Thread by @ErinInTheMorn

I've been tracking anti-transgender legislation for 3 years. I often get asked in DMs, "I live in x state, should I flee/transition/come out?"

So I've decided to make a risk assessment for future anti-trans legislation. Here is a map, with an explainer thread.

🧵

The states with the worst anti trans laws and pushes for more:

- Alabama
- Arkansas
- Florida
- Oklahoma
- Tennessee
- Texas

These are states with the worst anti-trans laws or enforcements, and showing major signs at increasing those laws with the next legislative cycle.

High risk states for extreme anti-trans laws:
- Arizona
- Idaho
- Indiana
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Missouri
- Montana
- Ohio
- South Carolina
- South Dakota
- West Virginia

Momentum for extreme anti-trans legislation is there within one election cycle.

Medium Risk, be ready for anti-trans legislation:
- Any red state not listed
- Some purple states like Virginia, Pennsylvania

These states have considered anti-trans legislation. A right shift in legislatures combined with rising anti-trans sentiment could turn things quickly

Low Risk, keep a close watch:
- Delaware
- Maine
- Maryland
- Michigan
- Minnesota
- Nevada
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- Rhode Island

These states have passed on strong protections for trans people. They are low risk for anti-trans laws, but still have some risk.

For those searching for the safest states:
- California
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Hawaii
- Illinois
- Massachusetts
- New York
- Oregon
- Vermont
- Washington
- Washington, D.C.*

These states have the strongest protections and defeated anti-trans bills handily.

There are a few states from this list that I am on the fence on. Mississippi could be higher risk than I anticipate. New Jersey and Rhode Island could be lower risk. Still, this is my best assessment from watching anti-trans legislation for 3 years now. Hopefully this helps.

Alt text version of the main map:

I will try to produce a colorblind-friendly version of this map tomorrow!

Here's a colorblind version! Lots of people did these, but I'll go ahead and thank @_a__n__d__r__a_ (and everyone else!)

https://twitter.com/_a__n__d__r__a_/status/1549408630436421633