Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Aug 28 26 tweets 11 min read
@RheinmetallAG responded to my last thread about their participation in construction of Mulino training ground where Putin trained and is still training his army for the war in Ukraine. And yet, I feel that their answer is misleading (to say the least). So I'll add some context🧵
To start with, @RheinmetallAG claims that they simply provided the "simulation technology" for the Mulino project. The audience may think you were just one of many subcontractors. But that's not what your own press release from 2011 says. It's about winning an order to *build* it
This, according to your own words, "state of the art training centre" was modelled after the Bundewehr facility in Altmark and represented "the German defence industry's first significant foothold in the Russian market". You hoped for more follow up orders from Russia
This remark may be hard for a layman to interpret. Why exactly did you hope for more follow up orders? Because of the "plans to modernise the equipment of the Russian armed forces".

What did you mean by that?

"Plans to modernise the equipment" = Serdyukov's reforms
Since Sergeyev's era, the land army was in low priority within the Russian armed forces. Sergeyev himself used to be the commander of Strategic Rocket Forces. In 1997 when he became a minister resources of the Russian army were very limited. So he invested it all into the rockets
Spend-it-all-on-rockets strategy brought its fruits. In 2000, Russia got the first fully Russian intercontinental ballistic missile - Topol-M. All the previous analogues were either built in Ukraine or had lots of Ukrainian components. Sergeyev managed to import substitute them
That gives context for the "import substitution" discourse. Russia indeed managed to do its import substitution. Over the three decades they mostly substituted Ukrainian components, that Russian missiles and aircraft industries used to be totally dependent upon. Great success
It was only the minister Serdyukov appointed in 2007 who for the first time prioritised the Russian land army. No wonder, in 2007 Serdyukov had *way* more cash than Sergeyev could dream of in 1997. Putin pumped hella lots of the oil revenue into the military
In 1997 Sergeyev had to save *something* with minimal budgets. So he chose to save strategic rockets and allowed the rest to rot

In 2007 Serdyukov had to improve the military with new massive budgets. So he focused on the inadequate land army, rather than on already good rockets
Two things were special about the Serdyukov's ministry:

1. No other minister put so much focus on the land army
2. No other minister was so enthusiastic about the direct import of weaponry and ready solutions from the West. Most importantly, from Germany
In June 2011 Serdyukov visited the German Army combat training centre in Letzlingen with the Russian ministry of defence delegation (see the photo). Here they signed contract with the Rheinmetall AG to build a training centre in Mulino, Russia

Source
dw.com/ru/партнеры-по…
Why Rheinmetall though? Well, that's the leading defence company which had already built a Bundeswehr training centre in Altmark. Now they promised to build a superior version in Russia, clearly hoping to signs more contracts with this import-friendly minister
Simulation technology would be one of the key features of this centre. For example, instead of the real ammo they would use lasers. Much cheaper (= you can train more often), safer, easier to track and analyse. Therefore, easier to see and amend one's mistakes after the training
Just a minor detail. In the German center Mulino was modelled after, they used special simulation gas masks. Soldiers would often loosen their masks during the training, making it easier to breathe. But simulation masks had pressure sensors that would detect it. No BS approach
To be fair, Serdyukov aimed to import useful equipment from other countries as well. He placed orders for the French Mistral-class amphibious assault ships, Italian Iveco Light Multirole Vehicle. He even planned to buy Italian wheeled tanks (at the anger of Russian producers)
The clueless or the liars argue that it was the "corruption scandal" that led to the Serdyukov's downfall. Absolutely deranged idea. In most cases "corruption"a pretext, a rhetorical smoke curtain to hide the real reason. In this case, the anger of military industrial lobby
Since 2000 Putin consolidated the military industry into a number of mega-holdings. Roskosmos is doing ballistic missiles, Almaz Antey - air defence, KTRV - cruise missiles, Rosatom - nuclear warheads. But the largest, the most powerful and most eclectic one is Rostec
If other Russian defence mega holdings have some clear specialisation or focus, Rostec does not. It's eclectic, it's about everything. To put it simply, its CEO Chemezov swallowed (often through hostile takeovers, etc) everything he could. That's why Rostec is about everything
Back then Rostec hadn't swallowed all the land army production (as it has by now). But it was already a gigantic producer in this field. That's why Serdyukov's switching-to-import strategy was so risky for Serdyukov's career. He was making too many enemies
In 2007 created a JSC Oboronservis. This state-owned company had to receive the military from the non-military functions. Construction, repairment, energy - all of this functions were taken from the military and given to this daughter company of the ministry of defence
Serdyukov's mistress and Chief of Staff Vasilyeva was at the Oboronservis board of directors. Some argued this affair was his major mistake. He divorced his wife, a daughter of Putin's close friend and ex-prime minister Zubkov for Vasilyeva. Thad didn't win him more friends
In 2012 Vasilyeva's apartment where she lived with Serdyukov was searched, as well as homes of Serdyukov and his aides from the Ministry of Defence. They were all accused of corruption (Oboronservis case). Many of these accusations were probably true. Still, it was a pretext
To execute the Mulino project, Rheinmetall "entered into a strategic partnership with JSC Oboronservis". Oboronservis would serve as the general contractor and later operate the facility on behalf of the Russian army

Why? Because Oboronservis was Serdyukov's wallet
Serdyukov created the JSC Oboronservis and made it his wallet. Construction, repairment, maintenance: this company was getting all the juicy contracts the Ministry of Defense had. That's why the Rheinmetall AG concluded the "strategic partnership" for building Mulino with them
In Serdyukov's era JSC Oboronservis accumulated lots of nice contracts. But Serdyukov's downfall and the Oboronservis case gave this name a bad reputation. So in 2014 they rebranded to the Гарнизон (Garnison) company. And continued to build Mulino in the same capacity. The end
PS After 2014 Rheinmetall "left" Mulino to the "Garnison" (=Oboronservis). Thankfully, import genius allows to trace where Гарнизон was importing stuff from. It's all from Germany, Rheinmetall AG making the lion share

It looks as Garnison was merely a proxy for Rheinmetall

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More from @kamilkazani

Aug 29
I argue that Russian empire is fighting its war largely with colonial troops. DPR, LPR and poorer, often ethnic periphery within Russia provide Putin with disposable cannon fodder, while imperial metropole is spared

Navalny's Chief of Staff: That's madness

Meanwhile navalnists:
"Those who went to fight are not the best part of Russian population, I'm sorry. It is the low-income people, it is the Buryats..."

Olga Guseva, ex deputy chief of Navalny's staff in St Petersburg, now a YouTube host. I believe this is her Twitter account @GusevaOlyaa
She probably didn't think her words through so later she was forced to apologise. But that's good thing actually. When you don't think it through beforehand, you may accidentally speak truth. Like in this case: that the Russian empire fights with colonial troops Image
Read 5 tweets
Aug 28
Some German (?) users react to the Rheinmetall threads rather painfully. @RheinmetallAG account responded with awkward misinformation

Understandable, but still funny. Typically I ignore seething comments, unless I find some factual counterclaims there. This time I did Image
This guy claims

a) that I didn't call a single source
b) that portraying Roskosmos as a producer of ballistic missiles for the military is a mistake

Fine, let's go into details Image
Topol-M rockets I was discussing are produced on Votkinsky plant, Izhevsk. Which is a part of Roskosmos structure. That's just one example. Roskosmos is *the* producer of ballistic rockets, even ballistic rockets for Iskander are also done on Roskosmos plants Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 27
@CITeam_en is reporting that Russia has formed the 3rd Army Corpse and is deploying it to Ukraine. Where did they form and train it? In Mulino ofc. German-built Mulino is the only modern training ground Putin has, so he trains his army of invasion there. Thank you, Rheinmetall AG
After 2014 Rheinmetall AG "left" the project to the Russian "Гарнизон" company. Thankfully, import genius allows to trace where Гарнизон was importing stuff from. It's all from Germany, Rheinmetall AG making the lion share

It looks as Гарнизон was merely a proxy for Rheinmetall
It was in Mulino where Putin launched his manoeuvres West-2021 preparing his army for the invasion of Ukraine. Because this Rheinmetall-built facility is the only modern training ground Russia has
Read 7 tweets
Aug 26
Interesting dialogue between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan presidents. They don't conversate in Russian, but in their native tongues. Both languages are Turkic, but belong to different language sub-groups: Azeri is Oghuz, Kazakh is Kipchak. Therefore, pronunciation is very different
Oghuz speaking area stretches from Khwarazm in Uzbekistan to Eastern Thrace. Turkish, Azeri, Turkmen have the most speakers. Oghuz languages have harsh pronunciation, much harsher than Kipchak ones
Kipchak speaking zone is stretching from Kyrgyzstan in the southeast to the Tatarstan in the northwest, plus plenty enclaves in the Caucasus. Kipchak accent is much softer. From my perspective Anatolian Turkish sounds as if Russian who doesn't know Tatar was trying to speak Tatar
Read 13 tweets
Aug 25
Kind of. That would take very long to explain though, plus most foreign audience won't get it anyway. But yes. Much of the Russian nightmare results from adhering to "positive" cultural values

Conflict avoidance -> Extreme violence
Justice and equality -> Slavery and destitution
Disclaimer: I mean it literally. People yearn for justice and equality and that's a major factor of why they end up as destitute slaves. For example, enthralment (закрепощение) of urban population historically happened under the public pressure. They petitioned to be enthralled
That may sound paradoxical, but extremely suboptimal outcomes do not necessarily result from adhering to "negative" values. Very, very often it's the opposite. You act according to something that sounds kinda "positive". And that's how you build hell on earth
Read 5 tweets
Aug 24
There is a common saying that "Russian liberalism ends at the Ukrainian question"

That's false. Russian liberalism ends at any question

In my observations, minorities, especially Caucasians are very concerned about those "liberals" so much cheered by the West coming to power
If possible, I would also like to ask for Mikhail Khodorkovsky's @mbk_center comments regarding the following blogpost of prominent nationalist Yegor Kholmogorov, who is now calling for the full destruction of Ukrainians as a nation
Putin-worshipping among the Western far-right is not so much a result of his propaganda as of their neediness. They're are very needy. They're desperate to project their hopes and dreams on a saviour like figure. He doesn't need to do much, their imagination gonna do all the work
Read 4 tweets

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