Since the new World Population Prospects were now leaked a few days before the official release date (July 11), I will collect my observations in this thread.
The post-2015 fertility collapse has now also partly been incorporated into the projections. World population is projected to reach 9.687B in 2050, to peak in 2086 at 10.43B and to reach 10.36B in 2100. 3 years earlier, it was like this: 2050: 9.736B, 2100: 10.87B and no peak.
Subsaharan Africa was slashed from 2.118B to 2.094B in 2050 and from 3.775B to 3.435B in 2100. This revision alone explains most of the downward correction in the world population projection.
Some other notable revisions (pop in 2100, projected 2019 -> projected 2022)
Afghanistan 74.9M -> 111M
Angola 188M -> 133M
China 1.065B -> 771M
Jamaica 1.79M -> 911K
Mexico 142M -> 116M
Nigeria 733M -> 546M
Pakistan 403M -> 487M
Afghanistan 74.9M -> 111M
Angola 188M -> 133M
China 1.065B -> 771M
Jamaica 1.79M -> 911K
Mexico 142M -> 116M
Nigeria 733M -> 546M
Pakistan 403M -> 487M
Current age pyramid of humanity. The generation born in the early 2010s will likely be the largest one ever born for the time being. 
India, the soon to be most populous country, had its peak in the number of births in the early 2000s.
Here is China for comparison. Huge decline in the number of births starting 5 years ago.
The population pyramid of China looks very similar to the one of Japan 16 years earlier.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
