If a stock is under accumulation, a price consolidation represents a period when strong investors ultimately absorb weak traders. Once the “weak hands” have been eliminated, 1/8
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the lack of supply allows the stock to move higher because even a small amount of demand will overwhelm the negligible inventory.This is referred to as the line of least resistance.Tightness in price from absolute highs to lows and tight closes with little change in
price
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from one day to the next and also from one week to the next are generally constructive. These tight areas should be accompanied by a significant decrease in trading volume. In some instances, 3/8
volume dries up at or near the lowest levels established since the beginning of the stock’s advance. This is a very positive development, especially if it takes place after a period of correction and consolidation, 4/8
and is a telltale sign that the amount of stock coming to market has diminished. A stock that is under accumulation will almost always show these characteristics (tightness in price with volume contracting). 5/8
This is what you want to see before initiate your purchase on the right side of the base, which forms what we called the pivot buy point. Specifically the point which the point at which you want to buy is when the stock moves above the pivot point on expanding volume. 6/8
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This is a vital concept for successfully timing the continuation of an existing trend. For the best situation, during the contraction of volatility volume will also contract in a specific point. 8/8
pocket pivot,” or “buying in the pocket,” is an early base
breakout indicator, which is designed to find buyable pivot points within a stock’s base shortly before the stock actually breaks out of its chart base-
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or consolidation and emerges into new high price ground.
Institutional investors do not like to buy breakouts to new highs. In fact, they generally prefer to buy stocks off of their lows, and sometimes the lower the better. 2/11
Of course, if we think about this for just one second we realize that it is the institutions that create the bottoms of chart bases, including the volume/accumulation clues along the lows of a constructive base formation. If investors had bought the breakout to new highs, 3/11
A stock must meet all eight criteria to be deemed in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend.
1. Stock price is above both the 150-day (30-week) and the 200-day (40week) moving average price lines.
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2. The 150-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average
3. The 200-day moving average line is trending up for at least 1-month (preferably 4 to 5 months or longer).
4. The 50-day (10-week moving average) is above both the 150-day and the 200-day moving averages.
5. The current stock price is at least 25 percent above its 52-week low. (Many of the best selections will be 100 percent, 300 percent, or more above their 52-week low before they emerge from a healthy consolidation period and mount a large-scale advance).