Dr Tony Goldstone Profile picture
Jul 24, 2022 30 tweets 18 min read Read on X
1/30 BREAKING 🧵 New @CommonsHealth report 👇

"Its a NATIONAL SCANDAL that senior doctors are being forced to reduce their working contribution to the NHS or to leave it entirely because of NHS pension arrangements"

Highlights & my analysis. Pls read to end & share/RT👇.
2/30 A huge thanks to @Jeremy_Hunt @drlukeevans @rosie4westlancs & colleagues at @CommonsHealth for this really important report released today. Some vital recognition of problems relating to punitive pension tax & recommendations re pensions. Please read all carefully to end.
3/30 First & foremost is recognition that

1) Its a "national scandal" doctors forced to reduce hours or leave it because of NHS pension taxation
2) Crucially, the problem persists *despite* changing the taper rate of the annual allowance.
4/30 On pensions @commonshealth saw evidence from @RCSnews @RCPhysicians & @TheBMA showing a very large proportion of doctors retired earlier than planned due to punitive pension taxation. Committee heard powerful testimony from @Clinicalred
5/30 @bma_pensions Vish Sharma explained how doctors can be financially worse off by working longer (i.e. not retiring as it #DoesntPayToStay)

See bma.org.uk/doesntpaytostay for more details - typical consultant aged 59 or 60 over £100k worse off by delaying retirement by 1 year
6/30 Next Danny Mortimer from @NHSEmployers claimed "the case for reform of the NHS pension scheme ... to give employees much more control over what they pay in, is very clear".

@bma_pensions *strongly* disagree with this. Let me explain why.
7/30 Firstly we have been here before. The initial reaction to flexibility (in the form of "50:50") was so bad that government had to withdraw their own consultation on this
8/30 This consultation was re-run again with more flexibility - so called "decile flexibility". This was again rejected by both people responding and also by government who agreed "that tax reform would be the simplest way of solving the issue"

gov.uk/government/con…
9/30 We of course know that tax reform came in March 2020 (changing the taper threshold which was broadly welcomed, although making it even worse for the highest earners). But then further tax reform in March 21 (freezing the LTA) made things even worse for retention.
10/30 But crucially we know "taper tweak" has not solved the problem (@thebma warned government at the time it was not enough). Additionally "flexibility" add further enormous complexity to something that is already hideously complex- complexity per se is a problem in itself.
11/30 Importantly flexibility will do nothing for the particularly serious inflation related issues that have raised their head SINCE committee took evidence.

See bma.org.uk/pay-and-contra… for more info (this serious issue affects GPs & consultants)
12/30 As pointed out at the last consultation - flexibility is simply a pay cut without associated recycling of unused employer costs. Its the wrong solution, at the wrong time. I guarantee it won't work & won't solve the retention crisis.
13/30 Next the committee heard from the SOS and the often quoted figure that 96% of GPs and 98% of consultants not affected. We are pleased the committee saw that the taper tweak has NOT solved the issue as the taper was never the extent of the problem.
14/30 The committee also discussed the issue of "abatement". This affects a lot of nurses and a small number of consultants (with MHO status) - @TheBMA agree entirely that this needs to be permanently extended.
15/30 The committee heard evidence from then SOS Sajid Javid that taper changes were made for everyone “for equality reasons".

I explain in detail why this argument does not stack up in the thread below as tax relief is removed in the NHS 👇

16/30 But it also doesn't stack up as explained by Vish Sharma from @bma_pensions as exceptions have been made for judges. Furthermore a tax unregistered scheme is fundamentally fair to taxpayers & doctors, and could save @hmtreasury money too. Read more about it here
17/30 Noting the national scandal forcing early retirement / reducing hours, and that taper tweak has "not gone far enough", they stated "urgent action is needed to reform NHS pensions and prevent the haemorrhage of senior staff"
18/30 Crucially they state "Government MUST act swiftly to reform the NHS pension scheme to prevent senior staff from reducing their hours and retiring early from the NHS."
19/30 The @CommonsHealth said government should continue abatement
20/30 .@CommonsHealth said @NHSEngland should to create a national NHS “retire and return” policy and *vitally* "the Government should *INSTRUCT* NHS England to require NHS Trusts to follow pension recycling ♻️ guidance... to help with impact of the pension problem.
21/30 We also note a similar call earlier this week from DDRB who said they "would expect national NHS leadership to take charge" of "recycling♻️of unused employer contributions". @TheBMA have been asking for >3years for government to mandate recycling of the full employers cont.
22/30 We note also @sajidjavid said "make it clear that it is something that we, at the centre, are happy with.... we want to make sure that they understand that they have these flexibilities, and where that is happening, it is certainly helping."
23/30 Recycling ♻️ is a fair option for those forced out of the scheme by punitive pension taxation. It's time to end this postcode lottery and mandate this not only the UK, but in all 4 nations. Different solutions needed to prevent opt outs in low paid.

24/30 Whilst @bma_pensions incredibly grateful to @commonshealth for their report & conclusions, 3 other issues have arisen largely after evidence has been given to the committee - turning this workforce crisis into a workforce *emergency*.
25/30 1️⃣
Rapidly rising CPI means Finance Act isnt operating as intended & no longer measuring growth ABOVE inflation. As per 👇 this will cause v. serious issues in 22/23 unless S235/S234 fixed. See detail in briefing docs below

26/30 2️⃣ Against a back drop of soaring inflation, DDRB thought fit to award doctors with 1%, 2% or 3-4.5% pay uplift, or rather the biggest pay & pension cut in 2 decades. This has serious implications as many consultants better of retiring vs delaying.

27/30 3️⃣ Contrary to prior assurances that the LTA issue would be fixed, the toxic combination of freezing it & high inflation is a potent driver to retirement. There's a *very* close correlation between dropping LTA value and early retirement. LTA is now dropping like a stone.
28/30 We @TheBMA are incredibly grateful to @DrDanPoulter for raising these 3 new issues in parliament a couple of weeks ago. Following this there will be roundtable with @hmtreasury after the recess in September - more details to follow.

29/30 Whilst a complex issue & a "national scandal" there is a serious risk of unprecedented loss of the senior medical workforce, a loss from which the NHS may never recover.

Complex however, does not mean impossible. @bma_pensions solutions below, in addition to mandated ♻️
30/30 Time is running out to fix this crisis. Grateful those contending leadership are now least talking about NHS. But *please* be very clear, waiting list going nowhere unless & until punitive pension taxation is fixed. Policy decides this 👇

Pls RT

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More from @goldstone_tony

Jun 29
1/ NEW & IMPORTANT: Quarterly NHS pay data updated 27/6/24 👇 In BREAKING NEWS NEW charts now show ALL SECTORS have reached #FullPayRestoration (though NOT, of course, the NHS)

We MUST fix pay/retention to fix #WaitingLists

Please read whole [long bumper] 🧵 & share widely/RT

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2/ You'll notice when ministers are in the media, they often talk about how hard "your viewers/listeners" have been hit by inflation. But what we need to do is separate fact from fiction (aka LIES), it was 👇excellent @jburnmurdoch @FT chart that really showed this well last year Image
@jburnmurdoch @FT 3/ But its not just government ministers gaslighting NHS workers that they have no right for their pay to keep up (like everyone else's), it was also so-called "independent" DDRB👇

Apparently doctors & dentists should not be protected when "its not taking place in other groups" Image
Read 33 tweets
Mar 29
1/ NEW & IMPORTANT: LOTS of new data this week incl new pay data 28/3/24 👇 NEW charts incl NHS satisfaction (SPOILER: Its grim #MindTheGap)

MUST fix pay/retention to fix #WaitingLists- next GE WILL be won/lost on NHS.

Please read whole [long bumper] 🐇🧵 & share widely/RT

Image
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2/ You'll notice when ministers are in the media, they often talk about how hard "your viewers/listeners" have been hit by inflation. But what we need to do is separate fact from fiction (aka LIES), it was 👇excellent @jburnmurdoch @FT chart that really showed this well last year Image
@jburnmurdoch @FT 3/ But its not just government ministers gaslighting NHS workers that they have no right for their pay to keep up (like everyone else's), it was also so-called "independent" DDRB👇

Apparently doctors & dentists should not be protected when "its not taking place in other groups" Image
Read 35 tweets
Feb 24
1/ *VERY* concerned about the quality & type of information coming to @BMA_Pensions members to allow them to make choices in regards to McCloud.

For members who chose to move to 2008 (so called "choice 2", we saw the first of this information last week - deep dive 🧵
Pls RT

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2/ OK first of all, lets rewind. Pre 2008 we were all in the 1995 section. For most members that had a fixed retirement age of 60, and gave us "80ths" of final salary. Work 40 years, get 40/80ths or 1/2 of your final salary. Simple. Back in the day contributions were 5% or 6%
3/ As we all started to live longer, government felt this was unnafordable as we were spending longer in retirement. So they introduced the 2008 scheme
- 1/60th not 1/80ths
- Retire at 65 not 60
- So called "Reckonable" pay - based on best of 3yr in last 10, inflation adjusted
Read 30 tweets
Feb 22
1/ NEW: Consultation response out & confirmaiton of rates 1st April '24 , dropping the 13.5% tier.

Grateful government listened to concerns about feezing the top tier so tiers WILL uplift with CPI, not creating (another) "fiscal drag" for higher earners

gov.uk/government/con…
Image
2/ This repesents a change from previously announced where tiers were to be uplifts of AFC awards (largest employee group). I had suggested a "double lock" of greater of CPI or announced awards, which was supported by the scheme board, but sadly rejected by government Image
3/ @BMA_Pensions again raised concerns that the @nhs_pensions has a higher contribution rate than many public sector schemes, and has the steepest structure.
We continue believe it should be much flatter, or flat, in a CARE scheme will all paying the same for the same £1 pension Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 15
1/ NEW & BREAKING: @instituteforgov supported in analysis by @CIPFA issue an UPDATED pay erosion chart for NHS workers including @TheBMA doctors & @theRCN nurses👇

WHY is this so relevant: This now includes pay data released in '24 to Sept '23 INCLUDING 6/12 of 23/24 pay awads
2/ This crucially important 📉shows

- pay erosion in NHS from austerity
- uses CPI preferred by gvmnt & some economists
- crucially shows 6/12 effect of DDRB 23/24- starting basis for all pay deals (i.e. not a lot) Image
@RobLaurensonD4P @_VivekTrivedi @TheBMA @BMA_Consultants @BMA_JuniorDocs @Doctors_Vote 3/ So this chart uses the latest available data (released in 2024) includes the latest pay deals

Despite this @BMA_JuniorDocs down a STAGGERING 25.0% in real terms

REMEMBER: This is using CPI, not RPI, which would produce a higher figure (RPI includes mortgage interest etc) Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 7
1/ *Deeply* worrying from @RishiSunak @10DowningStreet on @bbclaurak

Watch the clip in full 👇and pick out the blatant untruths - its so unbelievable they went unchallenged Laura K?

Apparently "The government has now reached resolution with every other part of the NHS. ....
2/ "Nurses, midwives, paramedics, consultant doctors, specialty doctors most recently. "
"So EVERY other part of the NHS workforce, and I'm grateful to them for everything they're doing, has reached a resolution with the government on a reasonable, fair pay settlement. "
3/ According to our PM

"The only people that haven't are the junior doctors."

How can this go unchallanged?

To be clear @BMA_Consultants (nor @BMA_SAS) have *NOT* "reached a resolution with government on a "reasonable, fair pay settlement"

This is simply NOT true
Read 15 tweets

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