1. So, what's *really* going on with the UK asylum system? Here's a deep dive briefing for #RefugeeWeek2022 and five key charts. 🧵
I like charts.
2. First, number of asylum claims. They've gone up, but only very recently and they are still way below the peak of 2002. Most arrivals are by small boat now, though.
3. Next, success rate. Asylum seekers or refugees? Both. The success rate is the highest it has been since the 1980s: 75% of all claims for asylum succeed, and that is before appeals. And it is higher for some nationalities, like Afghans, Iranians and Syrians.
1. To start off #RefugeeWeek2022, I've answered some of the classic legal questions around refugees and the Refugee Convention.More detail in the linked blog post at the end 🧵
1. Those of us who oppose the Rwanda plan are sometimes asked what our alternative is. The idea that the only possible response to small boat arrivals is to ship some of them to Rwanda is self evidently absurd. There are plenty of alternatives. 🧵
2. We can just... cope. France and Germany accept far, far more asylum claims than we do. So far we've welcomed 70,000 refugees from Ukraine and 114,000 from Hong Kong in the last year or so. That's good, and it shows that capacity and numbers aren't the issues here.
3. Dangerous journeys are a problem. We've turned a blind eye to over 24,000 dying on Mediterranean routes since 2014 so, frankly, it seems odd that some commentators now profess to be worried about the Channel. But we could offer safe routes and asylum processing in France.
Court of Appeal living Rwanda appeal judgment live now. Wish they'd start with the outcome then explain...
Reminder that the court is only considering whether the claimants should stay in the UK or be removed to Rwanda pending the final outcome of the challenge to be heard in a few weeks' time.
At this rate I'm not sure the giving of this judgment will end before the flight takes off...
Was thinking of writing a piece on the history of UK governments trying to offload migrants or potential migrants to other countries. Possible examples so far…
Slave trade was massive scale human transportation, obviously. Not sure it meets my criteria of “migrants” since the people involved hadn’t previously and didn’t want to move.
The (disastrous) project to settle Sierra Leone and establish Freetown would count, though, I think.
1. The Rwanda scheme is an example of why it is important to have access to a lawyer. It's because the law will not be applied without us. A quick explainer.
2. There are very strong legal arguments that the entire scheme is unlawful at a system level, in the sense that no-one could lawfully be removed under the scheme because it would breach international and therefore domestic law.
3. Even if those system level legal arguments are wrong, i.e. rejected by the courts, there are very strong legal arguments that removal to Rwanda is unlawful in individual cases for a wide variety of individuals.