Well, well, well. Senior Ukrainian military officials now concede the operation against Saki Airbase in Crimea was "series of successful missile strikes": censor.net/ua/n3365669. censor-net.translate.goog/ua/news/336566…
Taken from this article by Gen. Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, commander-in-chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces, and Lt. Gen. Mykhailo Zabrodskyi, first deputy of the National Security Council: ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/356…

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More from @michaeldweiss

Sep 7
"A document describing a foreign government’s military defenses, including its nuclear capabilities, was found by FBI agents who searched former president Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence and private club last month." washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
"Some of the seized documents detail top-secret U.S. operations so closely guarded that many senior national security officials are kept in the dark about them."
When you cut through all the party-political bullshit about this scandal, you discover that a moronic megalomaniac kept some of the country's most closely guarded secrets at his golf club. Any foreign intelligence service with a whiff of tradecraft could have accessed them.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 9
Spoke to artillery/weapons specialist @noclador about Ukraine's long-range strikes on occupied Crimea. His verdict: "90% it's ATACMS, 10% it's cruise missiles."
If the former, then a remarkable turnaround for the U.S. (or another Western country), given Jake Sullivan's denial that Washington would be sending those munitions to Ukraine.
NYT: "The official would not disclose the type of weapon used in the attack, saying only that 'a device exclusively of Ukrainian manufacture was used.'" nytimes.com/live/2022/08/0…
Read 10 tweets
Aug 1
🧵New thread from "Karl," @holger_r's and my Estonian war watcher...
"Preparations for the Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kherson have been made. Ukraine created a public expectations for it to start. They’ve had remarkable success in destroying Russia’s supply lines and logistics. Russia can’t bring heavy equipment across the Dnieper anymore."
"So far they’ve had small tactical success, gaining ground by a few kilometers at a time, just as Russia did in Donbas."
Read 16 tweets
Jun 20
🧵New: Ukraine battlefield update, courtesy of "Karl," the Estonian military analyst. As told to @holger_r and me:
"In most parts of the frontline, such as Zaporizhzhia or the vicinity of Donetsk, the situation remains stable. There is use of indirect fire but not serious offensive operations."
"There’s more movement in Kharkiv where Russia has been trying to regain some of the territory it lost a month ago. Russia has had little success in that. At the same time, Ukraine launched its own counteroffensives but also with no significant territorial gains."
Read 26 tweets
Jun 11
The quarrel isn't really with Finland, it's with Sweden, but they're throwing whatever they can at both countries since their NATO membership is a package deal.
One of the Kurds they want Stockholm to extradite is Amineh Kakabaveh, a former peshmerga fighter, who is now an influential Swedish MP, responsible in fact for saving the current government from collapsing. It will never happen and cooler heads in the Turkish FM know it.
Kavabeveh had/has the deciding vote in keeping the Social Democratic-led coalition government in tact. A year ago she was promised the following to keep her on board, a promise which is no doubt still a major sticking point for Ankara:
Read 5 tweets
Jun 2
Plot thickens further. "The classified U.S. report says Putin seems to have re-emerged after undergoing treatment in April for advanced cancer, three U.S. intelligence leaders who have read the reports tell Newsweek." newsweek.com/exclusive-puti…
Clearly usual caveats to this stuff apply, not least of which is why a supposed U.S. classified report would only be leaked to... Newsweek. But I'm more interested in how these rumors, whatever Putin's health status, are being instrumentalized across countries as a psyop.
UK tabloids have been flat-out on this, citing not just former Soviet or Russian spooks but a host of ex-MI6 comers including Dearlove. My NLM piece on the blood cancer claim got heavy traction (albeit without the urge to caution it may all be a ruse).
Read 4 tweets

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