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Sep 29 โ€ข 17 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
Day 217, September 28. Summary of #Arestovych and #Feygin daily broadcast, kindly brought to you by Atis: @savaadaak

wartranslated.com/day-217-septemโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ”ฅ Battlefield update:
Most battlefield information is from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ sources, as ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ does not comment much of their progress.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Lyman: almost encircled, could be captured in couple of days, reports of Kolodiazi captured. Road to Lyman is under ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ fire control. Mobilized are expected to arrive near Svatove on 2nd line of defense, to replenish almost empty existing regiments.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Bakhmut: ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ are getting exhausted, attacks are less in numbers and frequency. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ has done 2 localized counter-attacks per week, pushing back ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ from their freshly gained positions.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Horlivka-Marinka: no significant changes, only shelling, occasional aviation
๐Ÿ”ฅ Vuhledar, Marinka: complaints that ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ are doing bad, some rumors that somebody is retreating

๐Ÿ”ฅ Zaporozhye: nothing significant, artillery & aviation working, unconfirmed 2 hits of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Su-25.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Kherson: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ continues to bomb river crossings, command posts, warehouses using 155mm artillery and HIMARS, depleting ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ of supplies.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Kyiv/Kharkiv: Supposedly ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ attacks any of previous directions, they wouldn't stand any chance again.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ already lost with 40 elite BTGs near Kyiv, in fact it was due to too much solders, not appropriate for terrain. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ now has much more experience, better equipment, no shortage of ammo, prepared 3-sided traps.
If mobilized troops are sent, they would be destroyed much faster than previously.

๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran drones:
Many are intercepted, while some manage to reach their targets. It's more about hiding, timing and varying launch sites, than ability to intercept them.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท drones won't become game-changing, as there is not sufficient quantity of them.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Mobilization:
Some mobilized have already arrived near Svatove, to urgently close gaps.
First large wave consisting of 60-90k solders would arrive in 2 weeks, most of that time would be used in transit. Perhaps, if they are lucky, they will train to throw a grenade.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Dagestan: ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ does every stupid thing imaginable, only squared.
To bring Rosguardia from Chechenya to Dagestan, to oppress protests is worst thing possible. Dagestanians already dislikes Chechens, this would probably escalate. However it is possible that Dagestan also gets exempt from mobilization, then other regions would follow.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Weapons:
18x M142 HIMARS is almost doubling existing amount. Additional artillery shells.
Air defense, including 2 new ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช IRIS-T are coming. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ already has significantly improved it's air defense. New anti-drone systems in reaction to ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท drones.
150 armored vehicles (a brigade) for offensive, due to previous ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ success on pickup trucks.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Crimea:
Former ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ general Ben Hodges predicted ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ liberating Crimea within a year. All Sevastopol is reportedly getting mobilized, this is a chance for them to turn against ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ
๐Ÿ”ฅ Nord stream:
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ chose the most expensive way to sabotage it, restoring would cost $10 bn. Possibly ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ would attack ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ gas pipelines, cutting off ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ completely, just for revenge.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Isolation:
Unknown if mobilized would mount offensive, or stay in defense, this could be related to overall plan of either attempting attacks, or isolation and defense. Possibly ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is going for isolation in ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต North Korea style, intentionally drafting potential for any rebellions.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Nuclear weapons:
This is informational operation of strategic level, it includes mobilization, fake referenda
and fake threats of nuclear war.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ would consider targeting either ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ offensive group, or weapons supplies/infrastructure, however they have been warned of consequences. Possible target would be Snake island, just
to prove their word.

๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus:
Rumors of ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ preparing to accept echelons of mobilized solders. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ will not hesitate to use newly acquired HIMARS, they won't even teach border.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Reminder: rebelling ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ units won't get fired at.

End of thread.

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More from @wartranslated

Oct 1
Day 219, September 30. Summary of #Arestovych and #Feygin daily broadcast, kindly brought to you by Atis: @savaadaak

wartranslated.com/day-219-septemโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ”ฅ Battlefield update:
๐Ÿ”ฅ Lyman:
conflicting information, according to some sources โ€“ there exists a road, thatโ€™s under ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ fire control, other sources say itโ€™s total encirclement.
There are several outcomes โ€“ everyone gets captured, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ gets equipment, part gets destroyed or captured, part manages to break through. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ had significant defense built up during 3 weeks, and ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ was not having easy time.
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Sep 29
Day 218, September 29, Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast. This update was provided by twitter.com/Anastasiya1451A

wartranslated.com/day-218-septemโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ”ฅ Lyman

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ keepsย advancing - liberated four more villages, another 2 reported to be under ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ control by the Russian sources.
Unclear if the ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ regular army actually had time to retreat. Unconfirmed information from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ reporting 2 battalions of mobilized & and a โ€œD/LPRโ€ brigade with regular army leaving Lyman. The supply and retreat routes are under ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ fire control.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ reportedly moved to liberate Kreminna & expand from Bilogorivka towards Lysychansk/Severodenetsk. If the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ continues this movement, it will recover a large part of the Lugansk region.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Bakhmut
Read 19 tweets
Sep 28
๐Ÿงต Quick update from the Ukrainian military expert Oleg Zhdanov for 28th September 2022.

wartranslated.com/update-from-ukโ€ฆ

Kyiv time of the update: 17:00
๐Ÿ”ฅ Overview

The enemy continues attempts to occupy the Donetsk Oblast and interfere with Ukrainian defensive measures in certain areas.
The Russians are carrying out shelling along the whole frontline and all operational directions, conducting air recon, and cynically striking civilian infrastructure. The threat of missile strikes remains on the whole territory of Ukraine.
Read 29 tweets
Sep 28
Day 216, September 27. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast. This update was provided by Stepan: twitter.com/childsacrifice1

wartranslated.com/day-216-septemโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ”ฅ Lyman

Russian sources report combat to the southeast of Yampil'.
The Russians are close to being in an operational encirclement. If Ukraine manages to close this pocket this defeat would be recent Kharkhiv level in magnitude. Kup'yans'k-Vuzlovyi was taken by Ukrainian forces today and they are advancing towards Svatove.
The Russians have managed to create a second defensive line in Svatove.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Mobilized soldiers

There are already mobilized Russian soldiers in Ukraine and some have been killed and captured.
Read 33 tweets
Sep 26
An update from the Ukrainian military expert Oleg Zhdanov for 26th September 2022.

wartranslated.com/update-from-ukโ€ฆ

Kyiv time 19:00

๐Ÿ”ฅ The past day has been mostly stable, but in some areas, Ukrainians advanced, while in others they were pushed by the Russian forces.
The enemy continues attempts to occupy the Donetsk Oblast and interfere with Ukrainian defensive measures in certain areas.
The Russians are carrying out shelling along the whole frontline and all operational directions, conducting air recon, and cynically striking civilian infrastructure. The threat of missile strikes remains on the whole territory of Ukraine.
Read 31 tweets
Sep 25
๐Ÿงต An update from the Ukrainian military expert Oleg Zhdanov for 21tst September 2022.

wartranslated.com/update-from-ukโ€ฆ

Kiyv time 18:00

๐Ÿ”ฅ General

Today was the first day of the 8th month of the mass Russian invasion of Ukraine.
It is not celebrated with the most joyful of news: the mobilisation was announced, and Putin is moving to escalation, increasing the scale of the conflict by increasing personnel, unable to attract any other countries to the conflict.
The enemy continues attempts to occupy the Donetsk Oblast and interfere with Ukrainian defensive measures in certain areas.
Read 40 tweets

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