Ukraine SITREP 1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast continues to make progress re-securing more roads and settlements. Heavy fighting continues east of the Oskil river around a number of towns and settlements we shall refrain from listing.
2. Russian reinforcements are arriving from the Luhansk direction via train deployment to Rostov.
3. Heavy fighting also continues around Lyman and further south, around the eastern settlements of Bakhmut.

Ukrainian forces destroyed a large Russian Private Contractor FOB in Alchevs'k yesterday with reports of heavy losses.
4. Russian air/missile strikes continued yesterday and overnight, but remain subdued with less stand off air strikes, less naval strikes and the use of more and more adapted weapons systems and missiles.
5. Russian air activity has reduced significantly with daily sorties as low as 50 some days, despite good weather conditions. This is about 75% lower than around the start of the invasion.
6. Ukrainian aircraft continue to be active on SEAD Ops, Close Air Support and Combat Air Patrols across much of the country, but mostly in the south and southeast. Yesterday Ukrainian forces downed another Russian Su-25 and another Mi-8 helicopter.
7. Russian shelling was most intensive east of Bakhmut and north of Donetsk yesterday, with more sporadic shelling in the other impacted regions.

East of Zaporizhzhia the Ukrainian counteroffensive continues to make progress with less air support reported yesterday.
8. In the Kherson Oblast the Ukrainian counteroffensives continue with Russias focus on desperate resupply operations and trying to reinforce some units.
9. Ukrainian long range artillery attacks and air/missile strikes continue to derail Russian resupply operations and degrade Russian defences.
10. In Melitopol yesterday a VBIED detonated near a Russian military post. Partisan activity continues to intensify and diversify in its capability across the occupied regions as referendum activity increases.
11. Russian Naval activity in the Black Sea remains mostly unchanged.

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More from @TCG_CrisisRisks

Sep 27
Ukraine SITREP 1. Russian air/missile strikes continued yesterday and overnight with an impact on the Kryvyi Rih airport causing damage and disruptions. An impact in Kramatorsk also caused significant damage and casualties.
2. Overall though Russian air/missile strikes still remain subdued with an increase in the use of Iranian UAVs. Ukrainian forces destroyed at least six more of these drones in the last 24hrs, three kamikaze drones en-route to Odesa.
3. Ukrainian aircraft are now conducting more airstrikes daily than Russian aircraft, with ongoing reports that Russia continues to have supply chain problems with technical component maintenance parts.
Read 13 tweets
Sep 25
Ukraine SITREP 1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Kharkiv Oblast continues to push east and southeast into Luhansk re-securing strategic roads and settlements. We will continue to refrain from operational details as things are shifting quickly on the ground.
2. Russian air/missile strikes continued yesterday and overnight, but Russia is loosing aircraft at an incredible rate with reports that another Su-25 was downed yesterday along with two Su-30’s and an Su-34. Further drones and an Mi-8 helicopter were also reportedly downed.
3. Several impacts were reported in Zaporizhzhia overnight, but most continue to be around Bakhmut in the southeast and around Kherson in the south.
Read 17 tweets
Sep 24
Ukraine SITREP 1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the east continues to advance east and southeast expanding its access across the Oskil river whilst consolidating its regained positions in many areas and securing resupply lines.
2. Several sensitive operations are underway and we shall continue to refrain from such operational details.
3. Heavy fighting is ongoing around Lyman and around Bakhmut where Ukrainian forces have re-secured several new positions. Localised Russian offensives east of Bakhmut, around Soledar and towards northwest of Donetsk were all repelled yesterday.
Read 14 tweets
Sep 23
Ukraine SITREP 1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the east continues its momentum as Russian forces quickly send significant reinforcements into the Luhansk region in an attempt to slow this momentum.
2. Confirmation from Russia now that Major General Tsokov was been removed from combat with serious injuries after a Ukrainian attack on his HQ whilst in Svatove. He was the Commander of the 144th Motorized Rifle Division of the 20th Combined Arms Army.
3. Several critical Ukrainian operations are underway or imminent in this region so we are continuing to refrain from divulging any operational details here.

Localised Russian offensives east of Bakhmut, and around Donetsk were all repelled again yesterday.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 22
Ukraine SITREP 1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the east continues to remain on the offensive whilst consolidating new defences.
2. Several counteroffensive operations are ongoing breaking through Russian lines and hitting reach echelons. We are refraining from operational details on this progress.
3. Heavy fighting resumed around Bakhmut yesterday, mostly near the highway intersection again, but despite significant attempts to do so Russian units including SOF have been unable to break through the fortified Ukrainian defences.
Read 13 tweets
Sep 21
Ukraine SITREP 1. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast continues to push east and southeast into Luhansk. We shall refrain from operational details and gains here as several operations are pivotal, underway or imminent.
2. East of Bakhmut Russian forces conducted localised manoeuvres yesterday, but were repelled again. As quickly as Russian units move forward and secure ground here, they suffer losses and retreat.
3. Lyman remains contested with fighting ongoing on the fringes and some heavy Ukrainian artillery in use.

Around Donetsk Ukrainian forces are conducting a number of counteroffensive operations, but no significant changes on the ground are reported as yet.
Read 8 tweets

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