Overall situation can be described with phrase, that's often used by 🇺🇦 General Staff: "[Russian forces] Did not succeed"
- Kharkiv:
Similar as yesterday, Russian attempts to move forward towards Dementiivka - tactical efforts.
- Izium:
Russian attempts to counter-attack from Nova Husarivka.
- Siversk:
🇷🇺 did put some effort, but did not succeed.
- Bakhmut:
Couple hundreds of metres of a 🇷🇺 advance near Bakhmutske, also 🇷🇺 efforts near Pokrovske, Zaitseve, Semyhyria, Wagner PMC was sent there hoping to achieve something.
- Avdiivka:
Largest 🇷🇺 advances of about 1km in the grey zone near Vesele, by shortening distance to 🇺🇦 armed forces, not pushing 🇺🇦 back.
- Pisky:
Situation here changing every hour, there are heavy battles, but early to discuss any "victories".
- Maryinka:
Russian forces reported of capturing a farm (after half year of battles).
- Vuhledar:
Local level 🇷🇺 counterattacks on Pavlivka
- Zaporizhia:
Russian forces concentrating at Tokmak, up to 10 BTGs, 3-4 BTGs added in last 24h.
Differing opinions - either preparing an offensive, or defence with counter-attacks.
- Nova Khakovka:
Group of Russian forces of 10-15 BTGs, unknown if intended to be forwarded to Kherson or Zaporozhye.
- Kherson:
2-3 Russian BTGs moved to the west bank, some signs of activation, but the intentions are not clear. Possibly to intended to trick.
- Kharkiv, Nikopol, Mykolaiv
This an other locations are regularly shelled.
🇷🇺 artillery shelling everywhere in the 1300km front line, varying intensity. Near Pisky 10 artillery groups was significant, while Nova Khakovka to Enerhodar barely has 10 artillery guns. Active actions only from Siversk to Bakhmut.
Izium defending and counter-attacking, possibly Kherson will start acting.
- Map of possible 🇷🇺 attacks:
The map shows 3 arrows - Mykolaiv/Voznesensk, Kryvyi Rih, Zaporizhia. 🇷🇺 doesn't have enough strength to reach even 1/4th of those arrows.
If they try all of them, the commander should receive Hero of 🇺🇦 medal. 🇺🇦 has enough forces to repel.
- 🇰🇵 North Korea:
🇺🇸 press published rumours of 100k North Korean solders offered to 🇷🇺. Most important to 🇰🇵 would be that somebody feeds them. It's an intimidation tactic.
Expecting each day to hear some similar wild news because Russians don't know how to force 🇺🇦 to sign peace.
- Donbas:
Russia is sending LPR/DPR forces into bloody battles, to gain couple hundreds of metres.
This means destroying defences and armies that were built up in last 8 years. 🇷🇺 needs to have less motivated people, as they will not want to accept peace. 30k motivated and armed solders from LNR/DNR, opposing Moscow decision is a significant threat.
🇷🇺 national battalions have a similar purpose - to concentrate and destroy most passionary young people, so that they can't fight for their own ethnic region.
- Partisans:
🇷🇺 collaborator Vitaly Gura from Nova Kakhovka occupation administration was shot, died in hospital.
Several more shootings and poisonings, explosion on rail tracks, drone bombing in Crimea Navy HQ. Partisans are only warming up, organisation took them several months. Those events are becoming systematic now.
There are a lot of possibilities to buy weapons or explosives from 🇷🇺 solders, 90% are purchased that way.
- 🇹🇷 Erdogan's visit in 🇷🇺
Erdogan expressed an opportunity for peace talks.
🇺🇦 would agree to peace talks, if 🇷🇺 would retreat to the line of 23rd February in a couple of days. Otherwise, there will be no peace talks.
- Weapons:
Rumours of the ATACMS (300km) missiles possibly delivered soon.
In order for 🇺🇦 to win, it needs to somewhat equalise their combat potential, but at the moment 🇷🇺 has missiles with 500km range (Iskander). It's just a next step.
However, the F-16 aircraft with right weapons is equal to 10 ATACMS missiles - the training is taking place, and there is a chance these will be transferred to Ukraine.
After all, it all started with reluctance to provide Ukraine with Stingers, but now the HIMARS are hard at work.
- 🇷🇺 terrorist state:
🇺🇸 marking 🇷🇺 as terrorist could worsen relations with 🇮🇳 India and 🇨🇳 China, due to them buying oil and gas from 🇷🇺.
This would be huge changes, and 🇺🇸 is carefully evaluating all possible consequences. So far the West has made all necessary decisions, perhaps a little slower than wanted.
🇺🇦 already has Stingers, air-defense, HIMARS, pilots training on F-16 aircraft (from open sources, #Arestovich can't confirm [air quote]).
There will be no broadcast tomorrow. Next week will be quite busy, probably more skipped broadcasts.
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Broadcast covers 2 days as there was no stream yesterday.
- Kharkiv
Khakhiv was shelled once again.
To the north west of the city the Russians attempt attacks, unsuccessful.
- Izyum
On the Izyum direction, the Russians attempted to attack Husarivka, again unsuccessful. According to some reports, the Ukrainians have liberated Dovhen'ke. The Ukrainians are advancing on Izyum.
A tactical encirclement of Russian troops is possible. Russian counterattacks yesterday failed. Arestovych highlights the importance of these offensive operations
- Siversk
On the Sviersk direction, continued unsuccessful Russian advances towards Serebrianka.
The pro-Russian analyst “Atomic Cherry” says the claims of the Russian media about Ukrainian losses reaching tipping point of combat-readiness are "irresponsible if not disinformation":
The pro-Russian Telegram analyst “Atomic Cherry” uses data provided by the Russian LostArmour OSINT team combined with WWII and 20th century Soviet military studies to determine an estimated number of Ukrainian casualties in the 5+ months of the war between Ukraine and Russia.
As per their estimation, while Ukraine has likely lost up to 25 thousand killed and over 100 thousand in total casualties (killed, wounded, captured), the claims of the media in Russia about the Ukrainian armed forces reaching their disintegration point due to losses is…
1/ Here at WarTranslated we've covered the livejournal blog of an old-school "LPR" blogger and volunteer Murz (aka Andrey Morozov) on a number of occasions.
2/ Murz is an engineering guy who repairs and accumulates various communications equipment for the so-called Republic's Army Corps, and has been involved in the process since early 2000s, way before the republics emerged in 2014.
An account of a so-called DPR citizen on livejournal, named Artelyero, describes the difficult situation the local men are facing while being forcibly mobilised into the armed forces of the republic 🧵
2/ The process which started at the end of February continues, and we have seen criticisms of this process from a number of pro-Russian sources, including Igor Girkin. Here Artelyero describes mobilisation as
3/ "mogilisation" [en. "mogila", rus. "могила" = "grave", thus translation is "graveisation"], and has been providing useful accounts for several months now. His message from 4 August is as follows:
🇷🇺 restarted shelling, after a pause of several weeks.
- Kharkiv:
🇷🇺 started bombing with Iskander missiles, small tactical actions. There are wounded and killed. Near Balakliia, after 🇺🇦 advances 🇷🇺 attempted a counter-attack, but did not succeed.
- Izium:
Ukrainian Kulchytsky battalion put up a flag in the 🇺🇦-controlled part of Sviatohirsk, which was already reportedly captured by 🇷🇺 more than month ago.
- Siversk:
Similar unsuccessful 🇷🇺 attempts to advance near Siversky Donets river.
A collection of intercepted calls published by Ukrainian SBU and GUR in the last week. Discussing a variety of topics from white phosphorus use, to drugged commanders and generally poorly state of affairs.
1. The Russian man tells his wife about the negative opinion he has of the authorities and the military command. In the end, he admits that the war in Ukraine is worse than the Chechen and the Afghan wars combined together.
2. The Russian soldier tells about how the air defence crew were given a warning about the two Ukrainian planes coming to attack in the next 10-15 minutes, but the reality was that the strike already took place and the planes already left.