Doomberg Profile picture
Jul 30 25 tweets 5 min read
1/ The mighty Mississippi River – and its direct access to some of the most prolific agricultural plains in the world – gives the US an incredible geopolitical advantage. Its importance to the US economy cannot be overstated.
2/ As noted by @PeterZeihan, “The Greater Mississippi system includes over thirteen thousand miles of naturally navigable, interconnected waterways—more than the combined total of all the world’s non-American internal river systems.” Incredible numbers.
3/ Naturally, rivers are foundational to a country’s inherent strength, and few countries are as blessed as the US in this regard. Rivers represent cheap transportation, reliable irrigation for farming, critical fresh water for drinking, and a ready source of renewable power.
4/ Inspection of a US river map calibrated for water flow is revealing. Two things leap out right away. First, the Greater Mississippi system is, indeed, truly huge. Second, the vastly populated Southwest is overdependent on the flows of the Colorado River.
5/ The Colorado River stretches 1,450 miles from the Rocky Mountains towards the Gulf of California. It is fed by a large river basin that sprawls over seven states, but the primary driver of water flow is the annual snowmelt in the Rockies.
6/ With 15 dams on the main stem and a dizzying array of canals, the Colorado River and its water are likely the most controversial and heavily litigated on the planet – literally every drop is fought after and accounted for.
7/ The Colorado River is managed and operated under numerous agreements collectively known as “The Law of the River.” Each action upstream impacts people downstream, and allocation decisions are made using agreements that were struck as long as a century ago.
8/ The US Southwest is in year 22 of a historic megadrought – the region’s driest stretch in the past 1,200 years, as estimated by a recent study. This has strained the annual supply from the Colorado River’s many tributaries and heightened attention on its use.
9/ The two largest dams on the river – the Glen Canyon Dam at Lake Powell and the Hoover Dam at Lake Mead – are essential to their respective local power grids. They also furnish visual evidence of how strained the water levels have become. Here’s a recent picture of Lake Mead:
10/ A core issue with “public goods” like water and electricity is the lack of a real-time pricing signal to optimize allocation. The Colorado River is an extreme example of what happens when price is suppressed and allocations are determined by politics.
11/ In essence, the fight over its water is a fight for a government handout because the true value of that water is far higher than the price being paid for it by its politically savvy recipients. Ironically, as shortages emerge, the value of that handout increases.
12/ Such circumstances often result in bizarre outcomes and nowhere is this more evident than in the Imperial Valley of California, one of the biggest beneficiaries of the current Colorado River hierarchy.
13/ Imperial Valley is situated near the end of the Colorado River, just north of the California-Mexico border. Despite being the last stop on the US part of the line, California has the highest seniority claims on the river’s flow.
14/ Approximately 20% of the Colorado River allocations across seven western states go directly to about 200 wealthy landowners in the Imperial Valley. Put simply, this is a powerful cohort.
15/ Leveraging this government-secured bounty, Imperial Valley has been transformed from an inhospitable desert into some of the most prolific farmland in the US. The region is farmed year-round and is a major source of winter fruits and vegetables.
16/ Imperial Valley has never been shorted its allocation from the Colorado River (although it was forced to sell some water to the San Diego Water Authority in 2003), and a quick inspection of the region using Google Earth makes for a stunning picture:
17/ The broad, looming crisis of the Colorado River’s dwindling volume is giving way to immediate, time-sensitive flare-ups. The region faces two urgent challenges: the electricity from the two giant dams is potentially at risk and there’s a desperate need for fresh water.
18/ How might this be solved? Replacing the electricity produced by Glen Canyon (5,000 gigawatt-hours of electricity per year) and Hover Dam (4,000 per year) is simple enough if we look to nuclear power.
19/ The one remaining nuclear power plant in California – the Diablo Canyon Power Plant – is scheduled for closure in a few years. How much electricity does Diablo Canyon produce? 18,000 gigawatt-hours!
20/ The last remaining nuclear power plant in California produces twice as much electricity as the two biggest dams on the Colorado River combined. Not only should Diablo Canyon remain in operation, but the Southwest should also be fast-tracking new builds across several states.
21/ What about solving the water crisis? For scale here, we turn to the largest existing desalination plant in California. The Carlsbad Desalination Plant is situated near San Diego, less than 100 miles from Imperial Valley. It produces 56,000 acre-feet of clean water per year.
22/ Imperial Valley is allocated 3.1 million acre-feet from the Colorado River. While replacing all of the Colorado River’s water is both unfeasible and unnecessary, a couple dozen more desalination plants scattered across the region could certainly make up most of the shortfall.
23/ The company that operates Carlsbad – Poseidon Water – has been proposing to build a similar facility in Huntington Beach, just an hour north of San Diego. The plant is estimated to cost $1.4 billion to complete. It has been a project in limbo for more than 20 years!
24/ Of course, California is led by physics-denying halfwits and the California Coastal Commissioners unanimously ultimately rejected Poseidon’s bid to build the much-needed facility last month. Have fun staying thirsty.
25/ The solution to the electricity and water crises of the US Southwest is deceptively simple. Build a fleet of nuclear power and desalination plants. The region will do neither, and a self-inflected catastrophe undoubtedly awaits. It will be hard to feel sorry for them. <fin>

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Doomberg

Doomberg Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DoombergT

Jul 23
1/ By systematically shutting down baseload-critical nuclear power facilities and replacing them with intermittent renewable energy, Germany has left itself – and by extension, the entire European Union – vulnerable to shortages of reliable sources of electricity.
2/ Germany further impaled itself by inhibiting domestic production of natural gas – the remaining option for producing reliable baseload power, having ruled out nuclear and coal – turning a mistake into a predictable catastrophe. The country put its trust in Putin instead.
3/ Having closed three perfectly operable nuclear power plants at the end of 2021, Germany was on course to close its final three reactors at the end of this year. Despite growing calls to reconsider this foolhardy decision, the German Greens remained staunchly opposed.
Read 21 tweets
Jul 19
1/ A thread of threads:

June 18, 2022: "Energy is Life"

2/ June 25, 2022: "Where Stuff Comes From"

3/ July 2, 2022: "Bitcoin Spot ETFs Are Doomed"

Read 5 tweets
Jul 16
1/ The US, Canada, and Mexico have enormous proven energy reserves and the technical know-how to become the dominant energy-producing region on the planet. It can be done cleanly, safely, and domestically – all while reducing the strength of our geopolitical enemies.
2/ Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent economic destruction in Europe due to an energy crisis of their own making should serve as a serious wake-up call to North America’s political establishment. It’s time to get serious about energy. Here’s how we should do it…
3/ Our proposal has four priorities: (1) seduce natural gas investment; (2) reclaim a leadership position in polysilicon production; (3) recommit to nuclear; and, (4) course correct on electric vehicle adoption.
Read 19 tweets
Jul 9
1/ As a fuel, natural gas has many compelling attributes. It burns cleanly and efficiently. It produces electricity and useful heat with less CO2 emissions and far fewer toxic byproducts than coal or oil. It is also abundant and ubiquitous.
2/ Natural gas does have a few unfortunate drawbacks. It is a fossil fuel and a gas at standard temperature and pressure. The latter makes shipping overseas a complex task that results in a particularly interesting global market.
3/ The ability to safely handle and transport gases at extremely high pressures is perhaps the most underrated technological advancement in the history of humankind. The current boom in natural gas use was enabled by a series of breakthroughs in pipeline and vessel construction.
Read 24 tweets
Jul 2
1/ There’s a bureaucratic civil war ongoing within the US Government to regulate Bitcoin. In the broadly pro-Bitcoin camp sits the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which takes a favorable stance toward convertible digital currencies.
2/ In the trenches on the other side, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is assembled and making the battle increasingly difficult for the maxis. Gary Gensler has been steadfast in opposition to certain policy decisions that Bitcoin enthusiasts have been pushing for.
3/ In 2014, the CFTC determined Bitcoin to be a commodity under the Commodity Exchange Act and has since brought a mix of enforcement actions against clearly fraudulent behavior while also working to develop a legal framework to allow for trading in Bitcoin futures.
Read 20 tweets
Jun 25
1/ Modern society is awash in stuff. There’s stuff at the grocery store. At the hardware store. At Amazon and eBay. We eat stuff, wear stuff, buy stuff, and store stuff. Click some buttons, swipe a card, tap a phone – and presto! Stuff appears.
2/ We are a carbon-based species. Carbon forms the foundation of our bodies and the external world we experience. Almost everything we touch is carbon-based, including most of our stuff.
3/ Not only is our stuff mostly based on carbon, but the energy required to manipulate materials – to make stuff – comes predominately from carbon-based feedstocks as well. For example, we can’t make copper wire without first extracting energy from carbon fuels.
Read 25 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(