I talked to @CKlosterman about
- how hating things became high-status in the 21st century
- the death of the monoculture
- how social media turns us into anti-fans
- why cultural historians will obsess over the year 2003
So, I asked @CKlosterman: Given his expertise in the 1990s and the history of TV, when did he think the modern phenomenon of anti-fandom really take off?
He picked 2003—the year Reality TV producers discovered that disdain was a surer path to making a hit than shared admiration.
So, I thought: Is there any way to find survey data that validates 2003 as a turning point in national admiration?
Well, guess what.
From 1950 - 2002, every POTUS but Ford had a full year of 55% approval or higher. But it hasn't happened once since ... 2003.
I won't try to describe the rest of the show. It's about how knowing what everybody else is thinking changes how we think; how social media collapsed the distinction between elites, critics, and audiences; polarization and reality TV and so much more.
Yes, Americans (and especially rich Americans) are living longer. And yes, healthspans are increasing: see the extended primes in sports—eg, LeBron, Brady, and Nadal.
But the avg age of achievement and power in the U.S. is getting older much, much faster than lifespans.
As I discuss with @tedgioia on my podcast today, something very strange in happening in pop culture.
Music listening is shifting quite rapidly to older music—at the same time that avg top-line actors are getting older by leaps and bounds
One theme of the Chetty et al papers has been the link between geographical and social mobility.
The rich move more, move farther, build more relationships far from home, and have greater capacity to sort and match away from home.
Movement within America is classed.
Here's an example.
The highest income Americans make 8X more of their friends from college than the lowest income Americans. And they're much more likely to move farther from home.
The lowest-income Americans make 6X more of their adult friends from their neighborhood.
Lack of mobility kills. Low-income Americans both are more likely to grow up in parts of the country with shorter average lifespans *and* are less likely to move to places where people of their same income level typically live much longer.
It facilitates work among old coworkers in defined roles. But studies show it's often less effective than face-to-face meets—for now!—at building the trust and tacit knowledge needed to kickstart new projects.
In 1965, more than 90% of murders were cleared by arrest or exception. Today, the clearance rate has fallen to just over 50%. @Crimealytics says: Blame bad data. Then blame guns.
The murder clearance rate has declined every decade since the 1960s. It declined while crime rose for decades, when crime fell for decades, and now it's hit an all-time low.
The first thing to know is that 1960s crime data is basically hogwash.
In the pre-Miranda era, the police had much less scrutiny and DAs had lower evidence standards. More innocent people were thrown in jail and large agencies often made up numbers for the FBI.