I asked NORAD/Northern Command's top general if they have a plan to defend the homeland against the threat of high-speed cruise missiles. His answer was... complicated:
NORAD scans for ICBMs over the Pole but now "cruise missiles can come off submarines in the Atlantic or in the Pacific, they can come off container ships parked in port, they can come off land, they can come off of airplanes, they can come off multiple directions from all axes."
"The North Warning System, which was put into place in the 1980s, did its job very well for the Soviet and the Russian threat of bombers coming over the [North] Pole. But now, as you develop a cruise missile with stealth characteristics, the radar coverage is shrunk."
For the future threat, NORAD needs new technology, faster data, and global integration.
“Candidly, if I’m shooting down cruise missiles and ballistic missiles, we’ve failed in deterrence and that’s not where we want to be."
Russia's Lavrov was denied overflight into Serbia, reportedly. On Thurs, I asked Serbia's President Vucic how he can seek both Russian gas and EU entry: "Everybody is doing both. Sorry that I'm saying something and some don't want to hear it..." (53:00)
Vucic: Serbia's right-wing won more seats in recent parliamentary elections "exactly" because Serbia voted at the UNGA against Russia... "not because people in Serbia have something against Ukrainians. Not at all, we consider Ukrainians good friends. The issue was 1999..."
"We'll always be on the side of Ukrainian territorial integrity," Vucic said, in explaining Serbia's opposition to sanctions (76% oppose) or weapons against Russia, but several times in his appearance said that Serbs remember NATO bombing them in 1999.
Vickers, on Putin: "Is he the same person he was?"
Gates: "I don't think so"...he used to take risks but then stop. "I think the two years because of isolation, because of COVID, has had an impact on him" and others who have had contact say so, Macron, Schultz, etc.
Gates: Putin has "a sense of personal desitny" to revive the Russian empire, slavic empire... "I was stunned" at his recent speech slamming Lenin, even.
"Permanent stationing could be one solution", says US amb to NATO @Julie_C_Smith. So could rotational, though, she says, adding that Russia is in clear violation of the founding act, where NATO had agreed to not add permanent troops, so...
"We will continue doing everything of our power to ensure we can get them what they need quickly," says Amb. Smith.
(Read this as, despite Russia's threats against anyone aiding Ukraine, the US/NATO isn't slowing its arms and equipment aid.)
Our pal @nickschifrin asks a good question -- US officials talk about javelins and stingers, but won't talk about air-defenses under consideration. Why not? @Julie_C_Smith says there are simply sensitivities country-by-country.
Tom Grunnick: What do you do when your real life exceeds your dreams?
Aaron Altman: Keep it to yourself.
Broadcast News is still a true-to-life documentary of life in the Washington press corps, for some of us anyway. Tireless ambition, dedication to the work, messy relationships, lots of alcohol, and a foreboding that the industry is changing in dangerous ways. And the WHCD.
Ukrainians should fight Russia like insurgents fought the US in Iraq & Afghanistan: Stop calling for NFZs, MiG’s, and corridors. “This is a rich target environment for snipers, Javelins, raids, ambushes and Stinger missiles.” - Mark Kimmitt @DefenseOne
“Like the tactics used by insurgents against U.S. forces for years in Iraq and Afghanistan, car bombs, IEDs, mortars, and other weapons of the weak can wreak havoc on a Russian force not yet protected by bases and walls.”
“In short order, the ring around cities such as Kyiv will tighten, and it is critical to get those defenders the equipment they will need to make the Russians pay dearly when they begin the tough, gritty, and deadly city fighting needed to take the capital.”
What are the rules for stopping a nuclear power plant disaster that's being caused by a rocket attack from invading military forces of a nuclear power in a non-treaty ally country outside NATO borders, @Cirincione?