You all understand that an outbreak currently occuring primarily among men who have sex with men (sampling bias aside) doesn't mean we shouldn't think about and prepare for it not staying restricted to that one group, right?
As in, you know that no one needs to propose that it isn't predominantly (but definitely not exclusively) MSM being affected or that there's a shadow pandemic in women and kids right now to be concerned about what could happen in schools and daycares in the fall, right?
And you grasp the idea that a virus that spreads during close contact is not a gay STI even if it initially takes off as a result of close contact being men having sex with men? All of this is obvious, I assume?
It's also clear to you that populations currently most affected should have targeted resources and supports and communications but that they should not be stigmatized and people who are not members of the most affected group should not believe there is no risk to anyone else?
I have very smart followers, so I assume this is all evident to you.
I am also confident that none of my followers (again, smart) consider anything I've said above as "fearmongering".
Oh, and it should go without saying that there are options other than "do nothing" and "lockdowns". It's also possible to deploy resources to protect MSM and contain the outbreak *and* not frame it as a gay STI *and* prepare for a possible wider pandemic?

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More from @TRyanGregory

Aug 1
Do you have what it takes to be an effective academic leader (especially during a crisis)? Some thoughts after my time as a department chair during a pandemic. 🧵
1. You never make it about yourself.

2. You *always* fight the fight when something affects the people you lead.

3. You prove with big and small things that you always have your people's backs.

4. You are always aware of privilege and power dynamics.
5. You never accept "that's how it is" or "that's how it has always been done".

6. You respect everyone as valuable members of your team, regardless of position, rank, or anything else.

7. You lead with empathy and vulnerability.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 30
Yeah, so, monkeypox lesions showing up in certain places on the body doesn't mean that infection started in those places. Please update your thinking accordingly.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 28
Legitimately curious. Do viral outbreaks follow logistic growth curves like in other types of populations? Exponential growth phase, inflection, decreasing rate of growth, level off at carrying capacity?

cnx.org/contents/5f337… Image
Logistic growth curves happen because limited resources means exponential growth can't continue forever. What's the equivalent for a new viral outbreak? Would carrying capacity be a steady state level of infection as hosts become limiting?
Note that during exponential phase, the rate of increase slows but is exponential until inflection, when rate of growth slows. (Growth is still positive but slowing in how fast it is growing).
Read 7 tweets
Jul 26
Just a reminder that all this minimizer excitement is based on a preprint study that included a total of 9 kids with hepatitis in Scotland, 8/9 of whom had the allele. And if the hypothesis seems convoluted, well, that's because it is.
Recall that the same usual minimizers dismissed a study (also a preprint) that included records for 5.6 million people and suggested that reinfections are bad. This is how minimizers operate.
The hypothesis might be correct. Great if it is, if it provides a way to help kids. But the hypocrisy and double standards and absolute commitment that COVID not be involved of minimizers is really something to behold.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 25
Conspiracy theory?

1. Saw someone else describe this type. Wrote "Stealing this."

2. Made the same "typo" three times.

3. Posted about the "typo" repeatedly to draw attention.

4. Mentioned the typo in tweet about increased followers.

Receipts below. 🧵
1. Commented "Stealing this".
2. Same "typo" three times.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 23
Here's what people in Wakayama, Japan receive when they test positive and have to isolate. (This is for two kids). In North America, we're all about how people are cool if they shrug it off and keep working. Image
Correction: that's the kit for *one* of the kids.
Hey, so, if you're thinking "I should comment on the amount of packaging or how it includes processed snacks", instead maybe just don't and then move along. You've very clearly missed the point. Thanks.
Read 9 tweets

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