Jack Detsch Profile picture
Sep 13 5 tweets 1 min read
NEW: Ukraine’s military has captured over 200 Russian vehicles in a more than weeklong offensive that has reconquered most of Kharkiv Oblast, Ukrainian military officials told me.

"They will be used against Russia," one official said.
foreignpolicy.com/2022/09/13/rus…
“They just left their tanks, artillery, special equipment, a lot of armor, and were just trying to save their lives,” a Ukrainian military official told Foreign Policy, speaking on condition of anonymity to provide an update on ongoing military operations.
“The U.S. didn’t start their Lend-Lease program, but instead of the U.S., the Russian government started a Lend-Lease program for Ukrainian forces,” the official added, referring to the World War II-era program to provide U.S. allies with food, oil, and materiel.
For months, as the full-scale invasion has forced parts of Ukraine’s robust defense industry—one of the largest in the former Soviet Union and one of the biggest arms-producers, period—into semi-hibernation, 🇺🇦 military has been able to capture, modify & repurpose 🇷🇺 equipment.
But the capture of perhaps hundreds more modern and Soviet-era Russian vehicles comes as Ukrainian officials are pressing the Biden admin at high levels to send advanced Western main battle tanks to 🇺🇦.

That's connected to 🇺🇦 desire to reclaim as much territory before winter.

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More from @JackDetsch

Jun 21
NEW: Ukrainian military officials are increasingly worried that U.S.-provided Gray Eagle strike drones would get shot down by reinforced Russian air defenses in the Donbas region.

"It’s not Afghanistan here," said one Ukrainian pilot.
foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/21/ukr…
Ukrainian pilots said that their Air Force has mostly pulled back strikes using Turkish Bayraktar drones that proved effective at stopping Russian tank advances during the battle of Kyiv.

'Now that they’ve built up good air defenses, they’re almost useless,” said one 🇺🇦 pilot.
One Ukrainian military official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that commanders on the ground see equal utility between Gray Eagle drones and loitering munitions, such as the Switchblade and Phoenix Ghost drones, for destroying Russian tanks and military positions.
Read 6 tweets
Jun 14
NEW: Putin’s strategy in Ukraine is being increasingly boxed in by reluctance to formally declare war, US officials believe.

The move would allow Russia to declare a general mobilization but would shatter Putin's lie that the war is limited campaign.
foreignpolicy.com/2022/06/14/put…
“Right now, the Russian leadership is lying to its people about what’s going on,” a senior U.S. defense official, speaking on condition of anonymity based on ground rules set by the U.S. Defense Department, told reporters on the way to Brussels for the Ukraine Contact Group.
“Russian leadership is constrained in its ability to sustain high levels of personnel [in Ukraine] because they don’t want the truth to come back to the Russian people about what’s going on, and Putin has avoided general mobilization of the population," the official said.
Read 4 tweets
May 25
NEW: US and international economic sanctions and export controls could significantly hamper Russia’s ability to produce advanced fighter jets, naval platforms & space capabilities essential to Putin's military modernization plans, DoD's #2 official said
foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/25/pen…
Deputy Secretary of Defense Kath Hicks said 🇷🇺 reliance on foreign-made microelectronics is likely to hamstring a wide range of programs.

“Whether it’s advanced fighter aircraft... their advanced munitions... their naval platforms, microelectronics are central,” she said.
A senior US defense official said 🇷🇺 has aimed to perfect “non-contact” warfare against NATO, using standoff strikes if it were to come to blows in a wider war.

Those weapons could now face significant headwinds, including the novel nuclear weapons unveiled by Putin in 2018.
Read 4 tweets
May 19
Senior U.S. defense officials wrapped up a briefing this morning describing how the Biden admin sees Russia's war in Ukraine on day 85 – nearing three months in.

Here are some of the highlights, including U.S. diplomats returning to Ukraine and the latest on the ground.
Ukraine is continuing to take back areas near Kharkiv, after it pushed Russia 25 miles out of the city a couple of weeks ago, and nearly up to the Russian border.

UK officials believe that Putin has fired 🇷🇺 lieutenant general who failed to take Kharkiv
Russia has made no major gains in the northern Donbas, where Putin's military commanders have reverted to sending in smaller units after bigger formations failed to take ground

Russia launched the Donbas on April 18th, more than a month ago.
Read 11 tweets
May 11
NEW: China is increasingly embarrassed by Russia's war in Ukraine, Britain's Defense Secretary said on Tuesday.

After the damage Putin has caused in Ukraine: “How many world leaders are going to be taking Putin on line two?” Ben Wallace told reporters.
foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/11/u-k…
“I think China views instability [as] bad for business,” British Secretary of State for Defense Ben Wallace said. “I think probably China is rather embarrassed by the behavior of Putin. He’s a rather inconvenient friend, and … you don’t see a full-throated support.”
But Russia’s relationship with China is competitive, as the two grapple for influence everywhere from the Arctic and Central Asia to Central Africa.

Wallace said Russia is “really worried” about China dominating the high north and could be in a weaker position after the war.
Read 7 tweets
May 10
A senior U.S. defense official wrapped up a briefing about an hour ago with an update on Russia's war in Ukraine on day 76.

Here are some of the most important notes, including more American training of Ukrainian troops and weapons deliveries
U.S. believes that Russia has honed in on the northern line of advance out of Izyum into the Donbas, focused on Sloviansk.

Two other advances have stalled due to Ukrainian resistance.

Russia is in control of Popasna, after confirmation from 🇺🇦 officials
Russia is now up to 99 battalion tactical groups, after adding two airborne groups in the past 24 hr

🇷🇺 has added about ~15 BTGs into 🇺🇦 in past 2 weeks. But it's not clear that the units are in great shape – and the Wagner Group is asking for more help.
Read 13 tweets

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