How I built my Investment Thesis -a 🧵

Before I started my Startup investment journey I had no clue how to turn my gut feeling and broader market beliefs into a coherent investment strategy. Or at least how to communicate it succinctly.
Then I discovered the importance of coming up w/ a strong Investment Thesis. One that not only I believe capable of actually delivering returns, but that it also fits with my vision of where the tech world is going and the "spacial sauce" I can bring to the VC world.
Below is how I came up with mine over the course of the start of my startup investing between 2020 and 2021: It wasn't easy at first.
Especially because I quickly realised this was going to be not just about me, but about the VC firm I progressively became convinced to be needed in the ecosystem –and that I would have had to set up.
I wasn’t familiar with the VC jargon (I had always thought an LP was a type of records), was carrying a lot of it over from my engineering background, and I was also confused about how to pick my area of focus.
Not only in terms of what to invest in Vs what not to. But also on what made me (and now my team) unique to deliver a specific strategy better than anyone. It took a lot of inward reflection and asking relentlessly for feedback.
I also need to thank the mentors at the VCLab acceletor, who played a fundamental part in the proces. Key steps I followed to create a strong thesis:
STEP 1: Pick a geography - preferably start with a relatively local one
STEP 2: Conduct market research and pick your industry, sector or vertical
STEP 3: Reflect on what gives you a unique leverage to be in venture capital - ideally something you can quantity in terms of ROI or value created (it can be from your career or past investments track record)
STEP 4: Create your investment thesis statement (see an example roughly based on @govclab's minimalist structure)
STEP 5: Ask for feedback on it from people you know, then from other investors. Eg: I invest in (Sector/Market Companies) in (Geography) leveraging (Secret sauce)
Mine is "I invest in Deep Tech and Big Data seed founders in the UK and Europe, leveraging my community of 15k founders and engineers through which I've sourced, selected and helped launch 33 Deep Tech and Big Data startups now worth over £6 Billion"
This works as an angel thesis and can be tweaked to become a VC fund thesis.

Today my thesis evolved o incorporate 1 more element: How much money I wanted/needed to raise as a VC for my first fund.

But there is only so much I can write on a social media post.
However! If you are interested in learning more about the 5 steps I followed for the thesis or more details om the creation of a full VC fund thesis, share some ❤️ and let me know in the comments: I'd be happy to share more detail.
I wrote more content that didn't fit nicely here so I can probably turn into a blog and send you the link 🙂 Happy investing!

#angelinvesting #investmentthesis #VentureCapital
This is me btw: @francesco_srv - founder of the Silicon Roundabout Ventures VC for angels & family offices and in ❤️ with Deep Tech investing in Europe.

Come say hi if you like the space. Feedback is always welcome:)

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How did you come up with your startup investment thesis?

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More from @francesco_srv

Jul 18
" The real beneficiary of the past 10 year of technology booming in the UK have been teachers in Ontario because the reality is that the Ontario Teachers'​ Pension Plan has been the one that's been deploying" [capital in UK and European Venture Capital]
–Dom Hallas from The Coalition for a Digital Economy speaking to the The Economist

So true!

Media likes to paint VC as a "risky thing"...
...but if you look at the data, it is an asset class that consistently beats the public market. Especially by diversifying and indexing across the class via a diversified VC fund and fund of funds portfolio, which pension funds have the capacity to do.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 15
The other day I was reflecting with my wife on the benefit of long term investing. The biggest and yet simplest truth I realised from that conversation is this: One of the best way to make money when investing is to back an illiquid asset. Here is why:
1) 📈 Real wealth is generated on a long term scale: “compound interest is the most powerful force in the universe. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn’t, pays it.” (Not A. Einstein, but definitely someone smart).
2) 😖 Emotional financial decisions drove people out of Amazon too early and into bad investments too early –with today's tech allowing liquid asset management at the click of a button, nothing is more ruinous than panic selling & impulse buying.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 14
“War is a catalyst for change”
–Kenneth Payne, King’s College London, author of " I, Warbot: The Dawn of Artificially Intelligent Conflict"

-a thread:
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is triggering a global acceleration of Deep Tech spending and startup engagement for defence purposes that's probably never reached the current scale.
Besides the €1 Billion NATO fund and various increases in Gvt investment budgets around the world, tech companies at all scales are actually getting business done. Even when their technology is still experimental. Examples:
Read 7 tweets
Jul 12
If you are not following public VC and hybrid public/private funds, you probably wouldn't know... But:

🧵👇
💻💊 In the current market conditions, you can acquire discounted exposure to tech public giants like Moderna, Tencent and Amazon.
🚀 As well as private companies like Northvolt, Graphcore, Ledger, ISAR Aerospace, N26, Lyst, Thought Machine, SatelliteVu, HawkEye and D-Orbit.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 11
Last Friday I took part in a panel on " Deep Tech investing for the non technical" alongside impact investor @mayaghosnb, fellow deep tech investor @FaridHaque, @VAUBANDOTIO founder @ulricmusset and IoT founder @SyedAhmed

Here are 3 points that emerged from the discussion
👇🧵
@mayaghosnb @FaridHaque @VAUBANDOTIO @ulricmusset @SyedAhmed 1. OPPORTUNITY: Deep Tech has the potential to accommodate a lot more funding in Europe & will allow investors to participate in the 3rd wave of tech infrastructure innovation -after the original VC silicon wave of the 60s/70s & the Cloud infra wave post dot-com burst
@mayaghosnb @FaridHaque @VAUBANDOTIO @ulricmusset @SyedAhmed 2. RISK: But! If you are indeed non technical, you should probably NOT jump straight in. Real deep tech means advanced computer science, hardware and fields requiring the understanding of complex R&D risks:
Read 8 tweets
Jul 10
"A generation of venture capital investors are about to find out how good they really are, as a market downturn shows who really did their research and who got caught up with the hype."

👇
Makes sense: In the VC world power law, long time to get returns, and accounting for failures have always been the strange laws of the game.
In the current landscape, picking winners that can withstand a less buoyant market and still go on to lift a portfolio (despite complete losses on other bets) will tell you which one amongst us investors is really doing VC right.
Read 4 tweets

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