Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Sep 17 13 tweets 5 min read
Friend who lives in suburbia near #OurWawar caught this black bear on his security cam.

Looks similar to the one I encountered face to face last week.

August-September is when they have to eat a lot to prep for hibernation, so that's when a lot of sightings happen.
Bear sightings in the Catskills are at an all time high this year. And in the local press, read about this long time older resident and the environment department having a big public feud over a bear. I kinda feel for the resident, but I do feel the government is right. Deets...
This older resident has problems with one particular bear who says keeps coming to his backyard and raiding his bird feeders or tries to raid. Despite motion activated lights etc. Resident says, capture and move the bear please.

He does NOT want it killed or anything.
He says he's okay with bears in general. But this particular one is big and keeps visiting. Bears are very intelligent and have a good memory and are known to return to sites where they found food.

If bears get too familiar around humans, the env dep does relocate them.
In this case, the govt is saying, dude, just take down your bird feeders.

In general, the DEP is telling people not to put up bird feeders if you live in bear country. It's free easily accessible food for bears! Of course they'll come sniffing.
The resident's objections to this solution are simultaneous sweet and selfish.
His wife had a stroke and is confined to the house. Watching birds in the backyard is one of the things she loves to do. So he doesn't want to take them down.
Sweet, but... You know?
The govt does have programs in which it relocates bears who've gotten too comfy raiding food from residential areas. But the department's analysis showed that said bear hasn't really bothered anyone else. He is big but not aggressive. Doesn't meet the threshold.
So DEP is like, we sympathize with how much your wife loves having bird feeders and the resulting birds, but dude, we aren't going to spend taxpayer money and hassle an otherwise harmless bear so you can keep hanging bird feeders.
The resident is going around saying things like all other bears are okay and "respect" his property and feeders and this one bear is the problematic one. And forest officers are like, dude, that's not how things work. Even if we remove this one, another will come cos feeders.
Yeah, this.

People don't realize that bird feeders are "bird" feeders only in the minds of humans. To all other animals from squirrels to bears, it's free food you keep out in the open but cruelly stop them from having it.

Just checked the camera trap at #OurWawar and got these awesome bear pics! Maybe the same one as in my friend's video.

There was no food at all on that table or nearby. He searched, toppled the table off-camera, then left.
The (reasonably) table is standing in all these pictures. But it was toppled when we got there. Initially I thought he pushed it over to examine the igloos underneath. But they were untouched.

Guess his butt knocked it over on the way out.

Bears are strong!!😲
It was exactly a week ago that this dude sauntered over within 30 feet of me at this very spot when I was there alone, with a radio going.

If I didn't read and watch so much wildlife science, I'd have been so terrified! So big and strong!

I stayed calm. He sauntered away.

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More from @gauravsabnis

Sep 18
Ooh I love the opportunity to tweet stuff I teach my students about already.

There is no term in statistics as such, but in behavioral economics, psychology, and marketing, it's called the Round Number Bias.

Latest example in the US is the $4/gallon figure that's been key. /1
Gasoline sales in US are typically inelastic until the $4 mark. Even a penny's difference impacts sales big time!

People buy a lot more gas and drive a lot more at $3.99 than at $4.01, though the difference is literally fractional. It's the Round Number Bias at play. /2
Another huge psychologically impactful round number in the US is $20.

You price something $19.99, people buy it in way bigger numbers than at $20.01.

Why tele-shopping ads in US will either sell stuff at $19.99, or if expensive, multiple payments of $19.99.

It's a big barrier!
Read 11 tweets
Sep 18
Personal story 🧵

Last night, @k_rupal & I were at a crowded bar & the woman seated next to us started talking with us. She was there with her brother. Both in their mid 30s, black, grew up in Brooklyn and had recently moved to the Hudson valley.

We chatted hours!
She told us about her flourishing entrepreneurial career, how she owns two buildings at 35. Showed us pics of her wife. And her very smart cute precocious 10 year old daughter. They bought us drinks. We bought them drinks. I think we were the only non white people in the bar.
For about an hour, she gushed about her wife & daughter. Even did a video call with her wife who's in DC and introduced us. Very much fun and warmth and everything all around.

This went on for hours. And we ended up with two new friends.

The "drama" in this story is different.
Read 13 tweets
Sep 18
Archimedes said give me a lever long enough and I'll move the world.

Adani said give me a state bank leverage long enough and I'll move the world.

Seriously, the Indian treasury is like his unlimited credit line. So he can even surpass Musk tomorrow. Udhaar ki raisee. 🤭
Boss tomorrow if I get to do leveraged buyouts by depending on the government owned bank of the 5th largest economy in the world, even I can become richest fellow. What is there?
Can you imagine what Trump would have done if the US had an equivalent of an SBI? In 4 years, he'd have become the richest man in the world by just guaranteeing loans worth trillions for his own company! 😳
Read 4 tweets
Sep 18
When you "predict" that BJP will win in 2024, you're not really predicting anything as much as you are indirectly campaigning for the BJP. Elections are not sports contests that you have no influence on. You are endogenous to the system. Especially in IT cell days. Don't do it.
There is a reason we have campaigning laws and everything. Because campaigns matter. In a democracy, campaigns are everything.

You know who creates auras of inevitability and invincibility? Fascists. And by parroting that in the name of "prediction", you are helping them.
Trump tried this full tilt, remember? So many people in US media and even in India, from 2017-2020 were like "Trump will definitely get reelected". And he kept repeating that the only way he would lose is rigging. See how that ended? He was defeated handily. And he rioted.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 18
Checking to see if @saliltripathi is okay cos I posted a pic with so much cilantro in it and sir has not registered protest. 😂
Btw did y'all know that virulent cilantro hate like Salil's is because of what the scientist Munnabhai would have called "chemical locha"? About 10% of the population has receptor genes that make it taste like soap to them. It's just not a taste they can ever acquire.
I remember my Sabnis grandpa was like @saliltripathi. Not at all a fussy eater otherwise, but absolutely loathed cilantro. And you know our desi public. Even at 80 years old he'd have someone saying "no no, try THIS coriander! It is really good!". He must've had the same locha.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 17
Excellent menudo (beef tripe soup) at Jalisco in Monroe, NY. Superb flavor. Image
Haha, another friend likened it to kolhapuri tambda rassa.

Given that red chillies are originally from Mexico, it's more accurate to say rassa is Indian menudo.

In the last 15 years, Mexican restaurants of all kinds, serving more than just the generic taco burrito, have become so common even in the smallest rural counties of America. It has become USA's default eating out cuisine. Dethroning the previous champ Italian.
Read 5 tweets

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