Trygve Olson Profile picture
Jul 26 25 tweets 8 min read
Faith or Fear Thread: The Rules for Dealing with Autocrats & Their Enablers – J6 Committee Edition

Working around the world with those fighting for democracy, I understand we need Seven Rules for democratic forces to prevail.
Remember, all Autocratic illiberal actors strive solely to gain and maintain power. They do so by creating Fear of each other at the expense of faith in one another – think of what Putin is doing in Ukraine versus Zelensky.
For autocratic forces & their enablers, the game is zero-sum at the expense of the win-win upon which we build democracies. Win-win requires trust to achieve a sum far greater than the parts. Zero-sum has only one winner at the expense of all others. The Seven Rules are:
Rule #1 Play the Game You Are in, Not the One You Wish or Want to Play - This means when one side is playing the zero-sum illiberal, there is no win-win to be played. You will either win & democracy survives, or you lose to the autocratic forces.
Rule #2 Always Speak Truth to Power Because You Never Know the Tipping Point -- You must confront Big Lies of illiberal forces by speaking Truth to their base of power -- people. There is a tipping point where your Truth or the Big Lies prevail.
Rule #3 Don't Hand the Autocrats Battering Rams with Which to Beat You -- The game you are in, the battle you are fighting, isn't about policy or ideology. Instead, they will use what you say to divide you from your allies who you need to win the battle for democracy.
Rule 4 Understand Authoritarians Must Live in a Truth-Free Present -- The past presents truths about the big lies and fear the illiberal forces use. The future for autocratic forces only matters for maintaining power now. They only care about keeping/gaining power.
Rule 5 Practice Zero-Sum Judo -- Use their tactics against them -- Big Truths, Marginalization, make them dependent, mock the disinformation, divide and conquer their power structure. Use their desire for the legitimacy of democracy against them.
Rule 6 The Stalin Rule: Stand Together with Anyone Who Will Join You to Disturb, Disrupt and Diminish the Illiberal Structures. Even if you share nothing in common beyond a love of democracy and how much you loath their politics in regular times, you fight side-by-side with them.
Rule 7 Wake Up Every Day Thinking Where Can the Vertical Power Structure Be Exposed, Confronted, and Destabilized -- Each of us and all of us on Team Democracy must wake up every day and ask what I can do to be on the side of restoring faith and confront the Fear they use.
So, let's examine the J6 Committee from the perspective of each Rule. Does what they're doing conform with the rules? Equally important, do their actions increase Faith in Each Other (a win for democracy) or Fear of one another (a victory for the zero-sum non-democratic forces).
Rule #1 – Play the Game You're In
The members include some who have (@adamkinzinger) or could end their careers in the house (@repelaineluria @lizcheney) by being part of the committee.
Each of them realized the reality and put the country over self-interest. That is inherently showing faith in each other – do what is right & the consequences will take care of themselves.

washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2022…
When you play the game you are in (zero-sum versus the zero-sum actors), you build opportunities for moving others. It happens via cognitive dissonance you create within their supporters. Is the Committee achieving this within the @GOP?

Rule #2 -- Always Speak Truth to Power
The entire notion of the J6 Committee is about speaking and exposing the Truth. Without acknowledging the Truth there can be no healing through reconciliation.
Both Republicans and Democrats are saying it. Both committee members and those who are coming forward to testify. The Truth is the power by which they are winning through the cognitive dissonance it is creating.

Rule #3 -- Don't Hand the Autocrats Battering Rams
The J6 committee has stayed united. They haven't allowed those responsible for events that day or their enablers to use their words against them.
They have left them flounder. In fact, the J6 Committee has turned the illiberal enablers' attempts to deflect into battering rams with which to beat them.

Rule #4 -- Understand Authoritarians Must Live in a Truth-Free Present
When you force autocratic actors & enablers into the past (their actions) or future (accountability), they lose the ability to project fear.
Moreover, it forces their appeasers to pick sides – think where @Mike_Pence is after the revelations of peril he & his family were facing that day.

Rule #5 -- Practice Zero-Sum Judo
Using the illiberal actors' words, actions & tactics against them is the essence of zero-sum judo. The members of J6 have been masters from the start. The decision by Nancy Pelosi to have @lizcheney and @adamkinzinger on the committee.
The hit backs when those who enable and appease – like this by @lizcheney taking it to @hughhewitt & @sentomcotton -- are a great example. When the J6 members are presented a chance to flip the illiberal narratives back, they are taking advantage.

Rule #6 -- Stand Together with Anyone Who Will Join You
I pointed out how strange in our politics today @benniegthompson giving the gavel to @lizcheney the other night seemed. In Truth, it is only our politics of today that made that odd.
I would guess Thompson and Cheney vote the same less than half the time, but as with all the members, they are showing faith in each other.

time.com/6199027/liz-ch…
Rule #7 -- Wake Up Every day Asking What Can You Do
The final Rule is less about the J6 members than a lesson for all of us. Each of us must use the leadership shown & apply the lessons in the fight for democracy. We can all use the Rules. It is how we will prevail.

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More from @trygveolson

May 7
This by @JaneMayerNYer about the PR firm @zenogroup which is part of @EdelmanPR is a fascinating case study to me on PR firms, corporate America, and the political world we live in versus the one we have known. It is a classic case of misunderstanding democracy v. autocracy.
In a healthy democracy, you can have policy disagreements within a win-win system whereby not just political actors have power, but whereby many within society including corporations (as human endeavors) hold the rightful opportunity to advocate what they view as their interests.
In an unhealthy democracy -- where forces of autocracy on either or both sides are attempting to leverage power in a zero-sum game -- illiberalism and extremism infect all elements of the society. Zero-sum actors want to make every policy issue either-or propositions.
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Faith or Fear Thread

This by @OKnox @washingtonpost is something. He takes comments from the 90's by foreign policy icons on NATO expansion & wraps them into the Rand Paul/Russia line NATO is partially to blame for Ukraine

This in particular

washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…
"Paul took some knocks on social media for seeming at times to excuse Russian President Vladimir Putin’s military action against Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova by noting they had been part of the U.S.S.R. And blaming NATO enlargement is popular in Russia & among its apologists.
"On the other hand, one of the hardest things to convey to American readers is how other countries have their own perception of their national interests, and commit resources accordingly, quite legitimately outside of Washington’s globe-spanning influence.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 14
Faith or Fear: Would I Stand at the Barricades?
Marina Ovsyannikova is many things -- brave, a hero, a speaker of truths, and a symbol of the power of holding faith in her fellow Russians and all of us around the world who witnessed her bravery today.
History will judge by how her actions inspire -- those living in her country & those worldwide. She took a leap of faith in storming Russia's main state news channel with a sign speaking the truth it tries to conceal. She knew the consequences -- arrest & likely far worse.
Her fate tonight, in the days to come, and what history will say, if anything, about her brave action of disobedience to the power of Putin's state, depends on the rest of us.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 12
Faith or Fear Thread: Democracy Dies in Silence

I texted again with my friend in Kyiv. Our conversation caused my heart to ache, and my soul was left bare and needing to be searched. He is ready for whatever comes tomorrow and for the terror he lives each day.
He is brave and resigned. He is filled with desperation and optimism. But, mostly, he is ready and anything but silent in the struggle for his nation's Freedom. He speaks through his faith in his fellow citizens and their everyday actions to defend his country and its democracy.
Ukrainians are standing up to an autocrat and his forces in his attempts to impose control through fear. The decades of political divisions within Ukraine's journey to democracy no longer matter to Ukrainians in the face of a threat to its existence.
Read 27 tweets
Mar 10
Faith or Fear Thread: Some Thoughts About the NATO Enlargement.
Twitter and punditry are abuzz with the Russian talking point NATO's enlargement is responsible for the geopolitical insecurity we now witness.
That NATO is a threat to Russia. Stupidity like if Mexico (a democracy) entered an alliance with China, the US would feel threatened. That NATO enlargement made a US-Russia military confrontation between nuclear powers more likely. That Putin has a point. (you @tuckercarlson)
In 1999 Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic were admitted in the first round of NATO expansion. Seven more nations followed it at the 2004 Istanbul Summit – Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia.
Read 25 tweets
Mar 7
@JenGriffinFNC I think, having worked in that region for decades on democracy-building efforts, an under-appreciated part of this is events in Belarus after the elections in 2020. The masses coming out to the streets and nearly taking down Lukashenko scared Putin. He had to come
in and save him. Having watched those dynamics since Putin's original rise to power -- through the colored revolutions -- he seemed different afterward. Ukraine played a role in events in Belarus in many ways -- but most importantly was a point of aspiration for Belarussians.
For those who came to the streets, it was a safe haven when the crackdown occurred, but it was also the living example of where people's power could lead their nation. The fact Putin and Lukashenko are being so savage is typical, but it is also punishment leveled at
Read 4 tweets

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