In a #WSBW finance panel, Peter Cannito of Redwire Space says a drop in valuations of space companies “creates an opportunity for companies like ours” that has acquired such companies in the past.
Vaibhav Lohiya, Deutsche Bank Securities: consolidation for the sector is good; helps companies reduce and rationalize capital expenditures. Also growing interest in vertical integration to secure their supply chains. #WSBW
Lohiya, on rumors of an SES-Intelsat merger, notes it would make sense for rationalizing their fleets and reducing long-term capex. A challenge is that Intelsat is not considered “investment grade” given its recent Ch. 11 restructuring. #WSBW
Mike Palmer, Cerberus Capital Management, on space SPACs: it all happened very fast, perhaps a little too fast. May be short-term issues but there are long-term potential for these companies. [This after a chart showing all space SPACs but AST SpaceMobile down sharply.] #WSBW
Redwire’s Cannito: now that’s it harder to go public, an interesting scarcity of space companies on the public market when interest swings back to them. Takes a long-term view: “we’re in the first inning of spring training.” #WSBW
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Big launch panel coming up at #WSBW, with executives from Arianespace, Blue Origin, ILS, MHI, SpaceX and ULA.
SpaceX’s Tom Ochinero: trying to get to a little over 60 launches this year, and 100 next year. Includes 6 Falcon Heavy launches in next 12 months.
Tiphaine Louradour, ILS: both the US and Russian governments could choose to end ILS if they chose, but we believe they recognize this venture has value. (But who will buy Proton launches these days?)
Coming up on 10 minutes before the launch of Firefly’s second Alpha. Presumably launch preparations are going well, but few specific updates during this lengthy pre-launch webcast.
NASA’s Jim Free: requesting dates of Sept. 23 and 27 on the Eastern Range for next Artemis 1 launch attempts. Still working with the Eastern Range on a waiver for FTS battery retest. Proposed dates avoid DSN conflicts with DART impact on Sept. 26.
Mike Bolger, Exploration Ground Systems program manager, says work is underway to replace seals on two liquid hydrogen lines. Work could be done by the end of the day today if weather holds. That would support another tanking test Sept. 17.
Bolger says they don’t know yet if the inadvertent overpressurization during Saturday’s attempt damaged the seal. It did not exceed hardware specs, though.
Jim Free: will not in this launch period, which ends Tuesday. What happens in next two periods (late Sept/early Oct, and mid-late Oct) will depend on options the team comes up with by Monday or Tuesday.
Mike Sarafin: inadvertent overpressurization of hydrogen line during chilldown. Can’t rule out the quick-disconnect fitting saw some effects of that, but too early to tell.
Sarafin: ruled out doing a demate and remate at the pad. Looking at options to remove and replace the quick disconnect fitting at the pad or in the VAB.
One more Artemis 1 prelaunch briefing, starting shortly, with updates on launch preps.
Launch weather officer Melody Lovin says weather should trend better through the 2-hour launch window: 60% go at the start to 80% at the end.
For backup day Monday 70% go, but a little more uncertainty.
She adds there could be showers around the time taking starts, but difficult to predict. Any delays in tanking is not necessarily a minute-for-minute launch delay, says Jeremy Parsons, deputy manager of exploration ground systems.