Meaning: When price and indicator are moving in opposite directions.
Common questions answered:
-What does a divergence look like?
-What does a divergence indicate?
-The difference between regular and hidden divergence.
1. First we look at regular divergence.
Price downtrending while RSI uptrending = positive or bullish div. (Connect bottoms)
Price uptrending while RSI downtrending = negative or bearish div. (Connect tops)
2. How does this look on a real chart?
In the case of RSI, the strongest reversal indications happen when RSI hits 'oversold(below 30) and overbought(above 70) levels.
3. However the oscillator can remain in a prolonged state of divergence.
A divergence does not signal an immediate reversal. So it can't be used as a timed buy or sell signal. Rather it tells you that the major (price) trend is weakening.
4. A divergence is not always present when price reverses. So it can't be used solely. Always find confluence.
Also 1 indicator might not indicate a divergence while others do. In this example I use RSI and OBV to show difference between two indicators using 2 data points.
5. What is Hidden Divergence?
This is when price and oscillator move in opposite directions indicating the major trend isn't weakening but will continue.
6. Let's combine them the indicators and divergences.
RSI is indicating the major downtrend is likely to continue while OBV is indicating that the minor uptrend is weakening.
7. There are different kinds of divergences. Study the:
Lower or Higher Highs and
Lower or Higher Lows of
both Price and Indicator.
Class A divergences: Strongest
Class B divergences: Less strong
Class C divergences: Weakest
Class A gives the best trading opportunities.
8. A divergence is the opposite of a confirmation. A confirmation is when the indicator and price are moving in the same direction.
9. There are more indicators besides RSI that can be used to spot divergence, such as:
OBV,
MACD,
Momentum.
I don't use any outside of these, because less is more. Too little is nothing.
10. Some general remarks.
Connect candle closes and not wicks.
RSI can be used for more than divergences. Investopedia.com is a good friend.
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Technical Analysis means you can use historical data to extrapolate future price action and identify the current trend to a certain level of accuracy.
First chart is to show what price areas I primarily look at as a bottom.
2/10
These are the Hull Moving Average (80) and the Regular Moving average (200). @FSgura taught me to use HMA to identify Bull and Bear markets quicker. Any price action above we consider bull and any price below we consider bear. Occasionally you will see some fake outs.
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I'm looking at historical data to find similarities.
1. After a bulltrend BTC loses HMA and retests it. The second time it retests bearish BTC crashes. 2. BTC crashes towards the 200MA. 3. BTC consolidates on/near MA until HMA catches up. 4. HMA crosses below + above MA.
First decide what kind of market participant you want to be. This will depend mostly on how much time you have per day to invest in trading.
Much Time per day:
-Scalper
-Daytrader
Little Time per day:
-Swing trader
-Position Trader
So learn what these terms mean.
What is scalping?
"Scalping is a trading style that specializes in profiting off of small price changes and making a fast profit off reselling."
(Investopedia)
What Is a Day Trader?
"A day trader is a type of trader who executes a relatively large volume of short and long trades to capitalize on intraday market price action. The goal is to profit from very short-term price movements."
When reading the market it is important to know which way the market is trending.🆙or⤵️
Does it have a bullish or bearish structure?
How do you recognize this?
When is the market changing in trend?
In the first illustration you see the 3 main trends.
Bullish structure. Lets cover this one first. Lets imagine a larger impulse wave with 5 sub-waves. 3 Impulsive ones and 2 corrective ones.
Within the Impulsive and corrective waves you will find more sub-waves. In an uptrend the correctives waves can have 5 or 3 waves down. As illustrated below the first corrective wave consists of 5 waves while the second corrective wave consists of 3 waves.
1) The beginning in understanding markets (Thread)
The law of demand
The higher the price, the less buyers will it.
The law of supply
The higher the price, the more sellers will sell it.
2) The law of supply and demand
Price will always seek the market equilibrium. This is where supply and demand curves cross each other.
Equilibrium is when buyers and sellers have no motivation to buy or sell. But why does the market change anyways?
3) Supply and demand shifts
The constant changes in the market are a reflection of buyers and sellers changing their perception about the value of the market.