Meaning: When price and indicator are moving in opposite directions.
Common questions answered:
-What does a divergence look like?
-What does a divergence indicate?
-The difference between regular and hidden divergence.
1. First we look at regular divergence.
Price downtrending while RSI uptrending = positive or bullish div. (Connect bottoms)
Price uptrending while RSI downtrending = negative or bearish div. (Connect tops)
2. How does this look on a real chart?
In the case of RSI, the strongest reversal indications happen when RSI hits 'oversold(below 30) and overbought(above 70) levels.
3. However the oscillator can remain in a prolonged state of divergence.
A divergence does not signal an immediate reversal. So it can't be used as a timed buy or sell signal. Rather it tells you that the major (price) trend is weakening.
4. A divergence is not always present when price reverses. So it can't be used solely. Always find confluence.
Also 1 indicator might not indicate a divergence while others do. In this example I use RSI and OBV to show difference between two indicators using 2 data points.
5. What is Hidden Divergence?
This is when price and oscillator move in opposite directions indicating the major trend isn't weakening but will continue.
6. Let's combine them the indicators and divergences.
RSI is indicating the major downtrend is likely to continue while OBV is indicating that the minor uptrend is weakening.
7. There are different kinds of divergences. Study the:
Lower or Higher Highs and
Lower or Higher Lows of
both Price and Indicator.
Class A divergences: Strongest
Class B divergences: Less strong
Class C divergences: Weakest
Class A gives the best trading opportunities.
8. A divergence is the opposite of a confirmation. A confirmation is when the indicator and price are moving in the same direction.
9. There are more indicators besides RSI that can be used to spot divergence, such as:
OBV,
MACD,
Momentum.
I don't use any outside of these, because less is more. Too little is nothing.
10. Some general remarks.
Connect candle closes and not wicks.
RSI can be used for more than divergences. Investopedia.com is a good friend.
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How to successfully grow the size of your trading portfolio using:
-A trading strategy
-Proper Risk management
-Self Management
1.1) A trading strategy
Any strategy is acceptable. Some use:
-Demand and Supply
-Pattern trading
-Harmonic trading
-Smart money concepts
-Elliott wave
-Indicators
However it needs to be somewhat successful.
1.2) How successful is partially depended on your risk management, but for this example we will use a 50% HIT-RATE. Meaning using this strategy we are right 50% of the time.
Technical Analysis means you can use historical data to extrapolate future price action and identify the current trend to a certain level of accuracy.
First chart is to show what price areas I primarily look at as a bottom.
2/10
These are the Hull Moving Average (80) and the Regular Moving average (200). @FSgura taught me to use HMA to identify Bull and Bear markets quicker. Any price action above we consider bull and any price below we consider bear. Occasionally you will see some fake outs.
3/10
I'm looking at historical data to find similarities.
1. After a bulltrend BTC loses HMA and retests it. The second time it retests bearish BTC crashes. 2. BTC crashes towards the 200MA. 3. BTC consolidates on/near MA until HMA catches up. 4. HMA crosses below + above MA.