Let's talk about this #Gadgetbahn: the Padova t̶r̶a̶m̶ guided bus.
Firstly, let's get the important question out of the way... What is it?
If the branding of the system is to be believed, it's a tram. Spoiler alert: it isn't.
Because a glance under the sideskirts and at the roadway reveals that the branding is fibbing: the vehicles are supported on rubber tyres, and the single steel rail only acts as a guideway.
This means: it's a bus, as confirmed by the #NotAMetro sorter.
But if it looks like a tram, many of you might think: so what if it has rubber tyres?
The system is certainly popular with locals...
It has well-built stations that enable level boarding, and (as @Kevin_D_Tennent and I will talk about in a future #RailNatter) it provides the psychological benefits of a permanent way that trams do but buses don't.
BUT there are fundamental issues that get to the heart of why specification *is* important, and all of these relate to the lack of steel on steel.
The big one: capacity. Run any more frequent a service and the infrastructure, even when reinforced as in Padova, crumbles to bits.
The mass of the vehicles is conveyed on the wheels. And the guideway means that the wheels are in pretty much precisely the same place on the road for every vehicle passage.
That limits the number of services to no more than about ten an hour for a fairly short vehicle.
In Padova, even with the addition of a reinforced roadway, the current frequency (8.6 services an hour) is breaking up the road surface and requires regular, costly repairs.
Limited frequency means limited capacity. No more than 2000pphpd, which a reasonable bus service can do.
(System capacity is measured in pphpd, which stands for "passengers per hour per direction" - THE critical measure of the effectiveness of any passenger transport system.)
The consequence of the extra reinforcement is that the cost of the Padova Translohr installation ended up being around €105M in 2022 prices.
The cost of the tram project that Translohr purported to be cheaper than to win the contract? €105M in 2022 prices.
Given that this system has every other feature that a tram has, including OLE, the only ostensible benefit is in saving the cost of laying one extra rail which, in every case, has been shown not to be a saving at all.
So capacity is sacrificed, but what else?
Let's talk energy efficiency.
Rubber wheels means about 10x the rolling resistance of steel on steel. This means that, though it uses about the same energy to accelerate (50Wh per pax), it requires 10x as much to cruise (100Wh vs 10Wh per pax for trams).
Sadly, nobody has published a direct comparison of energy efficiencies, but the above numbers should make clear: it isn't better.
How about ride quality?
It's no better than a regular bus. Very much NOT smooth.
Safety? Operators have suggested that the Translohr guideway system has a tendency to cause derailments by its inherent design. Before the formal service started, five derailments took place on the Padova system.
My last point, and a big reason I push back on this stuff: Translohr and the GLT system are proprietary.
If you want to repair or expand the system, you're locked into a single supplier. They can charge what they like and if they cease operation, you're stuck.
Regular trams? You can get anyone to lay the tracks. You can buy trams from anyone. You don't need to hoard spares for a dying technology to keep people moving in your city.
(Translohr and the Bombardier Guided Light Transit or GLT (both now owned by Alstom) are the only technologies of this type in operation outside of China.)
Another consequence of this is that it delays the expansion of systems - only one supplier means a slower pipeline of work. Translohr's failings have also delayed expansion in Padova - where other systems have been ripped up, Padova are sticking with it 😔
My conclusion to all this? ALWAYS ask what problem a proprietary system is solving.
When you (eventually) get a response, be it from Translohr or Tesla or the @BoringCompany or @HyperloopTT or whoever, interrogate their numbers (in most cases, they won't have any).
At which point: 🚮
This is the rule of thumb: in essentially all cases, we've solved transport technology. We need to get on and build more of what we know.
So if someone's pitching something new, treat them with extreme suspicion.
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Here I'm in agreement - welding rails of two different ages together is completely routine and safe, otherwise you'd have to replace all rails all at once every time.
Crucially, though - it's the new rail that failed adjacent to the weld!
Deleted previous extra bit as I've spotted something that I need to verify.
The new rail has been confirmed as R350HT as seen in the image.
However, the old rail appears to be R260. If this is the case, then a specialist weld is required and that doesn't appear to be the case.
It's very difficult to validate this from the available images, but it would certainly be good to know what grade the older rails to the south of the weld are. Anyone with better photos or access to the material records?
A bit of discussion about this detached bogie being a cause rather than an outcome of the Adamuz crash. It's essentially impossible for a bogie to be released from a moving train without that train already having been derailed.
It's being reported that this was found around 275m from the railway - the potentially 400km/h closing speed of the two trains when they collided will have easily created enough energy to launch the Iryo bogie that distance.
Despite their mass, bogies are often thrown loose during high energy derailments. The location of this bogie and the section of the train it departed from will help investigators establish the precise trajectories of the derailed vehicles and the energies involved.
I think we're now able to build a pretty clear picture of the most likely mechanism of the train crash at Adamuz in Spain.
1️⃣
The northbound Madrid train (a red Frecciarossa 1000 operated by Iryo) passes over a rail weld, likely fractured within its heat-affected zone, that breaks under the impact of the passing train.
2️⃣
The first 5 cars of the 8-car train pass safely over the break, but repeated impacts turn a break into a catastrophic rail failure, and the 3 rear cars of the northbound train are derailed as the rail shatters.
From what I understand, the Interoceánico train that tragically derailed killing 13 people yesterday WAS NOT the High Speed Train of the type I refer to in the video below. An awful lot of people in my mentions jumping to conclusions without knowing the facts.
The challenge for Mexico is that they have no independent investigating body like the NTSB or RAIB. The pressure now needs to be applied to ensure that the investigation is thorough and transparent - or even better that the chance is taken to create an new body.
Further clarity: there is nothing "high speed" about the Tren Interoceánico system. The HST, or "High Speed Train" is specifically the original name of the formation of locomotives and passenger cars that was introduced in GB in the 1970s, capable of running up to 125mph.
Let's post some receipts, for the benefit of anyone attempting to defend @LordPeterHendy, @SYSTRA_UKIRL and @NetworkRail's actions in some way. Because I have a folder of this stuff.
Off the bat, I am going to make an apology and say that I won't do alt text for this thread as it is too onerous - however if you require alt text for accessibility reasons, please just DM me and I can send you the whole lot directly.
So, a few highlights. First up, back in June when I was sorting out my employment with @SYSTRA_UKIRL, I had already made clear statements that I would be continuing my advocacy for rail and my role as a writer and public expert on transport.
I don't know who needs to hear it, but giving public sector workers a decent above-inflation pay rise is probably one of the quickest ways to turn the UK economy around.
(I do know who needs to hear it, it's Labour shadow cabinet members.)
All the people replying to this saying this will increase inflation: you are wrong and your ignorance is very dangerous. Parrot your Friedman propaganda elsewhere. theconversation.com/why-wages-shou…