Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Jun 30, 2022 18 tweets 5 min read Read on X
This day was quite eventful for Vladimir Mau, the rector of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. On the bright side, he was reelected to the board of Gazprom as an independent director. On the dark side he was arrested (not a thread) Image
The University of РАНХиГС (RANEPA) has a special place in the Russian system of power. While the Higher School of Economics has been traditionally training the Western style expertocracy ("evidence based approach") for the Kremlin, the RANEPA would train the actual leadership Image
Disclaimer: That is not to devalue the RANEPA. When it comes to the economics, social sciences, humanities, Higher School of Economics was mostly about the intellectual import from the West (not math, math is *really* good). But otherwise there's not much original thought there Image
Until recently the Higher School of Economics was viewed as politically heterodox. Unlike most other schools it would defend its students persecuted for protesting rather than kick them out. That's an anomaly. But intellectually and methodologically it was unbearably orthodox
With the RANEPA it was the other way around. Standing very close to the seat of power, they would never afford a deviation from the Kremlin policy. But intellectually it was an oasis of original thought, the *real* thought, that the Higher School of Economics IMHO never was
RANEPA leadership would never quarrel with Kremlin. They were super conformist. Intellectually though they would experiment. Meanwhile, more liberal HSE could argue with Kremlin. Intellectually though it largely mimicked the most recent Western fashion. Nothing original
Why? Good question. May be it all comes to leverage. The RANEPA leverage was its proximity to Kremlin. The HSE leverage was their (perceived) proximity to the West. It was the Brahmin structure that valued its status too much to actually try doing anything interesting or unusual
I studied at the HSE, worked at the RANEPA and could feel the contrast. Being super pro Kremlin and never defending their students the way that the HSE did, research wise the RANEPA was way more open to the unorthodox topics and methods. They were not intellectually futile
HSE grads occupy lots of expert positions in the system of Russian power, mostly in finance and economic policy making. But the RANEPA is way more represented in promoting the actual political leadership. Consider the school of governors
On May 10 Putin fired five governors in one day. Many didn't see any pattern in their dismissal. May be there is none. But there is a pattern in who was appointed at their places. Four out of five finished the school of governors at the RANEPA
Since the School of governors ("Higher School of Public Administration") was founded in 2017, 46 of its grads became governors. That's a massive number, considering that Russia has only 85 regions for the governors to be appointed at
Ok, you may ask. So 4/5 out of the Putin's recent gubernatorial appointees finished the school of governors. Makes sense. But who was the fifth? Who managed to skip the school and still become a governor? Image
Well, that's Roman Busargin, the new governor of Saratov Oblast. He indeed skipped the school of governors, being promoted via another social elevator - the competition "Leaders of Russia" лидерыроссии.рф Image
So what do we see here? We see that theoretically Russia is a federation consisting of regions. Theoretically executive power in a region derives from the mandate of masses, given through elections Image
In practice though you don't become a Russian governor by winning elections. You become one by winning crappy competitions either in the School of Governors or in the Leaders of Russia.

That's how these competitions look like. Jumping into the water from a 7 meters height rock
In Russia the supreme executive power most literally derives from a farcical aquatic ceremony Image
And yet, if power derives from the aquatic ceremony, then the ceremony is real. It is the "mandate of the masses" that is truly farcical. So the question is who made up the ceremony?

We know the answer. Both School of Governors and the Leaders of Russia are run by the same guy Image
The same guy who appointed Putin as the FSB Chief in 1998. End of not a thread

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Kamil Galeev

Kamil Galeev Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @kamilkazani

Jun 19
On the impending war with Iran

One thing you need to understand about wars is that very few engage into the long, protracted warfare on purpose. Almost every war of attrition was planned and designed as a short victorious blitzkrieg

And then everything went wrong
Consider the Russian war in Ukraine. It was not planned as a war. It was not thought of as a war. It was planned as a (swift!) regime change allowing to score a few points in the Russian domestic politics. And then everything went wrong
It would not be an exaggeration to say that planning a short victorious war optimised for the purposes of domestic politics is how you *usually* end up in a deadlock. That is the most common scenario of how it happens, practically speaking
Read 12 tweets
Jun 18
Hard to swallow pill

Global politics are usually framed in terms of kindergarten discourse (“good guys” vs “bad guys”) with an implication that you must provide “good guys” with boundless and unconditional support

BUT

Unconditional support is extremely corrupting, and turns the best of the best into the really nasty guys, and relatively fast
Part of the reason is that neither “bad” nor “good” guys are in fact homogenous, and present a spectrum of opinions and personalities. Which means that all of your designated “good guys” include a fair share of really, really nasty guys, almost by definition.

Purely good movements do not really exist
That is a major reason why limitless, unconditional, unquestioning support causes such a profound corrupting effect upon the very best movement. First, because that movement is not all
that purely good as you imagine (neither movement is),
Read 4 tweets
Jun 14
On Trump's birthday

Let's have a look at these four guys. Everything about them seems to be different. Religion. Ideology. Political regime. And yet, there is a common denominator uniting all:

Xi - 71 years old
Putin - 72 years old
Trump - 79 years old
Khamenei - 86 years old Image
Irrespectively of their political, ideological, religious and whatever differences, Russia, China, the United States, Iran are all governed by the old. Whatever regime, whatever government they have, it is the septuagenarians and octogenarians who have the final saying in it.
This fact is more consequential than it seems. To explain why, let me introduce the following idea:

Every society is a multiracial society, for every generation is a new race

Although we tend to imagine them as cohesive, all these countries are multigenerational -> multiracial
Read 7 tweets
Jun 7
In 1927, when Trotsky was being expelled from the Boslhevik Party, the atmosphere was very and very heated. One cavalry commander met Stalin at the stairs and threatened to cut off his ears. He even pretended he is unsheathing he sabre to proceed

Stalin shut up and said nothing
Like obviously, everyone around could see Stalin is super angry. But he still said nothing and did nothing

Which brings us to an important point:

Nobody becomes powerful accidentally
If Joseph Stalin seized the absolute control over the Communist Party, and the Soviet Union, the most plausible explanation is that Joseph Stalin is exercising some extremely rare virtues, that almost nobody on the planet Earth is capable of

Highly virtuous man, almost to the impossible level
Read 7 tweets
Jun 1
Growing up in Russia in the 1990s, I used to put America on a pedestal. It was not so much a conscious decision, as the admission of an objective fact of reality. It was the country of future, the country thinking about the future, and marching into the future. Image
And nothing reflected this better than the seething hatred it got from Russia, a country stuck in the past, whose imagination was fully preoccupied with the injuries of yesterday, and the phantasies of terrible revenge, usually in the form of nuclear strike. Image
Which, of course, projected weakness rather than strength

We will make a huuuuuuge bomb, and drop it onto your heads, and turn you into the radioactive dust, and you will die in agony, and we will be laughing and clapping our hands

An old man yelling at clouds Image
Read 9 tweets
May 2
Fake jobs are completely normal & totally natural. The reason is: nobody understands what is happening and most certainly does not understand why. Like people, including the upper management have some idea of what is happening in an organisation, and this idea is usually wrong.
As they do not know and cannot know causal relations between the input and output, they just try to increase some sort of input, in a hope for a better output, but they do not really know which input to increase.
Insiders with deep & specific knowledge, on the other hand, may have a more clear & definite idea of what is happening, and even certain, non zero degree of understanding of causal links between the input and output

(what kind of input produces this kind of output)
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(