Met a disillusioned gyaani (not the linkedin life coach type!) who prefers to remain in shadows even in good times. Some comments from him… 1. plaaf has a ring of bases around. it is no longer just hotan and kashi anymore but 10 airfields to contend with at leh.
2. we will get outnumbered even while we keep saying the 5 decade old thing of “but but they cant takeoff with full payload onlee”
3. they have their h6 fleet north of tarim basin. part fuel t/o and refuelled north of hotan (by y20) will be enough for them for an alpha strike. our fellows in delhi will still be spluttering
4. not asking for al-udeid style infra. but come on. we can defly do better than LEH for a frontline base
5. None of the current fields will survive first contact. They’re definitely going to pound each airfield. For days.
6. We need more temporary airfields all over the north. Mobile ATC and dual runways that are camoed
7. h6k are bombers. their Y20s are being regularly seen in all western theatre bases these days. and they have endless airframes parked outside their avic factory out east.they can easily surge when needed
8. H6s also routinely operate out of kashi/kashgar. so not far away and can launch multiple CMs at us at short notice. Both at airbases and c2 nodes …
I did not have any points to counter the sage and came back dejected, tail tucked between my legs 🦊
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25kg warhead - The AS-UAV complex allows you to communicate with drones at a distance of up to 50 km has a bandwidth of 5.4 Mbps. Such a speed is enough for real-time video transmission. has a range of 14 km and is designed to equip the latest Mi-28NM and Ka-52M helicopters
Will see how my prediction ages well or not as end of war scenario—
- russi withdraw from north ie kiev and kharkov remain in ukr hand
- russi annex the boundary of original donetsk and luhansk (they are yet to conquer it fully)
- russi keep crimea to donetsk azov sea coast
- russi withdraw from kherson west bank (dneipr) -nykoleav & odessa remain as ukr lifeline
- russi keep nuclear power plant but do not go after zhaporizhia or dnipro city
- phased rollback of sanctions in timebound as carrot 🥕
- ukr promise peaceful border no shelling no azovs
- russi give noc for ukr eu entry. Ukr commit not to apply for nato
Each side walk away claiming victory
Ukr - not lose any major city except mariopol, taught russia lesson
Russia - got old donbass, dneipr position to get water for crimea, no more shelling , taught ukr lesson
Citizens vs just born there .. .. a concept seen in starship trooper films. starshiptroopers.fandom.com/wiki/Citizen . One my colleagues took a LOA for a year of military service …
Turns out taiwan has a mandatory 1 yr military service for all. And they consider you a dual citizen until age 34 whether you want or not - they specifically mention US passport or any other citizenship is not a protection from this obligation to serve …
I have had a family friend relocate wife and kid to india from singapore to save him from the 1-2 mandatory service there… while in singapore saw some kids in military dress on weekend leave going home on metro. Have to say such kids wont be entitled lot we encounter now & then
My thesis is - far from being pro india, western capitals will benefit most from a localised indian defeat like 62 that ends fast with a withdrawal back to starting lines 1/n
GOI will be cut to size and rush to buy western weapons and special helps at any price . Indigenous projects will be dead and buried as not ready to roll 24x7. 2/n
Cheen escaping intact without being inflicted heavy losses infront of world media preserves the stability and value of wests supply chains and stock markets tied to manufacturing 3/n
Cheen has multiple times used this trick to hijack unrelated traffic to transit via their territory..for few hours until caught not by withdrawing prefix routes but advertising false lower cost routes to desired prefixes. i wonder how world will protect networks in a real crisis?
5 page primer on MIRV from a mid 80s childhood book I retained- early on I felt before ssbn and mirv all power was maya… now we stand at (official) cusp on another breakout move - it has all details of how mirv is done pros and cons 1/2
The round ball above is likely the ARIS inertial reference sphere type device of icbm . For chicha it was pioneered by charles draper labs in MIT which still works on classified stuff today.