1/3 In Jan 1918, 🇺🇦Ukraine declares independence. In Feb, Russians invade Kyiv.
"[They] shot anyone heard speaking Ukrainian in public and destroyed any evidence of Ukrainian rule, including the Ukrainian street signs that had replaced Russian street signs only weeks before."⤵️
2/3 In 1918, Russians are quickly repelled. In 1919, they invade 🇺🇦Kyiv again.
"Pavlo Khrystiuk, a Ukrainian Socialist Revolutionary, later remembered that ‘Russian troops... once again shot anyone in Kyiv who spoke Ukrainian and considered himself a Ukrainian’."⤵️
3/3 Those are just 2 quotes from @anneapplebaum's book "Red Famine".
What 🇷🇺Russians do in 🇺🇦Ukraine in 2022, i.e. the #BuchaMassacre, is not unprecedented. It's a recurrence.
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1/1 🇫🇷@Le_Figaro keeps on publishing "special reports" from the Russian-occupied parts of 🇺🇦Ukraine. Their reporters get special access to the Russian occupants - and somehow almost exclusively quote pro-Russian locals.
Their new report is from the occupied Melitopol⬇️
2/2 In the report it is kinda mentioned that pro-Russian/pro-Ukrainian proportion in 🇺🇦Melitopol might be 50/50.
But the story itself doesn't include a single pro-Ukrainian comment from the locals - only pro-Russian and neutral ones.
And it gets even worse⬇️
3/3 The story barely mentions 🇷🇺Russian terror on the occupied territories, incl. Melitopol: kidnappings, torture etc. There's a modest general paragraph about it, lost in the pro-Russian idyll.
1/6 🇩🇪MFA @ABaerbock admitted that Germany pressured 🇨🇦Canada to export a gas turbine for Nord Stream 1.
The turbine would go to 🇷🇺Russia and that would basically amount to circumventing sanctions.
Baerbock's quote is quite stunning ⬇️
2/6 "If we don't get the gas turbine, then we won't get any more gas, and then we won't be able to provide any more support for 🇺🇦Ukraine, because then we'll be busy with popular uprisings", 🇩🇪Baerbock admitted having conveyed to 🇨🇦Canada, according to @welt. ⬇️
3/6 When asked if she was actually expecting popular uprisings, Baerbock admitted it was "perhaps a bit exaggerated".
Now this news is coming at a time when @welt also reveals: 🇩🇪Germany has yet again minimized military deliveries to 🇺🇦Ukraine. ⬇️welt.de/politik/auslan…
1/5 After the 🇷🇺Russian missile strike on 🇺🇦Kyiv this morning (a civilian building has been hit, injuring a little girl and killing her father), I have already seen three different Russian propaganda messages.
They may serve as a reminder of how the Russian propaganda works. ⬇️
2/5 The messages are:
1. The building was empty, there was no one inside. 2. The 🇺🇦Ukrainian air defence is to blame for shooting down a missile near the building. 3. It's all "fake", just like the "White helmets" stuff in 🇸🇾Syria was fake.
There probably are (or will be) more.
3/5 The 🇷🇺Russian propaganda machine doesn't care if those messages are mutually exclusive, easily disprovable or downright absurd.
The point is to flood you with multiple "alternate" versions of events. The more the better. They want to make you doubt: "It's not so clear".
1/4 In the span of just 2 days, @guardian has published two "You see, sanctions against 🇷🇺Russia don't work!" op-eds. With manipulative arguments like the one on the screenshot.
Now, I'm no economist, but I can definitely say 3 politically obvious things. ⬇️
2/4 "In 3 months Russian economy hasn't crumbled and Russians haven't retreated from 🇺🇦, so we conclude that sanctions don't work" is a kid's argument.
Sanctions were never thought to be an instant solution. An economy the size of Russia's takes a lot longer to seriously damage.
3/4 "🇺🇸Biden sends weapons, it means that sanctions don't work" is just as bad. It was never an "either-or" choice. It was both - from the beginning.
If anything, heavy weapons deliveries were inspired by 🇺🇦Ukrainian successful resistance, not by "sanctions not working".
1/4 In 2005, Ukrainian President Yushchenko wrote an op-ed for @Le_Figaro defending a future for 🇺🇦 in the 🇪🇺EU. Putting an imaginary wall between the EU and 🇺🇦, he wrote, would be a repetition of Yalta 1945.
I read it as a 3rd-year student of political sciences in 🇫🇷Paris.
2/4 By then, I was already "infected" by the French way of seeing geopolitics, so I was sceptical. "Maybe in the distant future", I thought. Also, the 🇪🇺EU was dealing with much more important issues at the time, 🇺🇦Yushchenko was too short-sighted to see that, I thought.
3/4 I admit I was stupid. And my reasoning was stupid. Yushchenko was right and his "Yalta 2" analogy was perfect. The EU was short-sighted for not realizing the underlying issues and stakes behind it.
The years 2008, 2014 and now 2022 made them all too clear.
1/5 The defenders of #Mariupol are facing imminent death. Upon surrendering they are unlikely to survive. A 3rd party (i.e. 🇹🇷Turkey) extracting them wouldn't be a military intervention - just a prevention of yet another war crime.
For "But Putin promised..." believers: see⬇️.
2/5 Yes, Putin did promise. On April 21st, during his meeting with Shoigu, he publicly suggested that the defenders of #Mariupol surrender, promised they would be treated according to the international law, and added: "All the wounded will receive a qualified medical assistance".
3/5 That is grimly reminiscent of the events in Ilovaysk on Aug. 29th 2014. 🇺🇦Ukrainian forces were then surrounded by Russians. Putin issued a public call to open a safe passage for Ukrainians. Inter alia, he said the wounded should "be immediately provided medical assistance".