With Leclerc likely to start at the back of the grid with another new PU, Sainz and Perez come into the forefront of our thinking.
Canada serves as a solid benchmark, and Sainz cashed in with 42 points then (his 2nd best result of the season) - he could repeat it again, especially if Verstappen also takes a new PU/penalty. Perez is another candidate, despite a dip in form before the summer break.
Q: Does the double streak make Hamilton an attractive option?
Hamilton is a very viable option for this race with a double streak and was in excellent form heading into the summer break. He has also finished on the podium at Spa in EVERY race (excl. his 4 DNFs) since 2007.
Now add in the grid penalties for Verstappen and Leclerc, and this opens the door for Hamilton to potentially chalk up his first win of the season. Outside of VER and LEC, the seven-timer is the bookies favorite to win this race and is arguably a no-brainer in my opinion for Spa.
My thread on his performance recently, and against his team mate, is below.
Q: If Max and Charles take penalties, should I go for another constructor?
Mercedes will likely be the highest scoring constructor and are the only viable alternative this weekend. MER is a somewhat easy swap from RB if you expect both MER drivers to finish top four!
Otherwise, roll with Ferrari and beef up your driver lineup (Perez, Sainz, even Russell??) with the extra budget. We know VER and LEC are capable of making their way through the field from the back, and this won’t change even with these penalties.
In Canada, where PER DNF’d and LEC started at the back, FER and RB were still the two highest scoring constructors that weekend, with 61 and 42 points respectively. Both constructors should be in the mix to produce similar output. Going with any of the 7 other teams is a risk!
Q: I have limited trades left for this week and some of my drivers are taking penalties - what do I do?
Focus on the drivers that take up more of your budget. Address whether it’s worth holding/TD’ing Leclerc - this is a more important fire to put out than trading MSC for LAT.
A: Should I take hits for other drivers based on results in practice?
As has been reiterated throughout the season, avoid taking hits as much as possible - this is due to the unpredictability of the races as 2-5 DNFs a race is not uncommon.
10 points in some races can be as much as 5-10% of your total team score for the week so if you feel inclined to take a hit, you want to be absolutely sure the driver you are bringing in will score 10 points more than the driver you are trading out!
For those who missed it, the BUY/HOLD/SELL thread below addresses all driver-specific previews for the second half of the season.
🏎 F1 Fantasy Driver Preview Mega Thread - 2022 Season 🏎
This BUY/HOLD/SELL thread takes a look at all drivers’ performance throughout the 2022 season so far and considerations to be made (if any) as we approach the tail end of the racing calendar.
1. 🐂 Verstappen ($30.4m) - 512 points in 2022 to date
Seven wins in the last ten races. Highest weekly average score (39.38), next closest is LEC (28.85). Good option but avoid if you have low TV (<$105m). Premium price tag detracts from labeling him “essential”. HOLD.
2. 🔴 Leclerc ($18.7m) - 375
Outstanding in quali, lackluster in races. On average, has been the best TD option. Still heavily undervalued - the best value for money driver despite Ferrari strategy shortcomings. Remains “must-have” for now. BUY.