1/17 The Finnish government is reluctant to stop issuing tourist visas to Russian citizens and continues to allow holders of Schengen visas, issued by other member states, into the country.
We have received criticism for this from our friends to the south.
2/17 I completely agree with the criticism. Russia is a criminal state, and Mr Putin's regime and actions enjoy huge popularity among "ordinary" Russians. If they wage a war against the free world, there should be no room for them in the free world.
3/17 Finland is about to become the only member state sharing a land border with Russia where and through which Russian tourists can travel.
Most Finns find this embarrassing, if this is any defense or consolation.
4/17 The main factor behind the Finnish reluctance, however, is not a wish to please Russia or a fear of losing Russian tourists. The reason is rather our peculiar and pathological relationship with legalism. This has historical roots.
5/17 Between 1809 and 1917 Finland was a Grand Duchy within the Russian Empire. We had a considerable autonomy and most importantly - a constitution. In Finland, the Emperor was not an absolute autocrat but a constitutional monarch who had to rule by law, not by whim.
6/17 There were periods of Russification and oppression, as in other parts of the Empire. Finns, unlike Poles and some others, did not resist by open rebellion but by weaponizing the law which the Emperor had vowed to respect.
By "f**king the comma", as we say in Finnish.
7/17 When the Russian General Gouvernor in Helsinki gave orders or expressed wishes that were deemed undesirable by the locals, an army of legal experts were mobilized to prove beyond reasonable doubt that the orders were impossible to implement because they were illegal.
8/17 "We would not dare to break the law of which His Excellent and Noblest Majesty is the High Guarantor and Defender!!"
This was not perfect but it worked better than could be expected.
9/17 After the second world war the same method was applied to fend off some of the most extreme demands of the Soviet Union whose ambassador had a role somewhat similar to that of the Imperial General Gouvernor.
10/17 These experiences have left a permanent mark in the Finnish thinking and behavior.
If a policy, in this case a tourist visa ban on Russians, is proposed, it is completely irrelevant whether the proposed policy is deemed necessary or desirable.
11/17 The only relevant thing is whether it is legal and constitutional. Its legality, in turn, depends on its compatibility not with the "spirit of the law" (i.e., the intentions of those who wrote the law) but with its letter.
12/17 Moreover, if (as is usually the case) the law leaves room for interpretation, the most restrictive interpretation wins. That is, if it is possible to read the law in such a way as to make a proposed policy illegal, then that reading is invariably chosen.
13/17 Finns themselves are very much aware of this national pathology. It is a constant and endless source of ridicule, frustration and outrage, but we seemingly just cannot help it.
14/17 I heard a joke this year that if armed, unidentified, green men appeared in Finland, the country would be occupied before we reached an agreement on whether the event meets the criteria, stipulated by the law, that justify an armed response.
15/17 In many countries, decisions can be made fast when circumstances call for them. Legal experts work to find ways to stretch and circumvent problematic legislation. The attitude is that possible legal problems can be discussed afterwards in court. First things first.
16/17 The Foreign Ministry and their legal experts are right in the sense that the existing legislation CAN be interpreted as prohibiting a total ban on Russian tourist visas. Of course it could be interpreted in other ways but - as said - it does not work like that in Finland.
17/17 I am sure Finland will have no trouble supporting an EU wide visa ban. If the letter of the law is sacred for us, an EU decision is even more so. This, thus, is what we all should work for.
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1/9 As always, Russia reacts to military defeat by attacking civilian targets and critical infrastructure, such as power plants.
Though tragic, this is in a way encouraging. Every missile against a school or a hospital is one missile less against Ukrainian military targets.
2/9 In the same way, Hitler burned his waning resources on expensive and militarily meaningless ballistic missile attacks against London or razing cities like Warsaw to the ground, instead of doing something that could have actually slowed down the enemy at the front.
3/9 But there is reason for long-term concern. Many people in the West have the naive idea that ordinary Russians do not know what Mr Putin's hordes are doing in Ukraine. This is patently not true.
1/10 Free-of-charge advice to the Russian leadership follows:
Things are not likely to get any better. They are likely to get worse by the hour. Your situation is more or less hopeless both strategically and tactically.
2/10 You will run out of manpower without a mobilization (which you cannot do). Most of the available high-end equipment has already been committed, and much of that has been destroyed. The sanctions will make it very difficult to produce more.
3/10 Yes yes, "we can sell oil and gas to India and buy components from China, ammunition from North-Korea, drones from Iran, and blah blah".
1/13 I am surprised Mr Putin has closed Nord Stream 1 and is threatening to stop exports to all countries that introduce a price cap on Russian gas.
Surprised because this is against Russia's own interests, and I have a tendency to believe they understand their own interests.
2/13 Mr Putin is essentially a Nazgul. His most potent weapon is fear. Not nuclear weapons, not gas, but fear.
We have been restrained by our FEAR of Mr Putin using nukes or freezing and starving us by stopping gas and oil supplies.
3/13 Being feared gives you power. You should at all costs avoid fulfilling your threats or painting yourself in the corner by drawing red lines - unless you are absolutely sure others will not cross them.
2/18 We had in Kyiv numerous meetings with people from the Verkhovna Rada, the Government, the President's office, the Prosecutor General's office, the media, think-tanks, military intelligence, human rights organizations, etc. Also with ordinary people.
3/18 We visited the towns of Borodyanka, Bucha and Irpin to the North-West of the capital. These localities saw heavy fighting, Russian occupation and mass-killings of civilians in March.
1/5 Vietin viikon Ukrainassa yhdessä Viron, Latvian ja Liettuan ulkoasiainvaliokuntien edustajien kanssa. Tapasimme hallinnon, median ja kansalaisyhteiskunnan edustajia sekä paljon tavallisia ihmisiä, ja vierailimme kevään keskeisten torjuntataistelujen näyttämöillä.
2/5 Palaan matkan yksityiskohtiin myöhemmin, mutta esitän tässä yhden ehdotuksen. Muiden pahojen tekojensa ohella venäläiset heinäsirkkalaumat ovat ryöstäneet kaikenlaista alueilla, joita he pitivät hallussaan. Jos jotakin ei ole saatu mukaan, se on ammuttu rikki.
3/5 Mieleeni tuli ajatus, että kotikaupunkini Helsinki tai vaihtoehtoisesti jokin valtion instanssi voisi ostaa ukrainalaisilta yhden panssarivaunun raadon ja pystyttää sen monumentiksi esimerkiksi Venäjän suurlähetystön lähettyville tai muuhun sopivaan paikkaan.
1/8 Mr Ilves's criticism is not unjustified or without merit. Mr Putin and his genocidal war in Ukraine are hugely popular among ordinary Russians. Putin is popular for (the combination of) two reasons:
2/8 Firstly, he tickles the primitive instincts of the majority: Russia's messianic mission, paranoia and siege-mentality, "lost" glory and greatness.
Secondly, the Russians themselves have not significantly suffered from Mr Putin's rule.
3/8 They can simultaneously enjoy the national euphoria over destroyed Ukrainian cities and mutilated enemy soldiers AND spend their time safely and comfortably in Western countries.