How to find supply/demand using Nothing but session volume profile with no candles too.
Rules:
1. Use session volume profile, if using thinkorswim i suggest you use this study (tos.mx/iY5glVT) i have given this to all the members in discord as well. 2. If in TOS use
30d30min settings. If in trading view, just make sure to use 30 mins. 3. Virgin Point of Controls or aka Naked point of controls, dependent if you ever learned about them are "KEY". These levels tend to be MAGNETS for price to gravitate towards to up or down.
4. If you have 3-5 VPOCs above or below, rest assured you will revisit these sooner or later. AS you learn more about volume profile and relationships between session volume profile shapes you will be able to distinguish short covering rallies or true reversals. Mark your VPOCs
on charts. After each day finishes, i go back on 30 mins and find it we left a POC and never came back to it. If the VPOC is older than 30 days it loses some value but they do tend to be retested even if past 30 days. As a day trader i keep my perspective to 30 days.
5. VPOCs are your demands and supplies. 6. I use 68% for value area in my settings on TOS and TV just because of 1 std deviation, my row size is 100 on TV/TOS.
Ok so how does it look?
1. Here is a chart of $SPY and how i find demand/supply without candles.
Where to find it >
$SPY Chart with no candles, i was able to find all POCs on session volume profile. I usually draw a "box" around POC dependent on volume around the POC. Usually a nice std deviation around POC will be a good zone.
Now that we got the zones, lets turn on the candles to see what this mess looks like. Now we can see how the price reacts to these levels. The top Supply is from far left. 2nd step now that we have candles is to identify which POCs have not been retested.
Marking VPOCs:
From my previous thread, the next step i do is i pay attention to the trend. Obviously lately we have been running from low 3600s on $ES_F. So i want to know where the buyers are on this whole run. I will grab Swing LOW to swing high and use fixed volume profile to see where
heavy buying occurred. If there is a POC below the current price with nice volume accumulation setup, i would wait there to go long. Take a look. Commentary on the chart itself. If you have questions, please ask in comments. We cover volume profile weekly in the discord.
I really don't understand how some people get to 200k followers by posting a chart with 2 lines and telling you look it touched here and here. Also if you believe stock fell or went up bc of the earnings (i hope someone can help you). First of all earning calls with C-level is
pre-recorded and moderator will open for questions from different investors. 2nd of all - these investors that put in large chunk of money have done their homework already before the call and they have made their decision prior to a call.
Earnings is an excuse for offloading or potentially triggering fomo. Big boys dont buy on the news of one earnings nor do they sell. For instance $TSLA (some clown) suggested it sold of bc of earnings? Lets look into it:
1. Tsla's margin have been squeezed way before ER.
80% RULE Strategy on Volume Profile. This is part of our training material on VP. We cover scenarios and other tips/tricks how to execute weekly in discord. Here is chart of $SPY and how it worked today. We took this trade.
80% rule on Value area and how to trade it w rules:
Majority of session volume (one day of trading) happens to be concentrated within 68% of the Value area. 68% is also one std deviation. Statistically speaking, it adds up :) Big money will trade within value area until they have traded enough shares and ready to pick direction
for the stock. Once we leave the value area, we are most likely headed towards next Value Area. Big money has to execute share buying/selling secretly so they dont spook the market and they dontwant to show their intentions. Since majority of the volume is within 68%, that means
I traded every strategy that exists for trading. You name it, i have tried it. Once you realize ton of those indicators are lagging indicators and majority used by retail, you will come to senses that Volume/Price Action is the KING. Remove all ur indicators from chart.
I will add another thread over the weekend on naked price trading you cam combine with VP thread i made. I have a setup called volume accumulation + break of low/high and its deadly. Will explain it in the next thread. Keep your capital, grow lil by lil. Dont worry about people
posting 5000% plays. Those dont happen often and when they do, they use it to lure you in and then you see consistency lacks. I see ton of people on twitter posting their profits but rarely do they post any losses. I have losses and i post in discord, i post on twitter. Be afraid
How to use Volume Profile to find where buyers/sellers are. This can be applicable to any timeframe. Just make sure if you are charting daily that you buy enough time if trading options. If you are doing 15-30min swings those are good for intraday charts. If you are doing 5-10
minutes then you can use this for scalping. Volume Profile and regular volume with vertical lines tell two different stories. Regular volume bars on the bottom show you time and volume. Volume Profile show you volume at the price. Hence we can use these
levels to be your support/resistance. I will show you how you can find where heavy buyers were in an uptrend and heavy sellers in downtrend. You want to be playing bounces in an uptrend and rejections in downtrend off of major shelves on volume Profile. Step 1 - if you are using