gas Law, with Distinction, with a specialisation in Fiscal Regimes and Oil Taxation from the University of Aberdeen in 2016. finance.gov.tt/our-people/min…
3. Incidentally, the University of Aberdeen has this to say about #Trinidad’s #oilandgas fiscal regime.
4. @ImbertColm has been promising a new fiscal regime that will encourage investment & stop the decline in production/reserves since his 1st budget in Oct 2015. He’s failed to deliver on either, with the consequence that there’s been no economic growth. finance.gov.tt/wp-content/upl…
5. In his 2nd budget in Sep 2016, @ImbertColm explained that, for free, the IMF had provided advice on changes to the fiscal system that would both promote investment and ensure that the government received a substantial share of the subsequent profits. finance.gov.tt/wp-content/upl…
6. Having had almost seven years, a Master’s Degree in Fiscal Regimes and Oil Taxation, and free advice from the IMF, you’d think that the revised fiscal scheme would be in place by now.
7. In his 1st budget, @ImbertColm warned that there would be limited economic growth if energy production didn’t increase and committed himself to increasing it by reforming the fiscal system to incentivise investment. He didn’t, production has fallen and there’s been no growth.
8. The failure to reform has been an economic disaster for #TrinidadandTobago. And still the government dithers. ab-76.blogspot.com/2022/06/broken…

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More from @AB___76

Jun 10
1. It’s been well reported that #TrinidadandTobago’s deep water #oilandgas bid round disappointed. Even more disappointing is the consequence that outcome will now have on the country’s economic growth.
2. There’s been no overall economic growth in TT since the @thepnmparty government came to power in 2015 - see the dashed red line in the chart below. Image
3. In large part this is because #Trinidad’s #oilandgas production has fallen dramatically since 2015 - see bottom left and top right in the chart below.

That fall in production has led to a consequential fall in government revenue - see top left in the chart below. Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 9
1. The @GuardianTT asks why there was a poor response to the deep water bid round. We could go back to the 2015 Budget (when the government first promised to reform the energy fiscal system), but let’s start in June 2021.
2. @StuartRYoung1, who in June 2021 had just been appointment to @TTMEEI, attended @TTEnergyChamber’s conference. He said his focus was on bringing oil & gas resources to market as quickly as possible & that he needed to review fiscal terms before embarking on the next bid rounds
3. Then in October 2021, @ImbertColm announced in the Budget, a “review [of] the appropriateness in today’s environment of our three main petroleum taxes, namely Petroleum Profits Tax (also known as Corporation Tax in this Sector), Supplemental Petroleum Tax and Royalty.”
Read 12 tweets
Jun 8
1. “This Government is committed to taking measures to reverse the decline in oil and gas production and to boost exploration activity” said the @thepnmparty’s @ImbertColm in September 2015. #Trinidad #oilandgas ab-76.blogspot.com/2022/06/broken…
2. “Accordingly, in the shortest time possible, after consultation with the industry, we will introduce a new and appropriate fiscal regime designed to encourage further exploration…” @ImbertColm continued in 2015. ab-76.blogspot.com/2022/06/broken…
3. “We cannot sit idly by and allow production to decline and revenues to fall, and in finding a solution to the difficulties that we now face as a country, we must all work together” @ImbertColm went on. ab-76.blogspot.com/2022/06/broken…
Read 7 tweets
Jun 8
1. Last week, #Trinidad’s @StuartRYoung1 said that he was not surprised by the disappointing outcome of the Deep Water Bid Round. guardian.co.tt/business/minis…
2. @StuartRYoung1 said this even though 12 companies had accessed the data room when bidding started and only two went on to bid. upstreamonline.com/exploration/oi…
3. @ImbertColm must surely have been disappointed. During the 2022 budget he stated that “We are accordingly deeply hopeful that the next rounds of bids in 2022 will attract significant investor interest on land, in shallow water marine areas and our deep-water marine areas”.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 5
1. Earlier this week @DrKeithRowley addressed @TTEnergyChamber’s Conference saying, “The proliferation of bid-rounds will increase the competition for capital in an energy market that is undergoing transition.” opm.gov.tt/prime-minister…
2. @DrKeithRowley continued, “While we are acknowledged as a proven hydrocarbon province with substantial unrealized potential, we need to maintain our competitiveness and resilience.” opm.gov.tt/prime-minister…
3. And @DrKeithRowley further continued with, “This involves the lowering production costs, improving oil and gas production efficiency, an attractive fiscal regime and a more expeditious execution of the regulatory oversight.” opm.gov.tt/prime-minister…
Read 5 tweets
Jun 4
1. In September 2015 the @thepnmparty’s Nicole Olivierre, who was then Energy Minister, addressed the @TTEnergyChamber saying that TT faced an “unabated decline” in oil and gas reserves and production and needed to take action to halt the downward trend. oxfordbusinessgroup.com/overview/new-f…
2. In October 2015 @ImbertColm, then and now the Finance Minister, committed the government to “a new and appropriate fiscal regime designed to encourage further exploration in fields on land, on shallow and on deepwater acreage”. oxfordbusinessgroup.com/overview/new-f…
3. The problem is SPT. It “was originally introduced as a windfall tax kicking in when oil prices reached $50 a barrel or higher. As a result of inflation over the years… $50 a barrel is no longer seen as exceptionally high price.” oxfordbusinessgroup.com/overview/new-f…
Read 11 tweets

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