*LATEST THREAD ABOUT THE HEAT*
The #UKHeatwave through the weekend into the start of next week is looking increasingly concerning. It's going to be getting very hot for many parts of the UK, and potentially hotter than we've ever recorded.
Here's what you need to know... (1/n)
The heat will build significantly into the weekend and the Met Office has - currently - an AMBER WARNING for Extreme heat across much of Engl and Wales Sun-Tue
These warnings are constantly reviewed and could change as confidence increases...
So how hot will it get? (2/n)
By Sunday, temperatures will be quite widely into the low 30s. By Monday, though, the highest temperatures will be mid to HIGH 30s - with some area forecasts showing temperatures of 40C (most likely in SE). (3/n)
Bear in mind that the highest temperature ever recorded in the UK was 38.7C in Cambridge Botanical Garden in 2019. If we hit 40C, that would break that record by a significant margin. There's more. (4/n)
Overnight temperatures Monday into Tuesday are of particular concern. Some parts of the south east again may not see temperatures drop below 23-24 Celsius overnight. (5/n)
Then Tuesday could see those temperatures get into the high 30s / pushing 40 once again. It's likely to have a significant impact on:
- health
- infrastructure
- transport (6/n)
And although the south and east will get the highest of high temperatures, this heat will be widespread, with many places across the UK seeing temperatures in the 30s Monday and Tuesday. (7/n)
It does cool down after Tuesday, though temperatures will still be above average.
This isn't going to be like a nice holiday in the Mediterranean. We are not geared up to deal with these temperatures in the UK. It's going to be a significant and dangerous hot spell. (8/n)
Oh, and 1976 wasn't as hot as this. (9/n)
Please take care and keep tuned to the forecast. This is likely to be particularly harmful for vulnerable people. We are very concerned about it. (10/10)
Additional useful resource - Met Office warning page. This will be constantly reviewed and updated if the MO deems it necessary: metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnin…
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Just to clear something up: yes, other countries have temperatures higher than what we are expecting and yes, “they seem to manage”.
But they manage because they get high temps much more regularly than us. Let me give some examples: (1/n)
Rails can and do buckle in the heat. An air temp of 30° can make rails around 20° hotter, making them buckle. Other countries adjust rails through winter and summer or use concrete slabs to prevent buckling - this is £££, around 4x a standard ballasted track. We don’t. (2/n)
So we can expect rails to buckle. It’s pretty much a given in these temperatures, so there’ll be speed restrictions here and cancellations that wouldn’t tend to affect other countries that are used to the heat. Next, let’s look at roads (3/n)