The frontline situation is more or less stable, but on the political side, it’s a hurricane.
Like before, Russians are continuing to occupy Donetsk Oblast. In the past day, they carried out 8 missile and 35 air strikes, 21 shellings from MLRS on civilian infrastructure. As a result of shelling, infrastructure in more than 50 settlements was damaged.
In Pechenegy, the dam strikes caused harm that may risk flooding. However, this and many other strikes do not affect the direction of hostilities, and thus can be considered terrorist strikes.
The General Staff confirmed UA gained two footholds on the left bank of the Oskil river.
Several settlements in the Liman direction are now under UA control. Liman is in imminent danger of being surrounded.
Due to these advancements, UA might open up operational space to Svatove and approach the borders of the Luhansk region.
This prompted the proxies to appeal to Russia for the referendum to ensure Luhansk borders are intact through a political move, if not by military means.
The enemy is still attempting to occupy Donetsk, hold onto the occupied territories, shelling Ukrainian positions along the whole frontline, carry out regrouping, deploy reserves, and conduct air reconnaissance. Russians continue shelling civilian infrastructure.
In the past day, they dealt 3 missile strikes, 22 aviation strikes, and 90 MLRS strikes at targets in Ukraine. This was followed by another 3 missile strikes during the day, damaging civilian infrastructure in a number of locations.
This is an interview with a Russian convict who briefly served in the Wagner PMC but was captured by Ukrainians. He was in prison for 23 years upon his release.
Long interview (captions), click the link for autoplay.
A few interesting points:
1. Wagner leader Evgeniy Prigozhyn personally inspects convict battalions and visits them occasionally to listen to complaints. This likely means he personally visits all other Wagner units.
2. In two cases this convict has brought up, 96 and 60 people from the prison colonies agreed to go fight in Ukraine. Therefore the total number of convicts from all of Russia could be in the thousands.
🧵An interesting exchange occurred today between three large Russian military reporters (and fighters), Rybar (800k), Voennyi Osvedomytel (450k+) and GREY Zone Wagner page (311k), discussing the potential withdrawal of Russians from the Kherson region.
1. It started with Rybar responding to numerous messages from their audience to the questions about the possibility of Russia withdrawing from the Kherson region in the near future.
In a long post, Rybar argued that the investment of Russians in the temporarily occupied southern regions of Ukraine is times higher than it was in Kharkiv, and the Russian authorities "learned their lessons" by relocating a vastly higher number of troops to the area,...
🔥 Battlefield update:
🔥 Kupiansk:
🇷🇺 sources reporting, that 🇺🇦 has captured east bank of Kupiansk and advancing south.
This means, 🇺🇦 would want to extend it’s foothold, and make it indestructible.
🔥 Lyman:
From 🇷🇺 reports, heavy battles near Yarova, which usually means the battles are already lost for them. Dybrova and Staryi Karavan appears to be captured by 🇺🇦.
This means, 🇺🇦 keeps applying systematic pressure. If this keeps going on, there should be 🇺🇦 offensive on Kreminna and Svatove.
🔥 Siversk:
Bilohorivka and Spirne are not in 🇷🇺 control anymore
🔥 Bakhmut, New York, Marinka, Pisky, Novomykhailivka: