Thread by @wartranslated

Igor Girkin publishes his view of the Ukraine frontline situation in the morning of 27 June. Full detailed text is available on the website, the general conclusions are in the thread below 🧵:

wartranslated.com/igor-girkin-ov…

1) The protracted battle of the “Second (Concrete) Stage of the SMO” is gradually ending.

Whether it will end with an operational pause, or will immediately move into the “Battle for the initiative” (“the effective stage” announced by Kadyrov) - I won’t be guessing, but I still expect that this battle will start outside of Donbas.

The current battle is ending with tactical successes of RF AF, but strategically, in general it is unsuccessful since by the 5th month of SMO the group of UAF in Donbas is still not defeated, likewise it was not pushed out of the majority of its positions.

2) The defeat of UAF in the battle for Severodonetsk on one hand, and the failure of the strategic operation to liberate Donbas by RF AF on the other has already lead to the further increase of military supplies for UAF from the “dear western partners” (not mine).

In July-August a lot will be decided after deployment of reserves from both sides. The time is working both against the so-called “Ukraine” and the RF. But against the RF, the time is working harder.

Especially considering how the Russian political authorities seduced by local (and very expensive) successes are critically slowly realising the necessity of putting the country’s economy onto “war rails”.

Full text: wartranslated.com/igor-girkin-ov…