Mao Profile picture
Aug 18 5 tweets 2 min read
Have to say the conversation is getting a bit low.

Ok my hearing is not good, funny.

I certainly didn’t see this coming from an academic discussion. Why don’t we just talk about some facts here and stop attacking others? 1/
What I was saying is that:

1. Wei Lingling from the WSJ talked about how LKQ would install his own people, Hu Chunhua and Wang Yang, to become his successor for the premier job.
2. This to people with basic understanding of Chinese politics, means Li overshadowed Xi. 2/
3. None of the 1000+ listeners, including yourself, raised any questions regarding this point, which generated lots of discussions and different views among reporters, scholars, and officials as far as I understand. 3/
4. I raised my personal view that it’s a shame that everyone just trying to be nice to others on twitter to increase their own brand as China experts.
5. You, as a researcher from a prestigious university, didn’t discuss the issue but started to question my hearing. 4/
6. I’m really sorry to see this and I hope there’s some legit discussions about China issues. I’m not here to make friends but to share my thoughts and to listen to others. If you have a good understanding about China, prove it. Stop attack my hearing.

END

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More from @Maoviews

Jun 23
陸昊確實去了國務院發展研究中心,一如港媒所言:由內閣成員轉為智庫領導,這位昔日創下系列第一的「團派明星」,仕途也走向黯淡。
陸是西安人。畢業於西安南郊的85中,不算當地最好的學校。他學習好,體育也很好,他高中就入黨,是西安當時唯一的中學生黨員。屬於學校裡老師特別喜歡,同學不太愛的那種學生。陸是保送上的北京大學。當年被吹捧的時候,還有過這個報導:chinanews.com.cn/gn/news/2008/0… 1/
85年進入北京大學經濟管理系學習後,陸師從經濟學泰斗厲以寧,也算是李克強和李源潮的同門師弟。陸同厲厲走得很近,他事後自己回憶說在厲主編的多部著作中,他作為參與者,都撰寫過一些章節。此後的"當代中國經濟學家學術評傳"叢書中的《厲以寧》卷,更是他主筆。2/
Read 11 tweets
Jun 23
As an expert myself, it's hard to use the word "normal" as we may need to define it first. But Mao believes it is definitely not "rare" in China especially during the pandemic. 1/
In recent years, the Communist Party issued lots of new rules against its members. And to be fair, they are using some of those rules. The punishment against Party officials has been more nuanced than it was thanks to these new rules. 2/
In this case, the people are punished under the internal rules, and that doesn't mean it will be the end of the game. They may get punished again after the CCDI found more evidence that can put other charges against them. So in other words, this could be a preliminary move. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Jun 21
很願意同何先生和魏小姐討教,姑且拋開「血統論」這一荒誕說法不談,魏小姐據說是消息源非比尋常的記者,但她的李克強選擇未來總理空間上升之說不知有何依據,她稱根據歷史,總理對下任總理有更大發言權。但我們翻開中共黨史,恰恰發現並非如此。1/
周恩來對繼任者有發言權嗎?如果由他選擇應該是鄧小平,但最後是華國鋒。李鵬也不是趙紫陽挑的,朱鎔基也不是李鵬挑的。李克強當總理,當然也跟溫家寶無關,只是江胡之間的妥協罷了。何先生也是對黨史有所研究,這麼捧來捧去,Mao實在看不下去。2/
魏小姐說朱鎔基不喜歡吳邦國因此推薦溫家寶,也缺乏根據。論淵源,朱吳是清華校友,又在上海搭檔,在北京也是搭檔,關係很深。吳邦國現代企業制度的試點,就是朱鎔基支持的。「抓大放小」這四個字的總結,其實就來吳邦國。對歷史隨意串改,這實在是談不上何先生所說的客觀事實幾個字。3/
Read 4 tweets
Jun 21
Have said this but happy to put this here again for the record.
1. If one talk to Chinese diplomats, can simply ask and get the info that Le Yucheng had a long time issue with some other senior diplomats. And others have filed all kinds of reports against him, Mao learnt. 1/
2. An indication of his problems at MOFA is that he has been a deputy over the past years while he’s in charge of “daily foreign affair works and can’t get promoted as the executive deputy. It’s not common and in line with the long term allegations against him. 2/
3. China’s foreign policy is not determined by Le, who is merely a deputy minister. There’s XJP, the Politburo member YJC, foreign minister WY and other senior officials from the CFAO. As a deputy, Le’s hands are tight. 3/
Read 7 tweets
May 25
It’s very unlikely that things will be changed largely for two reasons:

1. Local government officials attended the meeting, but not the party officials who normally in charge of local eco/fin affairs. It would be extremely hard for the gov heads to lead any meaningful changes.1
2. The issue now is not about eco/fin policies, it’s about covid. Without any changes in covid measures, all these policies have little to do. Eventually, the term “economic activity” is used for a reason: it requires social activities that China doesn’t have.
Ok last point, it’s crazy to see all the rumours surrounding LKQ/XJP including stories from some prestigious papers. Allow me, a China Hand, make the point clear: that’s not true. Why would the big man wants to make any statements when things are not clear?
Read 5 tweets

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