Will Manidis Profile picture
Jun 13, 2022 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Freeport, one of the largest US plants exporting liquefied natural gas, exploded on Wednesday.

Freeport represents a critical piece of infrastructure in Europe's divestment from Russian oil. Yet this story is almost no where in the mainsteam news, so let's dig in. Image
Freeport is represents over 20% of US natural gas exports. A ten billion plus+ capex project, the plant processes two billion cubic feet a day of pipeline-quality natural gas.

the plant spits off $7.4b in revenue yearly. 80% of its shipments are direct to Europe. Image
As Europe attempts to divest from Russian oil, it becomes increasingly reliant on the constant stream of cargo ships from ports like Freeport.

LNG is the key to energy independence for western europe, and is crippled if we continue to lose infrastructure like freeport.
So what exactly happened at Freeport?

We still do not know. The explosion occurred at 11:40 a.m. CT at on Quintana Island, 65 miles south of Houston. The explosion caused a fire that sent black smoke billowing into the air and could be felt from dozens of miles away. Image
While no one was injured, the response included 26 fire departments from across the state, and reports of half a dozen federal agencies.

Freeport's Explosion, even if by natural causes, represents a massive win for Russian interests.
Analysts believe that the outage will take 12+ cargoes off the market this summer, amounting to nearly one million tons of LNG that will not be available to Europe before winter.

Natural gas spot prices in the UK have jumped more than 30 percent percent on news.
As we find out exactly what caused Freeport, it's a shocking reminder of the fragility of our core energy infrastructure. A constant reminder that we are only a few bad actors away from total collapse.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Will Manidis

Will Manidis Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @WillManidis

Mar 27
five thoughts on choosing who you work with/for:
1) moral alignment matters more than incentive alignment

people focus too much on aligning incentives. incentives are messy and can hardly be aligned. find people you share convictions and faith with, and keep working with them for long amounts of time. it'll work out.
2) even on long days, it should be fun

there's a difference between challenging and exhausting. the best people are extremely challenging, but never exhausting, and always in enough control of their emotions to know when to step back after a long day.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 2
within months you will be able to buy genomics data from 14 million americans for +/- $200m?

the inevitable fire sale of this mess to an overseas PE firm is going to be a national security matter on the scale of which we haven't seen in healthcare in years Image
in general, hhs has left open a dangerously large hole around healthcare data sales

the reg we have now are so deeply embedded in precision oncology/2010s-RWD that they are completely unprepared to address what post-LLM healthcare data sales will actually mean
ONC should build federal data lake, incentivize state funded systems to contribute, allow companies to access these data for training/benchmarking but not directly touch/view the data.

use this as a backdoor to build a non-SAMD regulatory pathway for healthcare AI.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 25, 2023
what’s the best truly banned book?

not like 1984 banned — I mean PDFs that are literally unprintable, truly arcane knowledge
the McKinsey internal firm history is an obvious one though easy to get these days

the sequoia history that mm wrote is an obvious one (unless @shaunmmaguire 🤝)
@shaunmmaguire the nick sleep letters were great and esoteric for a while but now easily available as well
Read 5 tweets
Nov 17, 2023
The AI/healthcare discourse has reached new levels of insane this week

A close friend, a MD at a prestigious medical center, recently shared the following memo with me. He asked me to share this anonymously.

"What we don't talk about when we talk about AI/medicine"
1. Standard of Care isn't Standard Care

Novel modalities of care (AI-assisted, etc.) are measured against a platonic ideal of SOC that doesn't exist in clinic

Medicine is as much of an art as a science, providers are overworked, tired, and often veer dramatically from SOC.
Novel care modalities are killed in the cradle as they can never measure up to the textbook provider with infinite knowledge and time.

This isn't what most patients receive. Less efficacious care that scale to many more patients are an obvious moral good but are difficult today
Read 12 tweets
Oct 30, 2023
The Executive Order on AI issued by the White House today represents the beginning of a complete overhaul of the regulatory landscape for healthcare AI.

Here are my notes on what matters from the 100+ pages:
Let's start with a quick summary of the EO's requirements:

- Within 180 days, HHS shall publish a plan to promote responsible AI use in public benefits like Medicare/Medicaid. The plan should address access to benefits, notice, evaluation for unjust denials, etc

(Section 7.2b)
- Within 365 days, HHS shall establish an AI safety program that partners with Patient Safety Organizations to create a framework for capturing clinical errors caused by AI, analyzing data, and developing informal guidance aimed at avoiding these harms.

(Section 8biv)
Read 14 tweets
Oct 18, 2023
healthcare is having its top deck of the titanic moment

what happens in the next year will define the next century of american healthcare, and basically everyone is ignoring it.

here's the real story:
Healthcare has been defined by four factors:
1. Extremely limited supply (MDs are scarce and costly).
2. Principal-agent problem with payments (your insurance pays, not you).
3. Inelastic demand and high trust (you need it and have confidence in it).
4. Regulatory capture.
this has allowed the industry to behave in incredibly weird ways

cost can constantly grow, patient experience can constantly degrade, and clinics will still fill up with waitlists.

because patients trust it, need it, aren't paying for it, and have no choice.
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(