Thread by @BrynnTannehill

For people who say, "What rights don't trans people have?" or "You're overreacting," let's review where we're at now.

1. Total bans on trans athletes, regardless of whether or not they have gone through male puberty.

2. Trans military ban (it will be back) 1/n

3. Bans on transition related care for trans youth in about 10 states, and while only allowing conversion therapy.

4. Investigating supportive parents of trans youth, and possibly charging them with crimes 2/n

5. Conservatives actively calling for the lynching of doctors who treat trans youth

6. Florida appears to be preparing to revoke the licenses of doctors who provide affirming care to any trans person, including adults. 3/n

7. Nearly every major speech by DJT now includes attacks on trans people.

8. Conservative messaging gurus have honed in on calling trans people a threat to women and children. 4/n

9. Trans people are regularly shut down on social media by calling them pedophiles and groomers.

10. Massive online media accounts like Lib of TikTok routinely employs stochastic violence to provide targeting information to its followers. 5/n

11. Any materials that discuss trans people are being treated as obscene, and being removed from libraries.

12. Republicans are trying to force brick and mortar Barnes and Noble bookstores to remove trans related material because it's "obscenity" 6/n

13. Major media outlets in the US are either completely in the tank for people who think society would be better off without trans people (Fox), or willing to credulously platform them (NYT, Atlantic) if they frame it as "just asking questions" 7/n

14. UK media is unrelentingly hostile to trans people, and the public is turning against them as a result. In some ways this is worse than Germany in the 1930's, because all of them are doing it voluntarily. At least some German writers had a gun to their head. 8/n

15. Exporters of fascism, dedicated to destroying democracy while instituting single-party Christian Nationalism throughout the Western World (Putin, Orban), have made trans people a top talking point. Few cis people seems to recognize transphobia as central to neo fascism. 9/n

16. A district court in the 6th Circuit ruled a week ago that the protections provided by EEOC v. Harris do not extend to bathrooms or schools.

17. There is a coordinated ongoing effort to make school so hostile for trans youth that obtaining an education is impossible. 10/n

18. It's a very safe bet that if the DJT/GOP succeeds in their plans to re-enact Schedule F federal employment, policy is going to become extremely hostile to trans people. No more passports, no more gender marker changes anywhere in the federal system. 11/n

19. Speaking of Schedule F, you can bet your ass that every transgender federal employee who falls under this classification (and thus becoming an at-will employee) is getting fired post haste. A purge of trans people from federal service is coming. 12/n

20. When Obergefell falls, it's going to be impossible for most trans people to prove that their marriage is valid. Same thing with their gender markers: TX is going to try mightily not to honor California birth certificates or driver's licenses. 13/n

21. Getting valid government ID is hard for trans people already. We're already seeing bills that try to make it impossible again, like in Idaho and Texas. 14/n

22. Conservatives are now openly talking about the "transgender question" or the "transgender epidemic" (Abigail Shrier), implying that trans people may need to be wiped out for the good of society (Shrier says it more directly). This is pre-genocide language. 15/n

Anyone who has a sense of what happened in the run up to WWII should understand the deep sense of "Oh, f***..." that I feel every day. The parallels are too damned clear. Banning athletes. Forced out of schools. Doctors who treat the community forces out. 16/n

Banned from public spaces and public accommodations. Purges from the military. Purges from the federal service. A universal and unrelenting media ecosystem hostile to the targeted minority. The minority being framed as a threat to women and children. 17/n

The minority in question is framed as both disgusting, pathetic and weak, yet strong enough to destroy the nation and Western Civilization. Bans on getting ID that doesn't single out the minority for discrimination. Bans on positive material related to the minority. 18/n

Talk of the minority's position in society as a question, or problem that must be solved. Or worse, talking of them as a lethal and contagious disease spreading throughout the body politic, that must be cut out like a tumor. 19/n

Yes, this would be less concerning in a democracy where the people promoting these things is a despised political minority (like AfD). But it's not: this is the position of the party that is likely to take permanent control of the government in 2024. 20/n

The people saying, "They wouldn't go that far," are the same ones who assured us the GOP wasn't so crazy as to overturn Roe and leave out exemptions for rape and incest. They're the same one who assured us that establishment Republicans would contain Trump. 21/n

Both Arendt and Adorno warned that the capacity for genocide is part of every culture, i.e. the banality of evil. They were mocked at the time, because the thinking was that only a small group of dedicated Nazis was responsible. Most modern scholars have come around. 22/n

The GOP and Tory is being whipped into a hateful frenzy. Unrelenting negative media is making the rest of the public apathetic to the fate of trans people. Should democracy fall, the GOP base is going to get to decide how to answer the "transgender question." 23/n

You know, the same base that tried to lynch Mike Pence, and has decided dying of an ectopic pregnancy is OK, because everyone gets to go to heaven that way. Who are ready to lynch doctors who provide care to trans youth. The ones calling us pedophiles and groomers. 24/n

The ones who think Western Civilization cannot survive if trans people do.

So, just what do you think the odds are that they'll decide trans people deserve to live when they have the power to decide?

Yeah. That's the calculus. 25/n