When asked a direct Qs who is best suited to be PM in #MoodOfTheNation survey by C voter for @IndiaToday 53% say @narendramodi 9% @RahulGandhi 7 % @ArvindKejriwal 1) Modi factor looms large after 8 years in power 2) oppn hasn’t created a strong pan India narrative/leadership
What is biggest failing of Modi govt: 33% price rise; 26% unemployment; what is biggest success 25% Covid fight, 15% article 370 .. note: Ram Mandir may be up in Jan 2024: will be aimed to create another religious nationalism ‘wave’ #MoodOfTheNation@IndiaToday C voter survey
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So who will win Goa? Here is a thread: Goa has 40 constituencies, average size 25-30,000 votes. 8-10,000 votes is enough to win. Margins often less than a 1000 votes. This makes elections here transactional where every 500 votes ‘Earned’ count! Makes predictions tough (1)
After 10 years in power, BJP is facing strong anti incumbency. Poor handling of Covid, corruption, job scams, unemployment have hit the Govt. BJP cadres are angry that party to quote one local karyakarta is ‘Congressified’. CM @DrPramodPSawant is ‘face’ of this discontent (2)
BJP has put its eggs in strong individual candidates and not so much in traditional party structures. At least 10 candidates of BJP have the resources and local connect to win on their own strength. Plus BJP has max resources for last mile push (3)
‘We’ve always believed that lockdown or opening up cannot be a knee jerk reaction at 24 or 4 hour notice’ ‘higher number of cases are a good sign, shows system is tracing and testing aggressively’ @AUThackeray on Covid fight is a must watch: @IndiaToday
At a personal level, the interview made me a little nostalgic ; I interviewed his grandfather in 1988, @AUThackeray was not even born then! Balasaheb was one hell of an interviewee. Must confess to being impressed with Aaditya:came across as calm and focussed, making solid pts.
With Balasaheb, the iview was always a bit of a performance: sharp rhetoric and a hint of drama: we once had wine together on air! Aaditya hasn’t inherited the flamboyance or booming voice, but his ideas, earnestness and work ethic could be appealing to a ‘new’, younger India.
After spending a day on streets of NE Delhi,my takeaways 1) this is a Hindu Muslim riot in which BOTH communities have been involved in terrible acts of violence. Street Protests, provocation, attack, retaliation, a cycle of violence was unleashed.Tough to say who ‘started’ it.
The police role needs to be investigated. Cops were outnumbered on Monday, ill prepared with no clear directive to act firmly. By Tuesday, cops accused of siding with one community as the retaliatory cycle got worse.
Local politicians like Kapil Mishra, Anurag Thakur added fuel to the fire with their hate speeches. A Waris Pathan speech too was seen to have incited violence. No one on ground to counter the hate speech/toxic propaganda. Communities badly divided across neighbourhoods.
Big takeaways from @IndiaToday tv mood of the nation survey. A) CAA-NRC has sharply divided public opinion with a number of people uncertain about its impact while core BJP vote backs it. B) 42 per cent youth disconnect is the more worrying aspect for Modi Govt: #MOTN2020
Scrapping of Article 370 gets a thumbs up: 58 per cent feel its a ‘solution’ while the break up of J and K is seen as worrying. Detention of politicians is not supported. Net net Very nuanced response to Kashmir #MOTN20@IndiaToday tv
Ram mandir court verdict gets strong approval. Significantly, majority feel it will improve Hindu Muslim relations #MOTN20