When - not if - Penny Mordaunt becomes PM, I'll genuinely wish her well.
I've always been this weird, paradoxical combination of weary cynic and at the same time, an optimist who hopes for the best from people.
This makes me... I dunno, a well-intentioned fool?
This will be the seventh change of Prime Minister in my politics-watching lifetime. The only time I didn't have any hope at all was when Johnson became PM.
I'm so dumb, I even took Theresa May's incoming speech about 'burning injustice' seriously! 😳😳😳
Then came 'citizens of nowhere' and WELL. Fuck's sake Theresa. 🤮🤮🤮
In fact, thinking about it, it usually takes me about 3 months. To go from "let's see how they do" to "Oh my God this is a complete horror show".
I was even like that with Blair. Tuition fees were why.
And I had at least *some* hope for the coalition at first. Only for that to vanish very fast.
So yes, I'll wish her well. Then she'll let me down like they bloody all let all of us down all the damn time.
Plus, of course, there's the true golden rule of public life.
The thing to remember about the ERG is that, other than the likes of Braverman, they're not crazy. They're about power: for *them*, at the expense of everyone else.
There are principled Brexiteers out there. Even principled Tory Brexiteers. The ERG hijacked Brexit.
It dragged Theresa May onto a stupid, impossible to deliver path.
It then refused to back the only possible deal which wouldn't put a border in the Irish Sea, and brought her down so it could control Johnson.
Now, it might lose control of a party it's hijacked.
Hence its appalling conduct. It is miles and miles to the right of even the Tory membership itself. Which is truly some going.
Tax cuts at this time will make things worse. Much worse. The ERG *does not care* about that; it wants, and has always wanted, disaster capitalism.
I only saw the first hour of the debate earlier. How did I rank them?
1. Tugendhat
2. Sunak
3. Badenoch
4. Mordaunt
5. Truss
Mordaunt was REALLY flat. I think all the briefing against her left her frozen: which way to turn? She has to improve significantly and just relax.
Truss is like someone's idea of a practical joke. You could practically see the ERG's strings controlling her.
"I delivered a trade deal with Australia!" Well whoop de doo, a trade deal with practically our closest friends on the planet!
"I stood up to Putin!"
Liz, in Russia, and in the UK too, you are quite literally a national joke.
Badenoch should've been questioned a LOT more on her initial announcement that she wants a "limited state focused on the essentials". What does that actually mean?
3. The piece (I read it, so you don't have to) contains the obligatory discussion of her personal life - which never happens to male candidates, ever - and the obligatory video of Splash from 2014 too.
4. Mordaunt's book says the following:
- Parliament is antiquated
- We should have an elected House of Lords
- MBEs and OBEs should be scrapped
I find an awful lot of this stuff as only *increasing* the reasons to back Mordaunt.
In particular: the insane, unhinged Lord Frost's attacks. Well no David, she couldn't deliver the impossible. She couldn't deliver unicorns. NOBODY COULD.
Of course, that she backed Brexit - and lied to achieve it - isn't exactly a sign of integrity or judgement.
It's just that... she's a Dan Hannan-style Brexiteer. I doubt either he or she ever seriously thought that post-referendum day, we'd leave the single market.
And I'm quite sure she had the basic intellect necessary to appreciate that:
1. The EU had all the cards in the negotiations
2. What she was being asked to do would tear the Good Friday Agreement to shreds
I don't think she's reckless. I don't think she's *that* dangerous.
"Obviously she'd be a total disaster as PM, but she’d be great material for the sketch. Someone worse than the Maybot. Sign me up for Team Liz".
"Suella Braverman went full-on mad, with a hostage video on Twitter in which she blew up the entire Good Friday agreement by promising to pull out of the European convention on human rights.