1/ For people who don't understand why this cause of death ranking issue matters, let me summarize... It is an absolute scandal that the CDC can use a flawed pre-print without even basic vetting and in an especially misleading way - in vaccine approval meetings no less!
2/ Then the bad data is shared widely on social media and in mainstream media, and because it's been "blessed" by the CDC, nobody questions it. And I suspect the CDC will never admit to sharing what was obvious misinformation and nobody will be held accountable.
3/ How did we get to this point, where medical decisions that affect the entire country are being based on lies FROM THE CDC and everyone is just okay with it?!?
4/ In case you're wondering, I am not dropping this. I want this to get enough attention that the CDC is forced to answer why they used a rotten pre-print in an even more rotten way. There's no excuse.
5/ Three different CDC employees used this pre-print in their presentations to VRBPAC and ACIP, so don't try to tell me the exact ranking isn't that important. They knew "top 5" would be compelling. Was it coordinated?
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Back in January, I complimented the CDC on some reassuring messaging about Covid, that it turns out was the work of @dr_kkjetelina and a team she's working with at CDC. I took the opportunity to reach out to Dr. Jetelina to see if she'd be open to talking with me. 🧵
I'd admittedly been critical of Dr. Jetelina during Covid, but I appreciated that she was trying to improve communication and rebuild trust, and I wanted to share my perspective as someone who had lost trust in public health. We ended up having a very interesting Zoom call!
Dr. Jetelina suggested we write a brief article together about some of what we talked about in our call, and I eagerly took her up on the opportunity. This just touches on some of the topics we covered in our call. checkyourwork.kelleykga.com/cp/142609262
Apoorva is out with a terrible take in the NYT on the new proposed CDC isolation guidance. It's a very one-sided piece that doesn't include a single expert who supports dropping isolation. She can't stand the idea that we haven't reorganized society around Covid precautions. 1/4
And I'm disappointed to see @JenniferNuzzo acting like Covid is still very different from other respiratory infections. She suggested the CDC could "at least" recommend N95s in lieu of isolation. (People aren't going to do that, and there's no good evidence it would help.) 2/4
And I've got news for Apoorva and Jay Varma... Most people eschew masks simply because they are unpleasant to wear. It really is that simple. 3/4
Some people still think that Covid is the third or fourth leading cause of death in the US, but that hasn't been true for a while. I thought people could use some more good news as we head into the Thanksgiving weekend! checkyourwork.kelleykga.com/p/leading-caus…
Below are the leading causes of death in the US for rolling 12-month periods since Dec. 2020. (*For the period ending September 2023, rankings for Accidents was adjusted up based on the CDC’s 6-month lag in reporting external causes of death.)
Covid deaths have been declining year-over-year and nearing several other causes of death, so the ranking may drop further in coming months. (Suicide data is only displayed through April due to the 6-month lag in reporting external causes of death.)
Apparently the CDC, under new Director Mandy Cohen, has decided that the problem with their guidance is that it's too *precise* and not simple enough! AYFKM?!? They can't even handle nuance that elderly cancer patients are more at risk from Covid than healthy teen boys! (1/6)
In their infinite wisdom, they decided to lean further into emotional appeals about **protecting grandma** to "counterbalance...concerns around fear mongering." DO THESE LUNATICS EVEN HEAR THEMSELVES?!? (2/6)
And if that wasn't bad enough, they previewed some of their upcoming social media campaign. It's more insane "stop the spread" propaganda that tells people to "DO EVERYTHING" - including vaccines, testing, and masks! Is @CDCgov not aware that it's 2023?!? I'm losing it. (3/6)
Gavin Yamey was happy to dunk on this random account for being a Covid minimizer, but somehow left out that the number cited is a huge overstatement of pediatric Covid deaths in 2020 (it's actually ~200). Is he ok letting people believe that Covid was that deadly to kids?
Of course, as a well-known scientist at a respected institution, you'd expect him to delete his tweet sharing incorrect death counts and update his followers once he's presented with accurate data from CDC, right?
Nope! Not only did he leave his tweet up after I replied with the right data, he made another tweet to mock a different person with a small following who replied saying the number wasn't right.