Niyi Lawal™ Profile picture
Jun 17 8 tweets 4 min read
Its looking like there will be a run off in next year's Presidential election. #kwakwansiyya spread in the north shouldn't be underrated, he will likely get enough votes to impact the votes esp. for #Atiku and #BAT2023 in the north and.....
#Atiku is at a disadvantage here since the north is his stronghold. #Kwankwaso will win the NW and likely 25% in all states of NE. SW...BAT's stronghold n will get d most votes in all SW states, but will dat be enough? given that he must have 25% of votes from 24 states.
....Also in the same west, #PeterObi will make a showing, it will only be strong enough to damage PDP's chances and perhaps of no effect at all on APC's (reasons later). SOUTH EAST....#PeterObi will be a thorn in the flesh for PDP,
....they will suffer a lot of damage from the emergence of #PeterObi as a contender because PO is of Igbo extract, a vast majority will vote along that line, and the buzz his candidacy has created around, and second reason why he will have a strong showing is bcos the PDP didnt..
choose SE as Atiku's r/mate. Ohaeneze, (who have expressed displeasure over d choice of Atiku's r/mate), like many socio-cultural groups are known to ave considerable big influence on older people, again, this coupled with the Youths' clamour for Peter is def working.....
....against PDP. Atiku and PO will most likely split the votes or Atiku edges him by a slim chance. APC will have a poor showing. In the SS, PO's influence will be felt but never enough to impact PDP's chances there. APC's presence will be felt but may not get 25% in enough...
....states there. PDP will get the 25% in almost all the states in SS. PO's Labour party will not get the 25% in SS states.
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