A Fuji TV national poll conducted over the weekend asked people about the government's plan to hold a state funeral for former PM Abe Shinzo: 50.1% supported it, and 46.9% were against it. #国葬 fnn.jp/articles/-/393…
Another poll making its way around Twitter today claims 72% opposition to Abe's state funeral. While the Fuji TV poll was a randomized telephone poll, the 373news poll did not use a random sample and was based on responses from its LINE followers. 373news.com/_kotimina/arti…
There is also a poll underway on Yahoo Japan that currently has over 170,000 responses and 68% against the state funeral. Once again, this is not a random sample so it cannot be treated as an accurate measure of national opinion. news.yahoo.co.jp/polls/43486
Fuji TV is part of the Sankei group, which is on the conservative side of the political spectrum. Its polls tend to swing a little that way. Hopefully other agencies will release their own scientific polls soon, so that we can be a better picture of overall public opinion.
On July 20th I tweeted about an NHK poll that found 49% in favor and 39% against a state funeral, but that poll was conducted on July 16-18. Now that the government has announced plans for a state funeral, the issue is getting a lot more attention.

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More from @mrjeffu

Jul 22
A #JapanPolitics thread: The assassination of former Prime Minister Abe has led to greater attention to the controversial relationship between conservative Japanese politicians and religious groups, particularly the Unification Church. Let's look at what is being reported... 1/ ImageImage
2/ This is an offshoot of my older thread, which was more focused on media treatment of the assassination. This thread will be more focused on political news, but I recommend you check out the older thread, particularly from post #29 onwards.
3/ To briefly summarize from the last thread: Japan's Liberal Democratic Party has a decades-long history of ties to the Unification Church, which provides volunteers and voters for conservative politicians. Abe was one of them, but light is being shed on other politicians too. Image
Read 49 tweets
Jul 20
A thread: Let's revisit the 2022 Japan Upper House Election poster thread and see how each candidate performed. Who won and who lost? 1/
2/ It turns out the first candidate I featured, Kuwajima Yasufumi, came in dead last in the Tokyo vote: 1,913(0.0%)- LOSS
3/ Anti-base candidate Nakamura Midori was second-to-last in the Tokyo vote: 3,043(0.0%)- LOSS
Read 46 tweets
Jul 8
More reports about the assassin's motivations, with more vague wording about a "certain group" (特定の団体) that he hated and associated with Abe. This is even more vague than earlier reports that suggested it was a religious group. 1/
2/ Many social media users are filling in the blanks and guessing: one of the trending terms on Twitter in Japan is "Unification Church" - the name of a religious organization founded in Korea that had its Nara branch at the station where Abe was shot. ImageImage
3/ The Unification Church has members in many countries, including Japan, and has supported conservative political causes. It is no secret that Abe Shinzo, Donald Trump, and other politicians have been friendly towards the church. (images from a 2021 Unification Church event) ImageImageImage
Read 122 tweets
Jul 8
NHK is reporting that Abe Shinzo was apparently shot in the chest while delivering a campaign speech in Nara. A reporter is saying they heard 2 gunshot sounds and saw him fall over, bleeding from his chest. He has been taken away in an ambulance. Image
The alleged gunman is said to be a middle-aged man and has been apprehended by police.
MBS news is claiming that Abe was in a state of "cardiac arrest" (心肺停止). If true, this could mean that Abe is dead. NHK is not yet reporting this information, so it is unclear if it is true. news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/8478f…
Read 38 tweets
Jul 6
Trouble for the LDP/Komeito coalition? In Okayama Komeito is not endorsing LDP lawmaker Onoda Kimi's re-election campaign. Earlier this year she tweeted that she didn't need Komeito's support. yomiuri.co.jp/election/sangi… Image
Onoda is a strong supporter of constitutional revision and has aligned herself with the more conservative/nationalistic wing of the LDP. Accordingly, Abe Shinzo and Takaichi Sanae are going to Okayama to help mobilize the conservative vote for Onoda. ImageImage
Onoda was elected in 2016 by a margin of slightly over 107,000 votes and the endorsement of Komeito. There are estimated to be about 100,000-120,000 Komeito voters in Okayama, so losing their endorsement is a serious matter. news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/b9f1c… Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 22
Interesting Posters of the 2022 Japan Upper House Election- a thread - Over the course of the next couple weeks, I will share what I find to be the most unique, cool, and/or strange candidate posters. First up: the "Nuclear Fusion Party" guy running in Tokyo! Image
As the name of his party suggests, Kuwajima Yasufumi wants Japan to build fusion reactors. You might recognize him from the unsettlingly weird soundtruck he has driven around Tokyo for years: Image
Next up: Nakamura Midori, also running in Tokyo. She is a far-right activist who opposes American military bases in Japan. Her poster states that she will relocate all American military bases in Okinawa to Tokyo (something nobody in Tokyo would want). Image
Read 46 tweets

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