Thread by @summerbookends

🧵 HOCKEY CLUTCH-TIME GOALS (CTG)

GWG👎 CTG🤘

I've been toying with CTG as a stat for a while

GWG has always been an issue for me. Is 1-0 goal in an 8-0 win truly valuable? I'd prefer better marker of clutch performance

Win/lose, who performed when it mattered most? (contd)

For me CTG is:
- scored in 3rd or OT only
- ties the score, puts team ahead by 1 or 2 (insurance marker)

Can a player score more than one CTG in a game? Why not! If a player puts his team on his back and scores tying goal twice in 3rd and the OT winner, that is super clutch

Can a game have no CTG? Absolutely. Most don't. A 5-1 game decided in the 1st period didn't require anyone at clutch time. No CTGs that game

Simultaneously, in a back & forth game in the 3rd, both teams could have multiple CTGs. Both teams have players stepping up

I like CTG (and CTP, Clutch-Time Points) as better indicators of who performed when it mattered most

I am curious who would be the league leaders each season for this!

I started to look at the #Leafs last 5 playoff runs. I'm no Nylander fan - I think he's talented but scores when it doesn't matter. I was dead wrong. He has 5 CTP (points) in the past 5 years, most on the team. Matthews leads the team with 3 CTG over that time.

Mostly I was struck by how few CTGs the Leafs had:

#Leafs last 5 yrs: 13 CTG
#Habs last yr: 13 CTG

This was despite Leafs going the distance every year (5 rnds, 33GP). They have no CTGs in any of their winner-take-all games in any of the 5 games.

Curious who would be league's best CTG performers and how that may/may not be better indicator of team or personal success

(and aware there is strong debate for additional parameters for what might count as a CTG)

/end