Kharkiv counteroffensive analysis, 8 Sept.
Some claims online seem to indicate UA offensive is aimed at Kupyansk. That may be a later objective, but it's not main target now.
Target is Pervomaiske, town southeast of Shevchenkove.
(cont)
Some claims online seem to indicate UA offensive is aimed at Kupyansk. That may be a later objective, but it's not main target now.
Target is Pervomaiske, town southeast of Shevchenkove.
(cont)
I don't buy claims this is some Soviet-style deep attack. That hasn't been UA doctrine forever. UA doctrine **always** goes after supply lines.
Pervomaiske conforms to UA doctrine because RU is unloading trains there.
(cont)
Pervomaiske conforms to UA doctrine because RU is unloading trains there.
(cont)
Evidence of RU train offloading is available in satellite data. This is from late August.
(cont)
(cont)
RU forces think it's some deep attack.
(cont)
(cont)
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1567719876353036295
UA forces aren't bypassing Shevchenkove. They're going for the real target: one rail line supplying all RU trucks south of Shevchenkove.
It's no different than blowing up bridges in Kherson. UA is just hitting isolated supply line with ground troops instead of HIMARS.
(cont)
It's no different than blowing up bridges in Kherson. UA is just hitting isolated supply line with ground troops instead of HIMARS.
(cont)
RU's movement of troops to southern front made this possible. RU line facing toward southeast Kharkiv was thin+undersupplied. All UA had to do was hit fast+hard.
RU depends heavily on rail, and this was an easy spot to collapse RU line facing southeast Kharkiv.
(END)
RU depends heavily on rail, and this was an easy spot to collapse RU line facing southeast Kharkiv.
(END)
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