Thread by @fawadalijourno

PTI has won 15 out of 20 seats in the By-Elections (2022) of Punjab. Some of the analysts are of the view that all these seats belonged to PTI in 2018 and in contrast to that, PTI lost 5 of them in 2022.
Let's do a comparison of both these elections to find the truth.

-Thread

•PP-83 (District Khushab) in 2018•

1: Independent: 68959
2: PML-N: 47684
5: PTI: 8517
(Even less than TLP)

•PP-83 (District Khushab) in 2022•

1: PTI: 50749
2: PML-N: 43587

PTI has jumped from 5th position to leading the constituency.

•PP-90 (District Bhakkar) in 2018

1. Ind: 59350
2. PML-N: 44915
3. PTI: 12994

•PP-90 (District Bhakkar) in 2022

1: PTI: 77865
2: PML-N:66513

PTI has significantly increased its vote bank to secure the seat compared to their performance in 2018.

•PP-97 (Faisalabad) in 2018•
1: Ind: 42273
2: PTI: 37932
3: PML-N: 35298

•PP-97 (Faisalabad) in 2022•

1: PTI: 67022
2: PML-N:54266

PTI has improved its position and vote bank.

•PP-125 (District Jhang) in 2018•

1: Ind: 50913
2: PTI: 38461

(PML-N did not have a separate candidate)

•PP-125 (District Jhang) in 2022•
1: PTI:82297
2: PML-N:47413

Again, PTI secures it with a significant margin.

•PP-127 (District Jhang) in 2018•

1: Independent: 27399
2: PTI: 26609

•PP-127 (District Jhang) in 2022•
1: PTI: 71648
2: PML-N:47413

Another seat directly won by PTI.

•PP-140 (District Sheikhupura) in 2018•

1: PTI: 32862
2: Ind: 26029

PP-140 (District Sheikhupura) in 2022•

1: PTI: 50166
2: PML-N: 32105

This one has been retained by PTI.

•PP-158 (District Lahore) in 2018•

1: PTI: 52299
2: PML-N:45228

It should be noted that this was won by senior leader Aleem Khan who parted ways in 2022.

•PP-158 (District Lahore) in 2022•

1: PTI: 37463
2: PML-N: 31906

PTI retained this seat.

•PP-167 (District Lahore) in 2018•

1: PTI: 40704
2: PML-N: 38463

•PP-167 (District Lahore) in 2022•

1: PTI: 40511
2: PML-N:26473

The winning candidate in 2018, Nazir Chohan lost on the ticket of PML-N in 2022.

•PP-168 (Lahore) in 2018•

1: PML-N:34114
2: PTI:14940

•PP-168 (Lahore) in 2018-By Elections•

Asad Khokhar won the elections on PTI's ticket.

•2022•

1: PML-N:26169
2: PTI:15767

Asad Khokhar won once again but this time on PML-N's ticket.

•PP-170 (Lahore) in 2018•

1: PTI: 25180
2: PML-N: 20730

•PP-170 (Lahore) in 2022•
1: PTI: 24688
2: PML-N: 17519

PTI retains the seat.

•PP-202 (Sahiwal) in 2018•

1: PTI: 57190
2: PML-N: 44196

•PP-202 (Sahiwal) in 2022•

1: PTI: 62298
2: 59191

PTI retained the seat and beat their own winning candidate from 2018.

•PP-217 (Multan) in 2018

1: Ind: 35294
2: PTI: 31716

•PP-217 (Multan) in 2022

1: PTI: 47349
2: PML-N: 40425

PTI directly won the seat compared to relying on the same winning independent candidate from 2018.

•PP-224 (Lodhran) in 2018•

1: PTI-60482
2: PML-N: 48211

•PP-224 (Lodhran) in 2022•

1: PTI: 69881
2: PML-N: 56214

PTI beat their own winning candidate from 2018.

•PP-228 (Lodhran) in 2018

1: PTI: 43169
2: PML-N: 39731

•PP-228 (Lodhran) in 2022•
1: Ind:45020
2: PTI: 38338

It should be noted that the winning independent candidate lost on PML-Ns ticket in 2018.

Will have to see whether he joins PTI or not.

•PP-237 (Bahawalnagar) in 2018

1: Ind: 56411
2: PTI: 47630

•PP-237 (Bahawalnagar) in 2022•

1: PML-N: 66881
2: PTI: 31148

The same candidate has won.

•PP-272 (Muzaffargarh) in 2018•

1:PTI:27752
2:PML-N:18853

•PP-272 (Muzaffargarh) in 2022•

1: PTI: 46069
2: PML-N: 36401

•PP-273 (Muzaffargarh) in 2018•

1: PTI: 36009
2: Ind: 24269

•PP-273 (Muzaffargarh) in 2022•

1: PML-N: 59679
2: PTI: 51232

The same candidate retained the seat.

•PP-282 (Layyah) in 2018•

1: Ind: 37607
2: PTI: 26992

•PP-282 (Layyah) in 2022•
1:PTI: 57118
2: PML-N: 38758

PTI directly won the seat.

•PP-288 (DG Khan) in 2018•
1: Ind: 39396
2: PTI: 30132

•PP-288 (DG Khan) in 2022•
1: PTI: 58166
2: PML-N: 32212

•PP-7 (Rawalpindi) in 2018•

1: Ind: 44287
2: PML-N:42382
3: PTI: 40332

•PP-7 (Rawalpindi) in 2022•
1: PML-N: 68906
2: PTI: 68857

PML-N apparently won by 49 votes but reportedly, PTI will push for recounting as the margin is too tight and the result was delayed.

To conclude it all:

PTI: Directly won 8 new seats while retained 7 of their seats.

PML-N: Won 4 out which one was lost in the By-Elections. One from Rawalpindi is uncertain. 3rd is lost by PTI while 4th is won from an independent candidate.

Calling it a loss of PTI would be untrue as they have managed to bag an extra 8 seats for which they had to rely on independent candidates in 2018.

For PML-N, it is worrisome because most of their seats were in alliance with the parties part of the Pakistan Democratic Movement.

Some of the numbers might increase or decrease but I have tried to keep it as accurate as possible based on the currently available information.

#ByElection2022

@PTIPoliticsss @islamudinsajid @zalmayzia @FaizullahSwati @HNaqvi34 @KhurramDehwar @tequieremos @GoStudyUmer

Correction: In 2022, an independent candidate Asif Malik took the second position from PP-83 and not PML-N.