Phil Syrpis Profile picture
Jul 8 12 tweets 3 min read
🧵 on the long shadow of the 2016 referendum; prompted by the status of anyone tainted by association with 'remain' in the forthcoming Tory leadership race. 1/9
In 2016, the country had a choice, to decide whether to stick with EU membership, or to leave the EU. We know how the referendum was conducted, and what the outcome was. We also know what has happened in the years since 2016. 2/9
In one sense, Brexit is done. The UK has left the EU. It isn't going to rejoin any time soon.

In another, Brexit is not done. The 'future relationship' is not functioning smoothly. There is widespread agreement that *something* needs to be done to improve it. 3/9
But that's as far as the agreement reaches. People disagree strongly about what the 'future relationship' between the UK and the EU should look like, and how to get there.

What UK politics *should* be doing is looking urgently for answers to those questions. 4/9
We are not in a 'campaigning phase', trying to convince people of the benefits of Brexit, and trying to get people to take the risk of voting for a largely unknown 'leave'.

We are instead in a 'governing phase', trying to make arrangements, to coin a phrase, 'work'. 5/9
In this phase, a strong belief, or conviction, or faith, about the benefits of leaving the EU is neither sufficient nor necessary.

In this phase some scepticism, and some experience of how trade agreements are made and how trade law works, is, instead, useful. 6/9
I can well understand that the Tory Party will not choose a leader who wants to reverse Brexit. But the idea that anyone who voted remain in 2016 should not be considered, is, to me, bizarre. 7/9
It goes further. 'The remoaner blob' is implausibly blamed for the fall of Johnson and for the Govt's policy failures.

There has been no attempt to bridge divide between the 52% and the 48%. Instead, divisions are stoked at every opportunity. 8/9
Essentially, it shouldn't matter how people voted in 2016. What should matter is whether people offer a way forward for the UK. And part of that way forward involves creating a stable, functioning relationship with the EU. 9/9
The need for a Brexiter leader has just been discussed (not altogether badly) on #politicslive. But ‘authenticity’ - which shouldn’t mean ‘voted/campaigned for Brexit’ - did muddy the waters.
I’ve seen this from Ben Wallace from 2016. Genuine question: is it really enough to rule him (and the likes ofLiz Truss) out of the race? gov.uk/government/new…
Not Brexit but Covid, this time. Those who stray from the policy preferences of the Tory press will be savaged.

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More from @syrpis

Jul 9
OK: here goes with a Johnson/future of the Tory Party thread. In short, once Johnson goes, don't expect anything much to change. 🧵1/
When Johnson won the GE in 2019, he had an 80 seat majority in Parliament. The Withdrawal Agreement was in place. The world was his oyster.

But from the start, his focus was on power (his power and his party's power), and not on the people's genuine priorities. 2/
This account of mine, I'm pleased to say, stands up very well (it builds on my 'prophetic' pinned tweet thread). 3/

blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2020/02…
Read 16 tweets
Jul 7
It seems like a long time ago, but it was only last week.

There were allegations made against the Deputy Chief Whip, Chris Pincher. It turns out that it was not the first time. It turns out that everybody knew it wasn't the first time. 1/5
And yet, he was allowed to remain in post. And the inevitable happened.

The PM said the following: 'I just want to make absolutely clear that there is no place in this government for anybody who is a predator or who abuses their position of power.' And... 2/5
He also said... 'If I had my time again, I would think back on it and recognise that he wasn't going to learn any lessons and he wasn't going to change and I regret that.'

One may doubt the PM's sincerity, but the message is right, and ought to be obvious. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Jul 7
So... help me with this.

1. Yesterday, Tory MPs and Ministers desert the PM en masse. Many scathing resignation letters are penned.
2. This morning, news breaks that Johnson is going to resign. 1/6
3. Attention turns to the mechanics of the succession, which is in the hands of the 1922 Committee, which overwhelmingly wants Johnson gone.
4. Johnson announces that he will stay on until a successor is found. 2/6
If Tory MPs, in sufficient numbers, want Johnson gone, they can simply refuse to serve in his 'interim Govt'. But some at least seem incapable of saying no. 3/6
Read 9 tweets
Jul 7
I have an article out in the Industrial Law Journal this month, looking at the impact of the EU on UK labour law - before and after Brexit. 1/4

academic.oup.com/ilj/advance-ar…
It looks at the relationship between labour law and trade - both in the context of the internal market, and now the level playing field provisions of the TCA, and urges labour lawyers to engage creatively with trade law arguments. 2/4
It analyses the tests used to determine whether differences in labour standards may create impacts on trade and investment, and at the way in which the parties' obligations may be enforced. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Jul 5
Who would have guessed that the PM’s reaction to the latest news would be to lie about it, get his loyalists to lie about it, and then be forced to backtrack as new evidence emerges which proves that he’s been lying?
This is the latest in a long line of devastating letters…
Read 5 tweets
Jul 4
Starmer's speech - and the early reaction to it - prompt this (inevitably depressing) thread on how badly Brexit has been handled by all sides of the political spectrum. 🧵1/13
Back in 2016, we were asked whether the UK should remain in the EU, or whether it should leave. Since then, to some extent improbably, we have been divided into 'remainers' and 'leavers'. Those labels have become important to political identities. 2/
Let's think about what they look like today.

'Remainers' thought that Brexit would be a bad idea. That it would have big economic costs, and that there was no agreement about what it meant (in terms of a future relationship with the EU). So, we should stay in the EU. 3/
Read 13 tweets

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