🚨BREAKING: The fracking ban will be scrapped **tomorrow**. Planning requests for new drilling expected within weeks. Major change in UK energy rules. More in @Telegraph.
The change can be implemented pretty rapidly. Legislation not needed - just a written ministerial statement. Moratorium has been in place since 2019 but soon to be no more.
Re impact much depends on what Government does in 3 other areas

1/ planning decisions
(centralise them or leave local?)

2/ environment permits
(any effort to speed up approval?)

3/ seismology rules
(any increase in the old limit?)

Will see tomorrow if any of these change too
One open question - Truss insisted throughout the campaign fracking only for communities that want it.

But… how do you prove that? A council approving planning permission? (Councillors are elected by constituents). Or something more concrete? A vote? Unclear.
Another is local incentives. Fracking industry has proposals to cut local energy bills by 25% in areas that approve drilling.

Feels like it would be up to companies + councils rather than government dictating. (Also… of course v much tbc if that would really sway people).
Where could fracking first be seen again in the UK? An industry source I talked to pointed to two sites…

1/ Preston New Road in Fylde, Lancashire. (The Cudrilla site that was meant to be concreted in before a recent delay.)

2/ Springs Road in the East Midlands
The manifesto problem… how does Team Truss argue around this line in 2019 manifesto (which Truss still stands by)?

One possibility: The Government-commissioned science review into fracking is not yet published. Could it be released soon to suggest science now more supportive?
Our full story on tomorrow’s energy support package over here.

Other bits:
- Green levies temporarily scrapped
- Energy bills frozen around £2.5k
- Truss vows more North Sea drilling
- New offshore wind farm drive
- Total cost could exceed £150bn
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…

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More from @benrileysmith

Sep 6
Once the future becomes the past what happened sometimes gets seen as always inevitable.

But here are 3 counterfactuals for the Tory leadership race to consider… would they have changed the outcome?…
1/ What if five Tory MPs switched support from Truss to Penny Mordaunt in the final voting round?

That’s all it needed to put Mordaunt through to face Rishi in members ballot. She had been second in all the earlier rounds. The thinnest of margins put Truss into the final 2.
2/ What if Rishi Sunak had held off resigning from cabinet, triggering the stampede that toppled Boris?

That’s what Liz Truss did, pledging “100%” support while quietly preparing leadership bid. Would = no ‘Sunak betrayer’ tag that put off members. Boris may have fallen anyway.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 5
Some bits of intel on Liz Truss team’s energy package plans…

1/ They’re looking at freezing energy bill all the way to 2024, when the next election’s expected.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
2/ Why? Matches their thinking that energy bills will stay high into 2024. Matches hope to go big early + not repeat interventions. Is what energy firms want. Kwasi today wrote about helping families through winter 22/23 *and* 23/24.
3/ They’re leaning towards a freeze for **all** households (28million) rather than just a section, per multiple campaign sources. A bit like Covid furlough - a simple, blunt approach being favoured to a more tailored, complicated, bespoke scheme for speed and impact.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 10
💥NEW: After a day of escalating briefing wars between the Tory leadership camps, another twist tonight…

Kwasi Kwarteng and Simon Clarke go public to accuse their old cabinet pal Rishi Sunak of resisting Brexit reforms. Plus some fierce other swipes.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
Kwarteng + Clarke on Sunak:

“He talks about cutting EU regulations, yet dug his heels in as chancellor against efforts to do exactly that and realise the benefits of Brexit. We both saw it in Cabinet…”

Two specifics:
- Going slow on Solvency II
- Urging caution on NI Protocol
Here are some of the other spiky lines from Kwarteng and Clarke on Rishi Sunak:

“Rishi Sunak likes to talk about fairytales, but his biggest fairytale of all is that we must somehow reject true Conservative solutions of tax cuts as a way of solving the challenges we face.”
Read 7 tweets
Aug 9
Talked to three ex-government insiders who have been contacted by Harriet Harman / intermediaries as part of her partygate inquiry

All three claim Boris Johnson misled Parliament. One will give evidence, two others weighing up. (PM denies he misled MPs)
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
One source on PM/partygate:

“On the facts, he was definitely at lockdown-breaking events and he knew they were happening and therefore what he said to the House was knowingly inaccurate.”

Another: “absolutely, damn well he did” mislead MPs

A third: PM “knew what was going on”
This is the first indication of what the Privileges Committee is starting to turn up.

Harman reached out to former Downing St figures last month. Some urged to give formal evidence.

If committee concludes PM misled the Commons it could complicate his hopes of remaining an MP.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 2
🚨EXCLUSIVE🚨

Voting for the next Prime Minister has been delayed after GCHQ warned cyber hackers could change people’s ballots

Tory HQ forced to scrap plans to let members switch votes later in race over security fears. Means ballots still not sent out
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
The original plan from CCHQ was for all Tory members to be able to vote and then later change that decision if desired (by post or online).

But… that created a risk that at any point hackers could change a load of votes… potentially causing chaos in the democratic process.
Telegraph can reveal the National Cyber Security Centre - part of the UK listening post GCHQ - advised the Tories to change the voting process.

Here is there statement to us tonight. “Defending UK democratic and electoral processes is a priority…”
Read 11 tweets
Aug 2
BREAKING: Liz Truss campaign has junked a proposal for regional pay boards for civil service / public sector less than 24 hrs after announcing.

“...there will be no proposal taken forward on regional pay boards for civil servants or public sector workers.”
Here’s the full spokesman quote confirming the regional pay boards idea has been binned.
The backstory…

Truss camp always said regional pay was for *new contracts* so no pay cuts for current workers

And argued it was first for civil service, then maybe public sector

BUT they picked an £8.8bn savings figure based on cuts now + for whole public sector. So…ditched
Read 4 tweets

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