My reply to the new Minister of Health’s appointment. #onhealth
You and colleagues were celebrating the opening of restaurants and other businesses and telling Ontario it was time to reopen as you ignored dire warnings of experts who were brought to tears and while the province was only starting vaccinations.
Let’s not forget that special orders had to be issued to avoid tent wards outside hospitals, orders that had untrained staff looking after patients. Let’s not forget that you and your colleagues were ordering policing and closed playgrounds instead of following experts’ advice.
So yes, on behalf of Ontarians who went through that, your appointment is a slap in the face. You are not worthy to lead a single health care professional or to be advised by health experts. I still see you saying you did not trust the models or data, you wanted ICU’s as proof.

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More from @Billius27

Jun 26
You're going to hear a lot more about BA.5 here in Ontario over the coming weeks, then you'll see hospitals accept more incoming. You'll hear a lot of questions about reinfections, boosters, and "why is this happening, it's over?". At least schools will be out. Now if only ⤵️
... someone could connect the dots between infections happening ... masks being off everywhere ... and fourth doses and child doses being held up for many ...
You'll hear from TV experts describing how big or small or mild the wave will be when in fact they and everyone else will not be able to firmly project what will happen with a new evasive subvariant following another evasive subvariant and all the complexities about our immunity.
Read 8 tweets
Jun 26
Opinion on sports betting: I hope it's worth the temporary entertainment value because the odds are heavily against you actually making money over the long run. My advice: put your money into things that grow value, not things that destroy value, so you can save for what matters.
I am a statistician, I studied hockey. Even I would have difficulty making $$$ because the house always takes a slice of the pie. They are the constant winners. Don't need to listen to me, if it's fun, great. But I did retire young on my savings and solid investments FWIW.
The sad thing is that a lot of working people with limited income who need the money the most are also the ones who lose it as they get caught up in the gambling cycle which can be very addictive for some.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25
🧵Interesting interview with Dr. Drosten, one of Germany's leading experts during the #covid19 pandemic. I sometimes disagreed with him (correctly in retrospect) but mostly nod at his comments, though I find his willingness to let peers dictate his masking incoherent. ⤵️
"I actually would like to correct myself. I no longer believe that we will have the impression by the end of the year that the pandemic has come to an end."
"there is no normalcy when so many people are sick. If decision-makers don’t do anything, there will be a great deal of illness-related absence in the workplace."
Read 7 tweets
Jun 24
UKHSA Variant Technical briefing June 24:
- BA.4 and BA.5 now represent 22% and 39% of new #Covid19 cases in the UK
- BA.5 is growing 35% faster than BA.2; BA.4 is growing 19% faster
Related: England's hospital admissions are growing at 41% per week.
gov.uk/government/new…
Ontario projected June 22 BA.5 status from latest PHO update:
"Based on Nowcast modelling, the proportion of BA.5 is projected to reach 43.6% (95% CI: 25.7% - 63.2%) by June 22"
#onhealth
publichealthontario.ca/-/media/Docume…
Read 7 tweets
Jun 24
Canada and Ontario are lagging in the availability of second boosters to those under 60. The US has already been providing them to 50+. We need to expand eligibility now to offset ongoing waning of either first boosters or prior Omicron infections.

cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
I fought to see mass boosters rolled out in the Fall prior to the Omicron wave but they started way too late and many were infected while waiting for distant scheduled vaccination dates. We need to be proactive *before* a BA.4/5 wave hits and not repeat our sluggishness again.
Last Fall I warned that a rollout would take significant operational time and so opening early is critical. We should at least have the higher risk 50-59 getting them today, to reduce the scheduling backlog somewhat for the next tranche(s). We need to get moving on this.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 14
Early evidence of trend change but certainly not that surprising. Wastewater signal +.09, doubling time of 13.7 days, per Science Table.
#covid19Ontario
The regional charts show that this uptick is common across most regions. Reminder that the ww signal trend can be volatile, as we saw during the last trend change during the BA.2 peak period.
Read 4 tweets

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